UFC 202 - McGoat vs Diaz II - Vegas

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Bet365 now have Means at 4.00 4/1.

Lumping on that, think it's an accident unless they know something I don't.
 
Bet365 now have Means at 4.00 4/1.

Lumping on that, think it's an accident unless they know something I don't.

Thanks mate, glad I caught that one. Can definitely see a 'we made a mistake, bet cancelled but here's your money back' but here's hoping that doesn't happen!
 
I rewatched larkin tumenov and scored it for larkin. You mag be right re dc but didnt dc have to chain td after td together to get rumble down? Doesnt glover only have a double albeit a good one?

I was huge on glover against evans but i think this is a tough fight for him. I know hes never been ko'd but bader and maldanado both had him hurt i pretty confident rumble can ko him. Glover is very easy to hit and pretty slow i even like rumble unan +800

Yeah a fair bit of grappling against the cage just generally wearing on rumble, he did struggle at times but eventually got it just that rumble cardio factor, but generally agree its a tough fight for glover the hand speed and power is to much on rumbles side but if glover appears to be getting rumbles back or getting this fight to the ground ill hit a live bet if the line is available, maybe some value on r2/r3 glover sub, otherwise rumble su or ko prop imo but your decision play is possible.
 
So I want to try live betting tonight. Since I have a bet365 account, I'm looking to use that site. However, my bet365 indicates that only for the Diaz/McG fight there will be live betting. Do they always offer live betting only for the main event?

It's almost always on the whole main card. Lets hope they have it wrong on the site.

I spotted that also its highly unusual for them to not offer live betting for the entire main card at the very least, B365 have done this many times before so its best to wait few hours before it starts but am hoping that timer icon appears on main prelims and full card.

Fingers crossed !
 
Bet365 now have Means at 4.00 4/1.

Lumping on that, think it's an accident unless they know something I don't.

Thanks mate, glad I caught that one. Can definitely see a 'we made a mistake, bet cancelled but here's your money back' but here's hoping that doesn't happen!

moneyline? dont even bother betting that, clearly a line error
 
Larkin NSC +125. I personally think that line should be flipped/favored
 
Diaz No SC +123 makes no sense at all. Dude has been KOd one time, already eaten Conor's hardest shots, and finished him on 10 days notice.

I'm convinced this is one of the best lines i've ever seen, and will probably have 10% of my bankroll on that by fight time
 
We have seen Conor go full 25 minutes (albeit not very hard) in his sparring sessions and outings for the media to prove a point (wasn't even breathing hard at the end) and has focused a ton of time into his cardio for this fight. His physique is much leaner than last time meaning he has less fat going into this fight. Going rounds on rounds against a talented boxer such as the Irish Conlon fella who is tall and long like Diaz means he is more comfortable moving at his weight right now.




What Dominic Cruz does to get himself into his own mindset means squat in this fight. Using another fighters opinion to try and justify what a fighter, who is completely different, will do isn't the way to back up a point.


This sport is as unpredictable as the lottery numbers but I have to comment that all the proof that you are showing is based on hypothetical improvements that Conor has yet to show in a fight. Nate also has the ability to spar with more talented boxers who have the exact same height and style as Conor. Nate could also have improved his cardio and his sparring partners as well. He might not be able to spend the same amount that Conor did on his camp but the Diaz camp is made up of a ton of professional boxers and BJJ black belts. I don't know what the wrestling training resources are at that camp as I don't follow it that closely, but I could imagine they have everything they need and even more.

So really what is it with the bias where it comes to thinking that Conor has made these unbelievable improvements whereas Nate can't?

The only justification would be if Conor did what Eddie Alvarez did to RDA - and not in round 1 but in round 4-5 in a championship fight, and then rematches Diaz - he would probably have the same odds as in the first fight again lol. Otherwise it's just all speculation whereas the greatest evidence we have of how this fight will go is the first fight.

It's much different for people who are huge fans of the McGregor hype who see his ability to talk about his training improvements and etc. to get sucked into it and truly believe that he will come in that much different for this fight and win.Just because Diaz doesn't speak as well as Conor and mention everything that is going on in his camp, doesn't mean he's coming in the same either. Anyways, good luck to you if you bet on Conor. It's MMA so who knows what will actually happen?
 
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So I want to try live betting tonight. Since I have a bet365 account, I'm looking to use that site. However, my bet365 indicates that only for the Diaz/McG fight there will be live betting. Do they always offer live betting only for the main event?

The planner always just lists the main event at this time. Last two events no lb on prelims so praying lb offered from fox prelims tonight.
 
Bet365 now have Means at 4.00 4/1.

Lumping on that, think it's an accident unless they know something I don't.

Thanks mate, glad I caught that one. Can definitely see a 'we made a mistake, bet cancelled but here's your money back' but here's hoping that doesn't happen!

definately not an error, his decision line is better on other sites like 4.66 on 5d
 
Diaz No SC +123 makes no sense at all. Dude has been KOd one time, already eaten Conor's hardest shots, and finished him on 10 days notice.

I'm convinced this is one of the best lines i've ever seen, and will probably have 10% of my bankroll on that by fight time
I agree with the top part
 
definately not an error, his decision line is better on other sites like 4.66 on 5d
I think he ment the ML. The line got pulled shortly after. Misstake no doubt.

Pretty useless to bet on lines like that. It will just get you limited.
 
b365 must have temp deleted the means fight, line is not even showing looks like they are in the middle of updating it since they moved the 3 early prelim fights correctly.

BTsports 2 has the main prelims @ 1am-3am, then 3am-7am main card, all live as usual.

Otherwise 5 hours 40 mins to go with magy/larkin
https://www.ufc.tv/video/ufc-202-fight-pass-prelims
 
Yeah don't bet them incorrect lines also avoid playing those virtual sports on b365 another sure way to get limited fast, otherwise they are pretty good, still my fav choice bookies.
 
Yeah don't bet them incorrect lines also avoid playing those virtual sports on b365 another sure way to get limited fast, otherwise they are pretty good, still my fav choice bookies.

Ditto albeit i noticed last show when live betting there was a few seconds before the bet went through it used to be instant. Hope thats not continuing but im sure it will...
 
Ditto albeit i noticed last show when live betting there was a few seconds before the bet went through it used to be instant. Hope thats not continuing but im sure it will...

Very frustrating when they do that but they all tend to do it eventually, perhaps its some bloke sitting in a cubicle watching just bleed @ 4am waiting to approve the wager, lets hope that crazy part time women takes over and just sets it to auto, probably not true just how I envision it lol
 
Yeah don't bet them incorrect lines also avoid playing those virtual sports on b365 another sure way to get limited fast, otherwise they are pretty good, still my fav choice bookies.

They limit you for betting virtual sports? Weird. Surely they love that shit? Not being a total gambling addict, I don't go near those anyway.
 
Diaz No SC +123 makes no sense at all. Dude has been KOd one time, already eaten Conor's hardest shots, and finished him on 10 days notice.

I'm convinced this is one of the best lines i've ever seen, and will probably have 10% of my bankroll on that by fight time

upload_2016-8-20_13-25-28.png

this was Nate's face after 8 minutes with Connor.

Let's assume Connor doesn't completely gas himself out this time around, can Nate continue to fight another 17 minutes like this?

Just trying to help and be objective.
 
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