Your Official UFC 201 Bets

UFC 201 Net: -79.92
lawler -125: 125 for 100 / lawler DEC: 15 parlays / lawler NSC: 40 parla
namajunas -131: 81.03 for 62.01 / Namajunas ITD: 30 for 63.90 - 15 parlays / namajunas SUB: 40 for 129
/ namajunas NSC: 160 parlays / O2.5: 104 for 40
brown ITD: 15 parlays / Brown SUB: 10 for 70 / Brown RD2: 44 for 209 / brown RD3: 23 for 220 / brown NSC: 60 parlay / ellenberger DEC: 33 for 158.40
perez -120: 180 for 150 / perez DEC: 15 parlays / perez ITD: 15.20 for 68.38
scoggins -3.5: 50 for 62.50 / O2.5: 49.98 parlays
serrano +228: 139.30 for 317.60
krylov-herman U1.5: 55 for 50 / U2.5: 81 for 45
pearson +954: 36 for 343.50 / pearson +3.5: 50 parlays / O2.5: 250 for 141.86 - 49.98 parlays / masvidal NSC: 60 parlay
reis: 50 parlay
velickovic +187: 190 for 356.20 / velickovic SUB: 10 for 88 / velickovic +3.5: 50 parlays
props
A fight ends in a Draw: 33 for (paid +216) 200++
Fastest SUB: krylov: 10 for 195
FOTN: lawler-twood: 20 for 70

parlays
50 for 78.67 reis -330, grasso -405 (invicta 18), inoue -405 (invicta 18) & moraes -370 (wsof 32)
16.66 for 48.55 pearson-masvidal O2.5 -245, moraes-hill O3.5 -145 (wsof 32) & palmer-almeida O3.5 -155 (wsof 32)
16.66 for 48.55 scoggins-mccall O2.5 -245, moraes-hill O3.5 -145 (wsof 32) & palmer-almeida O3.5 -155 (wsof 32)

16.66 for (paid +8.94) 37.69 pearson-masvidal O2.5 -245, scoggins-mccall O2.5 -245 & palmer-almeida O3.5 -155 (wsof 32)
16.66 for 39.16 pearson-masvidal O2.5 -245, scoggins-mccall O2.5 -245 & moraes-hill O3.5 -145 (wsof 32)
60 for 102.34 rose NSC -225, brown NSC -300 & masvidal NSC -247

60 for (paid 0) 50.74 rose NSC -225 & moraes -360 (wsof 32)
25 for 41.83 pearson +3.5 -155 & palmer-almeida O3.5 -160 (wsof 32)
25 for (paid +23.64) 43.64 velickovic +3.5 -145 & palmer-almeida O3.5 -160 (wsof 32)
25 for 44.49 pearson +3.5 -155 & velickovic +3.5 -145
30 RR for 310.73: lawlerDEC/ roseITD/ brownITD/ perezDEC
40 for 46.58 lawler NSC -175 & namajunas NSC -265

---

two split decisions again, two split losses.

that said, i agreed with the KK decision.

i hate the serrano fight for so many reasons.

got smoked on the final 3 fights. all 3 upsets (pretty much the whole main card) ruined my night.

whatever...
 
Up 3 units overall. Killed it on boxing before ufc was up 6 units but ended up 2.5 units down heading into final two fights as my giant graves + brown parlay busted and i ended up huge on serrano on lb. Hit kk big end of r2 to win dec +200 and my +1000 woodley r1 hit for overall profit of 3 units. Bit disappointing after the mega boxing winnings was eyeing a 12 unit night. Oh well will take some profit over none.
 
Blurred some boxing and WSOF-bets. Might be a bit heavy on ME ITD, but I have a good feeling. Will LB Robbie after R2.
View attachment 124797

BOOM! Tyron Woodly does it and I am up 16 units this event!

This is the third straight event where the ME saves me. I was down 8 going in to it... maybe I shuld just stop betting on anything else.
 
