UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

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full lines up on betsafe

took vittori +124 2.24

dirty bird +101 2.01


Tim Means - Alex Oliveira 2.01 +101-1.80
Antônio Carlos Júnior - Marvin Vettori 1.65-2.24 +124
Brandon Thatch - Niko Price 1.30-3.50 +250
Dong Hyun Kim - Tarec Saffiedine 1.75 - 2.08 +108
Louis Smolka - Ray Borg 1.60-2.34 +134
Mike Pyle - Alex Garcia +124 2.24-1.65

magny +145, I think I like it, post usada big riggs looks like crap

Borg by submission might be worth a bet. Smolka always goes to the ground and often ends up in bad position but scrambles out, Borg is one of the best grapplers in the division.
 
Borg by submission might be worth a bet. Smolka always goes to the ground and often ends up in bad position but scrambles out, Borg is one of the best grapplers in the division.
yes I favour smolka but he always grapples and that is borgs bread and butter
 
Current lines on Betsafe:
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Means gonna get wrestle/boring clinch against the cage fucked unfortunately
 
I dont see Cowboy as much of a wrestling threat. He looks to clinch where Means will elbow him into oblivion.

I don't follow... Olive just took Moontasri repeatedly a couple fights ago, even took brooks down...
 
Any info on Niko Price, would love to fade thatch but not sure if +250 is enough

i think thatch is a usada victim. physically he looks completely different and his performances have been terrible recently. he should have crushed siyar and couldn't keep it standing.
 
I don't follow... Olive just took Moontasri repeatedly a couple fights ago, even took brooks down...
Well Olive came in very heavy against Brooks who also cracked his rib. Have to rewatch Moontasri but I dont rate him highly.
 
I don't follow... Olive just took Moontasri repeatedly a couple fights ago, even took brooks down...
pretty much everybody takes moon down, even zafir had succes grappling him
 
Fuckkk I can't play TJ at that price. I'm hoping for some line movement, should be a good amount of Lineker backers.
 
Fuckkk I can't play TJ at that price. I'm hoping for some line movement, should be a good amount of Lineker backers.

Just play the dec line. If Lineker ate Dodsons counters for breakfast in 5 rounds there is no way TJ finishes him.
 
Just play the dec line. If Lineker ate Dodsons counters for breakfast in 5 rounds there is no way TJ finishes him.
Yeah, that's the play for sure. But with his ML at -250 right now I wouldn't expect his DEC line for less than -160, -175... Lineker fans where you at!
 
Re Means/Cowboy

Cowboy gets his grappling game going by pushing guys back with his wild strikes until he gets them up against the cage and then he starts overwhelming them with his physique up against the cage. I think this strategy will be a lot harder to implement against a techincal striker of Means calibre. If that doesn't work he will be forced to strike with Means because he never takes guys down in the open space.
 
Forget the Means/Cowboy line, why the hell is Kim at pickem vs Tarec?! Hes going to get him in the clinch and dominate
 
Forget the Means/Cowboy line, why the hell is Kim at pickem vs Tarec?! Hes going to get him in the clinch and dominate
Havn't put much thought into this fight but that does make a lot of sense. If Story could keep Tarec on the fence for pretty much the entire fight than DHK should be able to bully him to the fence and grapple fuck the crap out of him.
 
Hope Conor verbally destroys Ronda for this. What happened to her saying before the Holm fight "they all wanna be the champ but don't really want the responsibilities" or whatever it was? Now its the generic "idc about money I just wanna fight" spiel.

plus wasn't she the one going out doing all these movies while mcgregor turned it down because he wanted to focus on fighting? You just get the idea she's mad at the world coupled with some sort of victim mentality where everyone is out to get her. Whether it will effect her fighting remains to be seen, i guess it could go both ways.
 
I need to watch tape on stun gun clearly as i liked tarec here. I think i only remember stun guns brawl with silva so thought it was a good stylistic match
 
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