TUF 24 Finale - Mighty Mouse vs Elliot - Vegas

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Yeah, I saw no love at all for the Stansbury Dec line. I got it at +650 and R3 +2000. Got a parlay with mutaptic dec and hall dec, great value.

There was a guy somewhere here who said that Clark is much better, but I heavily disagree

It's sometimes easy to follow a hype when the opponent is a non "main stream" not so active upcoming fighter, and Stansbury doesn't look athletic persay, but he's better than the average LHW journeyman. Overall just much better than Clark IMO
 
Heroin - not even once

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It's sometimes easy to follow a hype when the opponent is a non "main stream" not so active upcoming fighter, and Stansbury doesn't look athletic persay, but he's better than the average LHW journeyman. Overall just much better than Clark IMO

Clark definitely has more athletic talent and skill, but Stansbury has pretty much every intangible factor. I still can't pick this one, but I'm loving the o1.5.
 
Should I still take Mighty Mouse at -850 because he is such a lock?
 
Should I still take Mighty Mouse at -850 because he is such a lock?

Personally it doesn't make any sense. Im almost sure that Johnson will remove Elliott, but there will always be variance, and anything can happen, and that could also be injuries. It doesn't make sense in the long run to pay so much juice. I personally don't think you should touch anything belov 1.300 in MMA betting.
 
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Possible to hit fotn twice in a row? Here's to trying:

Moreno-benoit +690 (missed +775 opener)

Small consideration maybe for +800 mutapcic smith, but mainly going with the moreno fight
 
Despite the small cage, playing decision overs from O5.5 -125 and up. Over 10.5 pays 486:1
 
Despite the small cage, playing decision overs from O5.5 -125 and up. Over 10.5 pays 486:1

I honestly think I'm playing more ITD or under 2.5's than I've ever played on any card.
 
What are your picks in general. need to tail your god status.

Check out the bets thread, though a lot of them were placed before I knew it was a small cage which plays a big factor
 
Okay I've never bet the field on a FOTN prop before, but I have no choice here. -245 for the field over MM/Elliott? We all pretty much agree Elliott is completely outclassed here right? Mighty Mouse is as big a favorite as we've seen in quite awhile. -1000. This fight shouldn't be all that competitive. I don't care if it's the ME, this line makes zero sense. I like EZ's pick of Moreno/Benoit, I think if Jake can hang in there that Mas/Ellenburger could have a shot. There's plenty of fights that could and SHOULD be better and far more competitive than the ME. I'm hammering this line. Maybe I get burned but this should be like -500 imo.
 
Line starting to move now on field over MM/Elliott FOTN. I think some of you guys are joining me. I'm 3.6ish units on it to win 1.5
 
Check out the bets thread, though a lot of them were placed before I knew it was a small cage which plays a big factor

You think it really matters that much? I found out a little later as well so i did a bit of research on big vs small cages. There seems to be not that much difference like you might expect, atleast not what i expected. It's definitely something to take into consideration but i'm guessing not by that much. Mind you i haven't gone full blown sherlock on it so it could very well be that there is data out there suggesting otherwise.
 
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