Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - December, 2016

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Hmm. Good point, I rarely play totals but this might be the way to go.

Knicks +2 now. Fuck I should have waited.
At +2 I think Knicks have value but situation would make me steer clear of this game.
 
Early leans for tonight:

Knicks -2
I think the books are continuing to overvalue the Wolves. With all of their young talent, they're looking like one of the worst teams in the league. On Wednesday, in Minnesota, they got 47 points from KAT and a 39-15 advantage in free throws attempted. Yet, they still managed to be trailing by 17 with 7 minutes to play (granted they came back to tie the game, but they still lost to a Knicks team that has been bad on the road). The Wolves have also been bad ATS (2-7 on the road ATS and overall). The Knicks have been playing well at home, especially recently. My only concern here is the "revenge factor" but I still like the Knicks to cover the points.

Pelicans +5.5
This is going to be the Clippers 3rd road game in 4 days. They snapped a 3 game losing streak last night in Cleveland and I could see a little bit of a letdown here. The Pelicans have been playing much better after their bad start and they've won 5 straight home games. Considering a play on the moneyline too at +190.
Also regarding the Pelicans: I like the situation they're in coming in facing a team that won a huge road game, but I wonder if the Pelicans can compete w an elite team. They can play with middling teams and have value against not so good teams, but the Clippers have so much more talent than the Pelicans. Even if Paul or Griffin have an off day, they have the bench and other players to win the game comfortably. I'm just thinking out loud, not knocking your play
 
At +2 I think Knicks have value but situation would make me steer clear of this game.

Fair enough. I'm looking at Hawks -2.5 too. This is the Pistons third road game in 4 days and they've won the last 2. Hawks have lost 4 straight (all west coast road games) and are coming home. Seems like a good spot for them.
 
Also regarding the Pelicans: I like the situation they're in coming in facing a team that won a huge road game, but I wonder if the Pelicans can compete w an elite team. They can play with middling teams and have value against not so good teams, but the Clippers have so much more talent than the Pelicans. Even if Paul or Griffin have an off day, they have the bench and other players to win the game comfortably. I'm just thinking out loud, not knocking your play

Understandable concerns. I always appreciate the input.
 
Fair enough. I'm looking at Hawks -2.5 too. This is the Pistons third road game in 4 days and they've won the last 2. Hawks have lost 4 straight (all west coast road games) and are coming home. Seems like a good spot for them.
Not to be picky but I'd prefer it if the Pistons played last night and were playing their third game in four nights that way as opposed to being off last night after a back to back. It's still something but that's my *ideal* situation

Edit is Millsap even playing tonight
 
Not to be picky but I'd prefer it if the Pistons played last night and were playing their third game in four nights that way as opposed to being off last night after a back to back. It's still something but that's my *ideal* situation

Edit is Millsap even playing tonight

Shit, good point I forgot about Milsap. He's listed as questionable. Probably will leave that game alone in that case.
 
Shit, good point I forgot about Milsap. He's listed as questionable. Probably will leave that game alone in that case.
What do you think about Bulls +2.5 (Bulls ML for that matter). Another case of an underrated team (Bulls 11-6 ATS) being home dogs to an overrated team (Cavs 6-10-1 ATS) who played last night with about 74% of public bets on the Cavs according to oddsshark

http://www.oddsshark.com/nba/consensus-picks

Enough for me to put two units on the Bulls +2.5 and half a unit on the ML personally
 
What do you think about Bulls +2.5 (Bulls ML for that matter). Another case of an underrated team (Bulls 11-6 ATS) being home dogs to an overrated team (Cavs 6-10-1 ATS) who played last night with about 74% of public bets on the Cavs according to oddsshark

http://www.oddsshark.com/nba/consensus-picks

Enough for me to put two units on the Bulls +2.5 and half a unit on the ML personally

Only thing scaring me a bit is the Cavs have lost two straight. I went back and checked and they lost 3 games in a row once last season (funny enough almost exactly a year ago Dec 1st-5th). That said, the Cavs have lost 5 of their last six road games when playing back to back. I like it enough to tail. I'm abandoning the Hawks because I won't be able to confirm if Milsap is playing before gametime.

Final plays:

0.5u Knicks -2
0.5u Pelicans +5.5
0.5u Bulls +1.5
0.25u Nuggets -5
0.25u Nuggets over 111.5
 
Finalized plays for today
Bulls +2.5 for 2u
Bulls ML for 0.5u
Nuggets -4.5 for 2u
Sixers -2.5 for 0.5u
 
Added another unit to Nuggets -3 since line got better. Legggggggo
 
Only thing scaring me a bit is the Cavs have lost two straight. I went back and checked and they lost 3 games in a row once last season (funny enough almost exactly a year ago Dec 1st-5th). That said, the Cavs have lost 5 of their last six road games when playing back to back. I like it enough to tail. I'm abandoning the Hawks because I won't be able to confirm if Milsap is playing before gametime.

Final plays:

0.5u Knicks -2
0.5u Pelicans +5.5
0.5u Bulls +1.5
0.25u Nuggets -5
0.25u Nuggets over 111.5

Tiny loss for the night. Nuggets over missed by 2 points. Rockets are playing really well right now. Great call on the Bulls @iGnP and thanks for talking me out of the Hawks play. Pistons are also on a roll.
 
NFL Week 13

Bengals -1.5
Bills +3
Lions +6
Rams +13.5
Chargers -4

For what its worth, I had a pretty similar record last season to this point but somehow (I prob got lucky) had an amazing last third of the season to finish slightly in the green.
 
LIve bet Alabama -16.5. I'm gonna assume their superior talent takes over here. Nice start for Florida, but even down a key player in their secondary 'Bama has way more playmakers on both sides of the ball.
 
^^^^And 'Bama immediately scores on a pick six. Nice. Hopefully Florida implodes now.
 
gotta go vancouver in hockey today, bizarre line of +130 at home vs toronto, who's only won 2 of 12 on the road this year.. van is above .500 at home..

couple unitos~
 
haha just hit odds 500 and 751 for my biggest single win ever :D ~20$ bet won me 11500$ :D OpTic to win Eleague (counterstrike)

sorry for this pointless brag :oops:
 
gotta go vancouver in hockey today, bizarre line of +130 at home vs toronto, who's only won 2 of 12 on the road this year.. van is above .500 at home..

couple unitos~
havent been in here in awhile...tailed your pick with a parlay with pitt. was wondering why the odds were weird, figured i was missing something, but when you said you were playing van, decided to tag along. close one but a win is a win. thx!
 
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Honestly feel like I should've put more at risk for this RR, but fuck it. I think the lines are off on a couple of those dogs (Texans, Lions, Giants). Hope some can come through tomorrow
 
haha just hit odds 500 and 751 for my biggest single win ever :D ~20$ bet won me 11500$ :D OpTic to win Eleague (counterstrike)

sorry for this pointless brag :oops:
What happened there? You live bet somebody who was getting hammered?
 
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