Love Caceres and Marquard. think marquard can get this to the ground when ever he wants. cerrone looked bad in his last fight and masvidal is better striker than brown at this point.wont play ngannou at this current price. arlovski sucks but he still has sharp hands when it goes to a brawl
With you on Cerrone looking hittable and I think that Masvidal is a bad matchup for him. Money on the underdog for me.
Marquardt is better fighter than Alvey other than being shot. I think there is value on him. Impossible to not like a guy that smiles all the time but Sam is just not that good.
Not touching Arlovski and Ngannou... but I think Francis gets the job done pretty easily. The guy is really game and patient. I feel it is going to need an elite striker (say JDS) or an elite pressure wrestleboxer (say Cain) to beat him down convincingly.
His chin is still a question. I remember him being stunned by a jab (more a straight left iirc) by Curtis Blaydes. Yeah.. Curtis is a huge and underrated fighter.
Arlovski is shot and besides the Browne fight he fought scared since he came back to the UFC. I dont care if he had a good streak at some point. All his wins came with a huge *.
Schaub: Nothing happened and most think he lost. He also apologized for his performance.
Bigfoot: BF crumbled as soon as he got touched.
Browne: Was a brawl but he looked good at it.
Mir: even worst fight than Schaub. He was really tentative, almost frozen.
Then he faced better competition and looked outmatched in all 3 fights.
I never bought his resurgence. Maybe a little after Browne fight but he has looked awful in the rest.