UFN 101 - Whittaker vs Brunson - Australia

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Ukram

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UFN 101 - Whittaker vs Brunson
http://www.sherdog.com/events/UFC-Fight-Night-101-Whittaker-vs-Brunson-54995

Main Card
Robert Whittaker vs. Derek Brunson
Andrew Holbrook vs. Jake Matthews
Omari Akhmedov vs. Kyle Noke
Yusuke Kasuya vs. Alex Volkanovski
Khalil Rountree vs. Tyson Pedro
Seo Hee Ham vs. Danielle Taylor

Preliminary Card

Chris Camozzi vs. Dan Kelly
Ben Nguyen vs. Geane Herrera
Richard Walsh vs. Jonathan Meunier
Marlon Vera vs. Ning Guangyou
Dan Hooker vs. Jason Knight
Damien Brown vs. Jon Tuck
Yao Zhikui vs. Jenel Lausa

Event details:
https://www.ufc.tv/video/ufc-melbourne-2016

UFC: Fight pass stream:
https://www.ufc.tv/video/ufc-melbourne-2016-fight-pass-prelims

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Know who im on please release lines!

brunson whittaker an interesting one for me. im 5-0 on brunson betting for or against him but im undecided here.
 
From other thread, thanks to Crows break down:

Hey guys, not a thread for the Melbourne Fight Night card yet so figured I'd post this here in the meantime. Got a fair bit of free time this week so going to try and get as many breakdowns out as I can for this card, started watching fights this morning and going to try cover every fight (hopefully). Really had good success in the past when I've managed to really research the fights and break the down, even just for myself to put my thoughts into word helps a lot. If anyone has any particular ones they'd like done I'll try my best.



Marlon Vera vs. Guangyou Ning

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Marlon Vera represented Team Werdum on The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America where he won his quarter final fight via upkick KO against Enrique Briones. Unfortunately due to a skin infection he was forced out of the semi final and the tournament.


Vera dropped his debut against Marco Beltran where he was outworked with good top control and ground and pound but managed to attempt a few submissions along the way. Since then he has beaten Salazar via triangle-armbar combination and subsequently lost a unanimous decision to Davey Grant. Formerly training with Jackson-Wink MMA, Vera is now training with Team Oyama with the likes of Ian McCall and Josh Sampo, with regular training at 10th Planet Jiu Jitsu.

Vera is a work in progress on the feet but does have some dangerous knees, albeit he lacks finesse. Vera's Jiu Jitsu is his clear strength; incredibly active on top and bottom on the the mat, constantly hunting for submissions and sweeps. However, Vera suffers from the classic case of being a great Jiu Jitsu player without the good wrestling to utilise it fully. Until Vera either develops his standup and or wrestling he will never be a contender, however switching camps shows he is clearly looking learn and change up training methods, only time will show how that works out.


Guangyou Ning is also a former Ultimate Fighter cast member, where to match his nickname "Smasher" he smashed his way through the tournament with 2 KO victories before winning the eventual tournament finale where he beat Yang Jianping via Unanimous Decision.

Ning then went on to TKO Royston Wee in his next fight who wilted under the pressure on Ning's top control before succumbing to a head kick and barrage of heavy strikes to finish the fight. His next match up was against Marco Beltran where despite some early success he lost a very uneventful, almost sparring session like fight. He has since been out for close to a year and in that time he has changed camps from Tiger Muay Thai to the Asian Integrated Combat Training Institute in Beijing, of which I know nothing about, so don't think it would be fair to judge how this could affect his training.

Ning's game centres around throwing heavy strikes on the feet mixed in with powerful takedowns (aided by his fire hydrant build), crushing top control and bursts of big ground and pound. He has a solid Greco-Roman wrestling base which often allows him to dictate where he wants the fight to take place and I really feel that will be the key in this bout.


Ning should really be able to decide where he wants this fight to take place, I'd imagine his initial game plan with be to throw big shots on the feet and try and take out Vera this way. However if he isn't having much success he will be able to score takedowns against Vera. Vera will struggle to take down Ning so it's hard to see how he wins this; my only concern is if Ning does take Vera down and gets too comfortable in guard he is in a lot of danger due to Vera's incredibly active guard. Providing Ning sticks to a strict game plan and doesn't have a brainfart he should be able to take a decision in what will likely be a very hard fought contest.

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Can we chill out with picks and breakdowns until odds are out?
 
After 23 back to back fights...
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Can we chill out with picks and breakdowns until odds are out?

Why? More input from other users the better.

It's fight discussion, we can talk about how we see fights playing out, strengths and weaknesses without knowing the odds.
 
Why? More input from other users the better.

It's fight discussion, we can talk about how we see fights playing out, strengths and weaknesses without knowing the odds.

