I think Cub line goes down before fight gets closer. Casuals are late with their betting and they will recognise the name and bet Swanson.The line for Cub/Choi fight is madness that is for sure, but do you guys think that we will get even better price for Cub or his line will go down?
At closer odds I'd probably be on Max too. Hell, I don't even mind a play on him at current odds. I'm just trying to look at both sides here, and I feel like Pettis isn't being given enough credit. We're talking about a guy who has fought the best of the best at LW, has finished his last 5 wins and has proven to be as durable as they come. I look at the Oliveira fight differently than you do and I also felt like McGregor was well on his way to finishing Max before the knee injury/grappling started. To me, this is a fight where one guy has at least a decent chance of finishing and the other guy has a very small chance. Hence, why I'm planning to be on Pettis NSC, pending odds of course.
kennedy overrates his own standup so much.. it's cost him in the past...
So yeah just posted it in the wrong thread, but Cub's ML @ 2/1 looks like crazy value to me. Even thought it was a mistake when I first saw the lines. Sure Choi has looked very good so far but he hasn't fought anyone of Cub's calibre yet.
I pulled the trigger now on Cowboy, big. I debated waiting for reduced but I'm really worried he ends up like -350 or so by Sat. Maybe I'm misreading where the line could move but I'd have way more regret missing out on him at -260 and having to pay -320 or whatever than I will betting him now and possibly getting -220 or something later. I'm comfortable with the line (given my analysis here, VERY comfortable LOL) so just gonna pull the trigger now. If his line improves somehow, I can't say I'll add. There isn't an obvious hedge. Maybe Brown KO? Going 5.2u to win 2u now. Plus I have him in parlays. Gonna end up as possibly my biggest pre fight play in a long time.
Then I'm unloading all over it. In this division Cub should only be a 2/1 dog against Aldo, Edgar, or Max imo.Not a mistake, CUb's line is close to that on the US books.
lol Robin Black is God.