UFN 104 pbp/discussion

Also just in case anyone questions whether I'm KZ's biggest fan...
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How dare you question my loyalty asshole.

Note degen play at 12:15AM, minutes before the fight starts.

Alright sir, apologies for the inconvenience.

Your membership application to the club of blind KZ fanboys has been accepted. Expect your membership card to arrive in your mailbox in 3-5 business days.
 
Yeah.... down around $500. Really regret not buying out my Trulljilo bets and making any bets on Hamilton at all.
 
http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2017/2/5...-vs-bermudez-winners-and-losers-korean-zombie

Seems like its every event I have to shred this dude Victor Rodriguez

Only retard on the planet who on a winners & losers list would put Milstead as neutral and would discredit Blaydes win cause of the injury. Just wtf.

Lol at Grasso bit. "She lost to the fighter with the more complete game and experience". No she got beat in the standup where Grassp's strength lies. It was near dominant performance by Herrig.
 
Just watched this event.

I feel really bad for Tanaka and anyone who bet on him. I think most judges in most jurisdictions would have scored it 29-28 Tanaka. 30-27 Ramos is the worst card I can remember since Sanchez-Pearson.
 
For what it's worth Milstead didn't tell his corner that he hurt his knee in the first
 
maybe a reason why kz performed better than many expected..

Hey guys, I am a veteran of the Korean army and from reading some post-fight comments, some of you seemed to be curious about how KZ was able to train during his service.



So in Korea they do a physical check up for all men when they turn legal and are rated into 7 different categories. From rating 1~3 (from completely healthy to minor health issues such as bad eye sights), people have to serve in the military or police force for 24 months. In this case, you have limited freedom (can leave base only during vacations) and have to live in barracks.



If you receive a rating of 4 (meaning you have certain conditions that prevent you from full training and military duties), you receive just 4 weeks of basic training and then serve as a civil servant for public institutions such as public schools, community centers, courts etc.



For rating 5+ (people with serious medical issues) you are exempt from service completely.



Zombie, despite his superb athleticism, ironically, received a rating 4 due to his dislocated soldier that he incurred during the Aldo fight. As a result, he was not fully exempt from duty, but was able to live at home instead of in barracks.



After working till 5pm, he was able to train for several hours every day and full-time on weekends. In a sense, he was "lucky" to have been injured in the fight because if he lived in barracks he would not have been able to train for MMA.



What was unfortunate for KZ is that even while you are serving as a civil servant and not as a full-time soldier, you are not allowed to take part in any work for personal income or leave the country.



Hence, Zombie was not able to compete during this time in the UFC. When UFC Seoul happened, KZ actually petitioned to get permission to fight, offering to donate all of his fight money to a charity organization but got rejected.
 
Just watched this event.

I feel really bad for Tanaka and anyone who bet on him. I think most judges in most jurisdictions would have scored it 29-28 Tanaka. 30-27 Ramos is the worst card I can remember since Sanchez-Pearson.
Nope. 30-27 Danielle Taylor over Seo Hee Ham remains the worst scorecard in MMA history. This is amplified by the fact that TWO judges gave it 30-27 Taylor.
 
Just watched this event.

I feel really bad for Tanaka and anyone who bet on him. I think most judges in most jurisdictions would have scored it 29-28 Tanaka. 30-27 Ramos is the worst card I can remember since Sanchez-Pearson.

I was on Tanaka and wasn't that bummed on the decision. 30-27 was obviously way off though. I really underestimated Ramos's takedown defense.
 
Nope. 30-27 Danielle Taylor over Seo Hee Ham remains the worst scorecard in MMA history. This is amplified by the fact that TWO judges gave it 30-27 Taylor.
Yup down 4.5 units. Would've been a lot worse if I didn't get a nice livebet in on fight goes the distance for the Andrade fight. Thats what I get for forcing plays on not very good fighters
 
Does 5Dimes keep an archive from that far back that you are able to access or do you regularly make screen caps of your bets and save them yourself?
5Dimes has an unlimited archive as far as I can tell. Name a fight from 2009 - 2013, and I'll show you my betslip!

(If you're on 5Dimes, you can view the archive by going to View Wagers --> Archived Wagers)
 
http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2017/2/5...-vs-bermudez-winners-and-losers-korean-zombie

Seems like its every event I have to shred this dude Victor Rodriguez

Only retard on the planet who on a winners & losers list would put Milstead as neutral and would discredit Blaydes win cause of the injury. Just wtf.

Not a good return for Hill, who will have to find a way to deal with fighters like Andrade not giving her breathing room.
Is this guy fuckin' retarded? Not a good return for Hill? Hill looked like she was top 5 in the division with that performance.
 
Congrats on the winnings but are you sure you calculated the ROI correctly?

It's not current bankroll / starting bankroll but rather total amount bet / by total profit. So in order to have a 550% ROI you would've had to bet 100 units in total and end up with a profit of 550 units thus betting at an average line of +650. This avg. line obviously changes depending on the amount of units you have bet in total.

It's a bit of a different calculation for betting than investing so it's understandable that some get it wrong. If you haven't - impressive, that's one hell of a heater ;) Also, was 1u equal to about 1% of your bankroll at the start of the year?

I'm not trying to hate on your success or anything, it just seems so crazy that I suspect you may unknowingly have calculated it wrongly or used inflated unit sizes (many do this as well). Units and ROI are tools used to compare results despite stakes being vastly different but if people aren't agreeing on what these terms mean that becomes impossible.
You are absolutely correct. I do a lot of investing and incorrectly applied the same principles. I'm not above admitting when I'm wrong and was riding on last night's high and was being more brash than I usually am so thank you for the free education my man. :)

Regarding BR unit size, yes and no. Last year, I exercised a much more disciplined approach. Had a BR of 1% units, kept my bets within a range of 1-5 units dependent on how strong my lean was, never bet more than 3 units on a prop, but I ended that year down a few $k which wasn't terribly financially impacting, but it was enough to make me question if I was good at this long term. I was closer to breaking even more than anything but I tracked all my bets in Excel and drafted monthly reports to the point where I could tell you my average odd, my winning percentage on parlays, props, what weight class I had the most success betting on, biggest and smallest bets of the month, individual winning percentage I had in each fighter, main card vs undercard percentages. Graphs, trend lines, projections and the entire works so it was really disheartening to end the year negative after all the work I had committed into it. I still loved wagering on fights and I've been habituated to follow these forums as I have been for over 1.5 years however so I told myself I would only allow myself a BR of $500 for 2017 to minimize any big losses. I kind've threw all that discipline out the window for the year and have been aggressively wagering 25-75 unit bets since the first few events in January thinking I'd go big or just lose it all and stop but have managed to grow $500/100 units into $3200/640 units so far if I'm distributing it in the same proportion, but to be honest I've just been counting dollars and ignoring unit size this year. I'm actually kind've presently conflicted over whether or not I should return to my more disciplined approach now that I have a healthy BR or if I should just continue doing what works because I do feel like betting this way will crash me at some point. Maybe I've paid my tuition costs through last year's losses.
 
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