3u Lawler (-225) -3u
0.25u Lawler KO (+660) **Parlay with Ferguson SUB -0.25u

2u Kowalkiewicz (+205) +4.1u
0.5u Kowalkiewicz DEC (+275) +1.38u

0.75u Rivera (+160) -0.75u

1u Benoit (+105) +1.05u

0.5u Herman (+195) -0.5u
0.25u Herman DEC (+520) -0.25u

0.5u Pearson (+215) -0.5u
0.25u Pearson DEC (+327) -0.25u

1u Lawler/Kowalkiewicz (+365) -1u
1.5u Brown/Graves (-102) -1u
1.25u Lawler-Woodley ITD/Pearson-Masvidal o2.0 (-101) +1.24u
0.5u Lawler ITD/Kowalkiewicz DEC (+714) -0.5u
0.25u Graves/Rivera/Benoit/Brown/Kowalkiewicz/Lawler (+4488) -0.25u

NET: -0.48u

This is the second straight event where I had the opportunity to win over 10u on favorite in the main event (over 15u in Holm's case) and decided not to hedge whatsoever. Not smart.
 
SU
2U Nikita Krylov @ -150 (+1.3U)
2U Ryan Benoit @ +110 (+2.2U)(+3.5U)
2U Karolina K @ +215 (+4.3U)(+7.8U)
8U Robbie Lawler @ -135 (-8U)(-0.2U)

Parlays
2U Graves & Brown @ +100 (-2U)
2U Reis & Brown @ -135 (-2U)(-4U)
1U Masvidal & Brown @ +100 (-1U)(-5U)
1U Lawler & Brown @ +115 (-1U)(-6U)

Props
0.2U Krylov Rd 2 @ +500 (+1U)
1U Masvidal Decision @ + 125 (+1.25U)(+2.25U)
0.25U Masvidal UD @ +200 (+0.5U)(+2.75U)
0.5U Matt Brown UD @ +650 (-0.5U)(+2.25U)
2U Woodley Rd 1 or Rd 2 @ +450 (+9U)(+11.25U)
2U Lawler Rd 3, Rd 4 or Rd 5 @ +390 (-2U)(+9.25U)
1U Lawler Decision @ +400 (-1U)(+8.25U)
1U Lawler UD @ +600 (-1U)(+7.25U)
1U Over 3.5 Decisions @ -135 (+0.75U)(+8U)

Monthly Total: -0.8U
Yearly Total: +15.2U

The night really rests with the Brown/Lawler Fights, at least one of those has to go in for it to be a successful night.

Edit: 1U Over 3.5 Decisions @ -135
Added 2U on Lawler

Also should mention that i have Woodley to be Champ at the end of the year, 0.5U @ +1400, which is kind of a hedge of that fight i guess - although i also have Wonderboy 0.75U @ +1600...

Total: +1.8U

Wow didn't expect to lose so heavily on Lawler AND Brown and still be in profit, albeit it small. Similar to what @t6p said above, the past two main events have really let me down. Could have been up very big if not for overcommitting on them and last night i really should have hedged with an Ellenberger & Woodley Parlay to save some money if both my big plays lost. Oh well, I've learnt my lesson now for future events.

Monthly Total: +1U
Yearly Total: +17U
 
Pre-fights bets were decent:
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Live betting and last second bets were kind of Arse:
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Small loss of 0.92 units. At least Karolina came through which saved me. Another champion loses their belt. Pretty much have to fade every titleholder at his point.

UFC 201
Risk $1825.37

Robbie Lawler (-140) vs Tyron Woodley $140.00 for $100.00= -$140.00
Robbie Lawler/Tyron Woodley ends in round 3 (+575) $20.00 for $115.00= -$20.00
Robbie Lawler wins by TKO/KO (+145) vs Tyron Woodley $50.00 for $72.50= -$50.00
Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+190) vs Rose Namajunas $200.00 for $380.00= $380.00
Rose Namajunas scorecards = no action (-235) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $235.00 for $100.00= Cancelled
Live In-Play Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+100) vs Rose Namajunas $200.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Matt Brown wins by TKO/KO (+110) vs Jake Ellenberger $100.00 for $110.00= -$100.00
Francisco Rivera/Erik Perez Over 1½ (-215) $107.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Ryan Benoit (+115) vs Fredy Serrano $200.00 for $230.00= $230.00
Live In-Play Fredy Serrano (+160) vs Ryan Benoit $200.00 for $320.00= -$200.00

