UFC 202 - McGoat vs Diaz II - Vegas

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Can'tbelieve conor-nate fotn opened +350. I just saw line for first time and it's -125

I wouldve made my biggest fotn bet ever at +350.

Idk how it doesn't win FOTN, unless its over fast.

Prolly passing. Larkin-magny, aj-gt, cowboy-story don't pay highly enough with the conor-nate fight on the card for me
 
Kind of surprised that a lot of people are favoring Cerrone against Story. I know Cerrone has looked good in his last few fights, but I feel like Story is just so durable and has been in there with some top guys at WW. I think his pressure, coupled with his work to the body won't bode well for Cerrone, who is a notoriously slow starter. Cerrone is also already talking about his potential next fight. It seems as though he is looking past Story. While I can respect the confidence, overlooking someone like Story is never a good idea. At +130 odds, I'm gonna lay down a decent bet on Story.

Fair points but Cerrone has come out looking great early in both his WW fights. No slow start at all in either of them.
 
Mizugaki can hang in the boxing... doesn't have to worry about offensive grappling from Cody. I have no idea why everyone isn't taking a shot at +400.

Idk, just playing it safer.. I am on o1.5
 
Story/Cerrone +400 could hit FOTN, but I also think Nate/Conor at evens is about right.
 
Guys, thoughts about Means dec +350? I think this has a decent chance of hitting. Means breaks guys but isn't really an explosive finisher.

Absolutely value

+366 now.. means dec now pays higher than homasi ML

Wth.
 
I think Glover is grossly underrated here. He was supposed to lose against OSP and even people picked Rashad over him. People said he was done after the jones fight and not the same. I think he's better and he learned from it. He absolutely showed every facet of his game is solid in the fight with OSP. I bet him that night.

Rumble is a monster. However, I don't subscribe to thinking a guy is unbeatable just because he is knocking guys out in brilliant fashion. Rumble has shown major holes in his game. He gasses and is susceptible to being submitted. If you can hang on and have a solid all around fight game you typically can beat him.

Glover has all of those things. He can win anywhere and he's durable. He was knocked out in his first fight ever a longtime ago. The longer this fight goes it favors glover. I think he's the better fighter; maybe just not the more naturally gifted one.

It's a tough call but glover has good value.
 
Fair points but Cerrone has come out looking great early in both his WW fights. No slow start at all in either of them.

Reason why Cowboy looked good early against Cote was because he went for takedowns straight away. Good luck trying to do that to Rick Story.
 
Reason why Cowboy looked good early against Cote was because he went for takedowns straight away. Good luck trying to do that to Rick Story.
Might not be as hard as you're making it sound when Story comes straight forward and Cerrone has great reactive tds and wrestling
 
You know sham its crazy I thought the exact same thing, then watched tape on those 2 fights last week and dc had no issue grappling and even picking up rumble on his shoulder and slamming him to the ground, rumble did show his own wrestling but a bad move on his part, dc just been there on the ground his whole life so had easy scrambling and ability to get the better positions, glover has similar strengths (2nd degree bjj black belt and decent scrambling) so if it hits the ground imo he could snag a choke on rumble which is his kryptonite.

Same about tumenov and larkin.... on 2nd watch I could see tumenov had it easy with his much better boxing/head strikes, I think he edged 2 rounds easily, but during live bet I recall having it for larkin somehow lol

Anyhow good card for live betting, maybe time to go yolo nate after r1 !

I rewatched larkin tumenov and scored it for larkin. You mag be right re dc but didnt dc have to chain td after td together to get rumble down? Doesnt glover only have a double albeit a good one?

I was huge on glover against evans but i think this is a tough fight for him. I know hes never been ko'd but bader and maldanado both had him hurt i pretty confident rumble can ko him. Glover is very easy to hit and pretty slow i even like rumble unan +800
 
Betvictor under their bonus award section has a disclaimer saying for settlement purposes our decision is final. So what they pick fotn?!
 
I rewatched larkin tumenov and scored it for larkin. You mag be right re dc but didnt dc have to chain td after td together to get rumble down? Doesnt glover only have a double albeit a good one?

I was huge on glover against evans but i think this is a tough fight for him. I know hes never been ko'd but bader and maldanado both had him hurt i pretty confident rumble can ko him. Glover is very easy to hit and pretty slow i even like rumble unan +800
Agree on Glover-Rumble but disagree on Tumenov vs Larkin. I watched that fight several times and no way Larkin won IMO. But opinions are opinions. Still like over 2.5 than any other bet.
 
Reason why Cowboy looked good early against Cote was because he went for takedowns straight away. Good luck trying to do that to Rick Story.

When did he score his first TD? I thought it was most of the way through rd1?
 
first and last post i ever waste on you.

''He should have killed me when he had the chance, because now i am back, and i'm going to kill you and your whole fucking team. .You and them bitch kids''

bitch kids due do the amount of people that showed up at the press conference the day before.


now go away / do not adress me again.

There's no need for hostility, I'm happy to agree to disagree on whether or not someone said 'tits' or 'kids'. I'd suggest if you don't like people discussing things with you then don't post in a public forum.
 
There's no need for hostility, I'm happy to agree to disagree on whether or not someone said 'tits' or 'kids'. I'd suggest if you don't like people discussing things with you then don't post in a public forum.

there's nothing to ''disagree'' about, you are wrong period. the context and the sentence that comes before the end bit, makes it clear as day what was said. and in that context throwing in a ''bitch tits'' makes no fucking sense what so ever. when the prior sentence was ended with ''you and your whole fucking team'' ''bitch kids'' clearly does though.

and i'm not happy, since i had to waste my time on you, go level up in the heavies and don't adress me again. (2nd strike)
 
You guys had my blessing on Cerrone against Cote because Cote imo is a classic B level fighter. Rick Story was a B level fighter who has made good improvements and now is cracking into A level territory. Story Cerrone line is close to pickems now for a reason!

And for the record brah, Pretty sure conor said tits. Them skinny fat genetics you know.
 
So I want to try live betting tonight. Since I have a bet365 account, I'm looking to use that site. However, my bet365 indicates that only for the Diaz/McG fight there will be live betting. Do they always offer live betting only for the main event?
 
So I want to try live betting tonight. Since I have a bet365 account, I'm looking to use that site. However, my bet365 indicates that only for the Diaz/McG fight there will be live betting. Do they always offer live betting only for the main event?
It's almost always on the whole main card. Lets hope they have it wrong on the site.
 
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