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Nate is the dog. o1.5 is -115. Pleaseeeeeee give me a super juicy line on Nate dec
You'll probably get your wish but I could see Nate finishing. Alvey is a tough sumbitch but Nate still has big powerNate is the dog. o1.5 is -115. Pleaseeeeeee give me a super juicy line on Nate dec
Yeah and have fun standing at kicking range with Assuncao, he's gonna kick the living shit out of your legs.That's what im thinking without watching tape. Aljo has terrible standup he just spams kicks. I need Raphael closer to evens tho.
I'd be surprised tbh. Nate has power but like you said, Alvey has a hell of a chin. Plus I feel like one of the few things left I can count on with Nate is fight IQ after the Tamdan fight. And if I can count on that, I have to believe he'll be wrestling in this one too and staying on the outside on the feet well outside of Alvey's power. Alvey has zero footwork, so no point in giving him what he wants and stepping into punching range.You'll probably get your wish but I could see Nate finishing. Alvey is a tough sumbitch but Nate still has big power
I agree with you overall, but one of my new years betting resolutions is to lay off hitting so many props, I'll just hit Nate's ML and be happy. We've seen stronger chins cracked by weaker punchers. But I know they are more your style. I was actually having a lot of success with them between November and December last year but I think long term I should just cool it.I'd be surprised tbh. Nate has power but like you said, Alvey has a hell of a chin. Plus I feel like one of the few things left I can count on with Nate is fight IQ after the Tamdan fight. And if I can count on that, I have to believe he'll be wrestling in this one too and staying on the outside on the feet well outside of Alvey's power. Alvey has zero footwork, so no point in giving him what he wants and stepping into punching range.
Most importantly though is the value. Fucking PRAYING for over +400 on that line
I'd be surprised tbh. Nate has power but like you said, Alvey has a hell of a chin. Plus I feel like one of the few things left I can count on with Nate is fight IQ after the Tamdan fight. And if I can count on that, I have to believe he'll be wrestling in this one too and staying on the outside on the feet well outside of Alvey's power. Alvey has zero footwork, so no point in giving him what he wants and stepping into punching range.
Most importantly though is the value. Fucking PRAYING for over +400 on that line
I'll prob sprinkle some on his moneyline too. Idk when the last time Nate scored a sub is, but i'm kind of more worried about that than a KO. I just dk what Alvey's guard is going to look like vs someone with a legit top gameI agree with you overall, but one of my new years betting resolutions is to lay off hitting so many props, I'll just hit Nate's ML and be happy. We've seen stronger chins cracked by weaker punchers. But I know they are more your style. I was actually having a lot of success with them between November and December last year but I think long term I should just cool it.
If we get +4xx I'll break that resolution real quick lol.
Prices gonna play a major factor here but yeah luckily I have 2 weeks to think about how to spread out my money. Alvey is def hittable, so maybe its not worth full risk, and Nate isn't going to just Elias Theodorou him the whole timeAlvey actually gets wobbled quite often. I think Nate has about a 50/50 chance between a decision or a finish if he picks up the win. Also, if you think about it, Alvey rarely faces guys who strike.
I believe it was against Te-Huna a couple years back. Actually Nate showed pretty much exactly the type of fight that you want to see heading into this one. Probaby a good one for tape watchI'll prob sprinkle some on his moneyline too. Idk when the last time Nate scored a sub is, but i'm kind of more worried about that than a KO. I just dk what Alvey's guard is going to look like vs someone with a legit top game
If mas nc is juicy Im taking a stab, mas got a chin and cerrone is hittable
for the record I dont think this goes the distance but @ +150 or better I think it holds value just because mas is so durableit's crazy how much the perception of masvidal has changed over the past year or so. he was a decision machine and now everyone always thinks he'll finish dudes
Im not feeling the nate love. Hes pretty low volume himself and his chin is shot just like him. Hes had two nice stylistic fights. Alvey has good tdd nate aint the same bull gear free. Alvey took nicholsons shots who is a huge puncher. I like alvey for the ko here.
I like Alvey too. I'm hoping to get him closer to even money though.