Nikita Krylov wins by submission (+384) vs Ed Herman $26.04 for $100.00= -$26.04
Ross Pearson +3½ points (-155) vs Jorge Masvidal $155.00 for $100.00= -$155.00
Anthony Hamilton/Damian Grabowski Over 1½ (-127) $63.50 for $50.00= -$63.50
Anthony Hamilton wins by 3 round decision (+300) $33.33 for $100.00= -$33.33
Wilson Reis wins in round 3 (+1075) vs Hector Sandoval $10.00 for $107.50= -$10.00

Michael Graves/Bojan Velckovic Over 2½ (-220) $110.00 for $50.00= $50.00
Damien Brown/Cesar Arzamendia Under 1½ (+158) $40.00 for $63.20= $63.20

Nikita Krylov wins Fastest SUB (+1900) $10.00 for $190.00= -$10.00
Damien Brown wins Fastest KO (+2050) $10.00 for $205.00= -$10.00
Karolina Kowalkiewicz/Rose Namajunas FOTN award winner (+350) $15.00 for $52.50= $52.50

Parlays:
Jorge Masvidal/Ross Pearson Over 2½ (-230) + Robbie Lawler (-210) vs Tyron Woodley $200.00 for $223.60= -$200.00
Micheal Graves wins by 3 round decision (+110) + Wilson Reis wins by 3 round decision (+145) + Jorge Masvidal wins by 3 round decision (+132) $50.00 for $546.82= -$50.00
Wilson Reis/Hector Sandoval Over 2½ (-125) + Jorge Masvidal/Ross Pearson Over 2½ (-235) + Nikita Krylov/Ed Herman Under 1½ (-130) + Matt Brown (-325) vs Jake Ellenberger + Robbie Lawler (-200) vs Tyron Woodley $50.00 for $395.25= -$50.00
-----
Total Loss= -$92.17
 
Woodley 2u +185
Woddley RD1 1.5u +650
Woodley KO 2u +405
Woodley NSC 1u +170
Lawler RD5 .15u +1625

KK 3u +210

Brown/Ellenberger o1.5 1u +130

Rivera 2u -105

McCall 1u +205

Krylov 3u -150
Krylov/Herman u1.5 1u -115

Pearson 1u +190

Hamilton 2u -110
Hamilton DEC 1u +280

Reis DEC 1u +145

Benoit 2u +115

Parlay: Pearson/Masival o2.5 + Graves 2u

And as always, some small hail mary parlays. Also going to be adding more prop bets once the undercard full props release.

About +30 units this event. Would've been over 150 units if Brown didn't get KOed, had a 900:1 parlay with Brown being the only loss. Kinda ironic as I considered him to be the safest bet.
 
About +30 units this event. Would've been over 150 units if Brown didn't get KOed, had a 900:1 parlay with Brown being the only loss. Kinda ironic as I considered him to be the safest bet.
Very well done. Makes me ashamed of my pathetic slightly losing results.
 
Very well done. Makes me ashamed of my pathetic slightly losing results.

Thanks man, you've been one of the most consistent winners in the past, these last few months have just been really unpredictable with USADA, early weigh-ins, etc.
 
About +30 units this event. Would've been over 150 units if Brown didn't get KOed, had a 900:1 parlay with Brown being the only loss. Kinda ironic as I considered him to be the safest bet.

Brown to close it out? Man, personally I'd have hedged there. Or did you have Woodley in it too? That makes it a bit different.
 
Brown to close it out? Man, personally I'd have hedged there. Or did you have Woodley in it too? That makes it a bit different.

Had KK and Woodley to follow. Only realised how close it was to htting when I was reviewing the bets after
 
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