TUF 24 Finale - Mighty Mouse vs Elliot - Vegas

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LOL at you, the bum who bets $2 a fight. Still waiting for the proof of me being wrong. Didn't you quit this forum already?
@Oblivian is the main reason I'm here, massive follower/lurker when he first started his own threads.
I hold his opinions higher than most here regardless what his bet size is.

Bet size shouldnt matter if he's doing what he likes to do as a hobby.
 
DJ unan dec +210. Played that super fast, will couple it with DJ in 4 and 5 and i'm good on this one.
 
betfair opened some interesting props on the main event, like Outcome of 5th Round: To Go The Distance +125 LOL if you combine the 10000+ odds on johnson to finish in that round you can get -108 the only way it looses is if Elliott finishes MM in r5 :D

edit: oops :D im guessing if the fight ends before R5 the bet is lost? that is the only way the line makes sense..
 
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betfair opened some interesting props on the main event, like Outcome of 5th Round: To Go The Distance +125 LOL if you combine the 10000+ odds on johnson to finish in that round you can get -108 the only way it looses is if Elliott finishes MM in r5 :D

edit: oops :D im guessing if the fight ends before R5 the bet is lost? that is the only way the line makes sense..

Outcome of 5th Round: To Go The Distance to me reads like if the fight hits the 5th, will it go the distance. I'd assume anything before the 5th round would be a voided bet. It's a weird prop because you can arb it with the other props.
 
Outcome of 5th Round: To Go The Distance to me reads like if the fight hits the 5th, will it go the distance. I'd assume anything before the 5th round would be a voided bet. It's a weird prop because you can arb it with the other props.

ya thats what i thought too when i first saw the line but the odds just seems to good to be true
 
yea i did t hat small, too, around that price.. wish i got +700, cause i don't wanna add to the +4xx play i have
Both the +700 Hall dec and +10 000 MM r5's is on bet365, they sometimes have ridiculous odds on props.
 
How I see it for myself being on Maynard is, I treat taking his decision line at +250 as the same thing as his ML. He's not a finisher and he's not even going to GnP finish Hall ever in his life. That's pretty much it. This card isn't very hyped for me and I don't trust anyone on here with a huge bet. Otherwise I can also be on both sides of the coin if I played Hall's ML with a joint play on Maynard decision and my 1 out will be for Maynard not to finish this fight which I won't be sweating.

Also, I gotta wonder if Masvidal just tees off on Ellenberger if Ellenburger decides to just check out mentally. I mean it wouldn't need to be a clean KO but the ref would just step in because Jake looks for a way out. Jake is talking about pressuring Jorge but I feel like he's going to run into a bunch of counters that way and then what? He'll have to back off and then Mas moves forward and pressures him what will Jake do? State Farm will not have his back here.

Im with ya a mas finish will not surprise me. Berger is not a good nail
 
365 limited me to a fiver on that crazy +10000 mm line. Hit hall dec +600 crazyness
 
0.2u parlay - Masvidal KO, McMann Dec, Hall Dec, England ML (Rugby), DYK @ +10000
 
so somehow davis' ML has dropped like what, 15-20 points? and yet her NSC line just went from -182 to -129

oooooooooooooooook?

mcmann can't finish anyone, davis super durable, i finally found my path for a bet in this fight. davis NSC -129 all day.
 
Red flag city....

I told the UFC I was willing to fight up a weight class, and they gave me this fight, UFC knew I had value, it's nervous 6 days notice, never taken a short notice fight, nerve wracking, fight week has been crazy, up and down emotional, but what can you do, I won't make excuses, I'm a fighter, we weren't getting ready for a fight, we weren't doing conditioning, but I'm good, I'm a big underdog, let's go, I've never been this nervous, UFC jitters are real, I have nothing to lose, I'm going to go back down after this fight, I'm a flyweight, when I got the call I was 147, he will be bigger, I have the speed advantage, he won't be the better athlete, if he shoots I'll take his neck


Confidence increase on Font ITD
 
fight pass:

clark-stansbury
clark looks thicker back up at 205, no doubt. doesn't look like a small 205'er.
stansbury looks alright, decent enough for him, tho i still say he could be 185, himself
stansbury is 2" taller FWIW.

smith-mutapcic
smith long and lean 185 as usual
mutapcic looks solid, also same as always
smith is 2" taller

fs1 prelims:

moyle-curran
moyle looks strong, stocky lil girl. looks a bit fitter than on tuf, maybe?
curran lean as always, looks very good as usual
curran is 2-3" taller

o'reilly-DHK
o'reilly looks much better back down at 155. thick/strong.
DHK looks solid, about the same as last time at 155
DHK looks a LOT bigger, like 4+" taller

schnell-font
schnell looks alright up at 135. not too imposing, tho.
font looks alright.
they look about the same size, actually.

hall-maynard
hall looks alright, obviously skinny and not strong, but looks fine for him
gray looks solid at 145, but he even looks a bit gaunt in the face hours later than the first weigh in
hall is 2" taller

fs1 main:

moreno-benoit
benoit looks good, strong 125'er as usual
moreno looks ok. same as usual
moreno maybe 1" taller? hard to tell. jesus christ he doesn't stop smiling, lol, but it's not obnoxious or annoying somehow

mcmann-davis
davis looks actually not too bad after the layoff, i thought she looked a lil weary at the early weigh in, but after the baby/layoff, i expected worse
mcmann looks outstanding as always, freakin jacked.
they're pretty similarly sized

cannonier-cutelaba
cannonier looks pretty darn good down at 205, imo. leaner than before
cutelaba in full green yet again, but dyed his hair black this time, LOL! he looks outstanding
cutelaba is actually the bigger dude even tho cannonier dropping, 2+" taller (shoes on for cannonier)


masvidal-ellenberger
masvidal looks alright. never looks good, especially at 170. same as usual.
ellenberger looks solid. he's definitely looked worse. same as last fight pretty much.
they're the same size (masvidal shoes)

benavidez-cejudo
cejudo makes weight. looks solid. slimmer than during tuf, not surprisingly.
benavidez looks solid, but not as ripped as some fights IMO...
cejudo 1" taller i think

elliot-DJ
elliot looks the same as always, lean but solid, good size for 125, etc.
DJ doesn't look like he's taking this lightly, he looks great
elliot is 3" taller i think?
 
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He said he has a longer reach than Cejudo. I am guessing someone called out T-rex lol

It looks equal in the staredown or cejudo if anything.

Bryant shook when she heard the R word.
 
Cutelaba is one insane dude, not surprised his line got worse but still like jared but only early on, think cutelaba could take over afterwards.

That was strange what joe b did he looked like someone in the crowd said something this is probably the first time have seen both guys so unhappy with each other so hopefully its not for show and we get a good fight.
 
well this was fun. Font/Schnell under 2,5 rounds on Betfair @ 2,25.
Thought this was a great line, so pounded it. Luckily I double checked my open bets: the bet I just made had modified itself to under 1,5. This isn't even an option on Betfair..
 
Is it me or does betfair have more props than usual? either way I'm not complaining. I do wish betfair was a little bit more mmafriendly regarding livebetting etc because i love the exchange model as opposed to traditional bookmakers.
 
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