Goodfella confirmed Nick K does scout this place. I used to be all for discussion but with that revelation i think we should hold off.
 
Goodfella confirmed Nick K does scout this place. I used to be all for discussion but with that revelation i think we should hold off.
I still think we should all move to a private Telegram
 
Tyson Pedro vs Khalil Rountree

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Octagon newcomer Tyson Pedro is a 24 year old, 4-0 Light heavyweight prospect out of Queensland, Australia. His professional career started in 2013 with a TKO victory, he then proceeded to be inactive for 2 and a bit years, returning March of 2016 and has since racked up 3 straight submission victories, all by choke including a step up in competition against Steven Warby.
It's hard to find too much fight footage on Pedro, there is however his fight against Endermann on the AFC YouTube channel. Pedro started out with Jiu Jitsu at a young age before transitioning to Boxing and then eventually MMA; Pedro has amateur Boxing experience as well as being a BJJ Purple Belt. He trains out of Lions High Performance Centre and has been training regularly with James Te Huna for this bout and also had training and sparring with top Australian HW Boxer and WBA World Heavyweight Title holder Lucas Browne.​
On the feet Pedro looks to have a decent guard as well as head movement. He has a great frame for LHW and is strong in the clinch mixing in knees with huge power takedowns. Once the fight hits the mat Pedro is immediately looking to transition and improve position, in his fight with Endermann he got the takedown straight into side control and seamlessly into mount. From there he worked heavy ground and pound until his opponent was forced to give up his back and eventually the Rear Naked Choke. Pedro looks to have all the tools to be a fantastic prospect but as always judgement should be reserved until he's made his UFC debut as he has only had 4-0 fights to this point, 3 of then within the last 7 months, but has been training for years.​
Khalil Rountree entered The Ultimate Fighter 23 as a prospect in his own right, winning by KO to secure his place in the house. In his quarter final bout Rountree lost to fellow Syndicate MMA team member Cory Hendricks via Rear Naked Choke; Hendricks however suffered a neck injury and Rountree replaced him in the tournament. He won his Semi Final bout against Josh Stansbury via TKO despite being dropped himself in the bout. The dream ended there as he was dominated and smothered by Andrew Sanchez in the finale losing a lopsided unanimous decision being scored 30-25, 30-25 and 30-26.​
Rountree trains at Syndicate MMA alongside teammates such as Cory Hendricks and Johnny Nunez. Rountree's game centres around landing big shots on the feet, he has a particularly powerful body kick and the kind of power in both hands that could hurt anyone if the division if he lands flush. As entertaining as Rountree is to watch there is some glaring holes in his game; his power shots are often thrown very wide and without proper technique which leaves him open for counters and takedowns. Stansbury managed to counter one of Rountree's winged body shots with a short left hook and managed to drop him. Watching Rountree's fights it's also clear to see that his takedown defence is another aspect of his game that need to improve if he's ever going to make waves in the UFC. His will have the benefit of superior experience in this bout though, having more fights, going through TUF and having fought in the UFC.​
Despite his age and relative lack of experience I believe Pedro will win this fight. An amateur Boxing background, a purple belt in Jiu Jitsu and powerful takedowns make him a very well rounded fighter for his age and a dangerous match up for Rountree. If the fight stays on the feet Rountree will have a big shot of winning but even then it's no certainty he would better the Australian on the feet. Pedro will have more tools at his disposal and I can see him securing an early takedown, passing to a dominant position, working ground and pound and eventually a choke as he has done previously.​

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Goodfella confirmed Nick K does scout this place. I used to be all for discussion but with that revelation i think we should hold off.

Sorry I have no idea who Nick K is?
 
Would you rather this or the UFC take the weekend off and just have one less card for the year?
I will never not want UFC weekly, but thats not enough to stop me from chuckling when Omari Akhmedov vs Kyle Noke is 2 fights from the main event and Andrew Holbrook is in the co main
 
Whittaker outstrikes Branson with ease but can he defend those takedowns?
 
This is a comically bad card

Name wise petty bad.

Main event is gonna be fun.
Geanne Herrera versus Ben has to be a barn burner.
Dan hooker vs Jason Knight is gonna be a fun standup fight as well.
 
Whittaker outstrikes Branson with ease but can he defend those takedowns?

Whatever wrestling game Brunson brings I can't see him sustain it for 5 rounds. I'm leaning Whittaker but haven't studied Brunson yet tho

Any odds up for this?
 
I will say this at least, for me besides the unknowns I have to watch tape on (Pedro, Lausa, and Volkanovski) this is a pretty easy betting card. I already know the plays I want, and even expect good prices
 
Agree with the card its not got the big named faces, but hopefully it means the underdogs will be barking the whole night while the bookies have no idea.

Not sure about scouts or nick either, but its not like its difficult to see the favourite's or even spot a decent underdog lately!
 
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