You're doing the american odds wrongI'm still waiting for some lines, but for now:
Cooper +180
Craig +200
Elkins +550
Henrique +230
Ferguson +250
Woodley +237
These lines are all off to me. Not that I think all of them are winning, but if you do, don't hesitate.
This Elkins line is even a bit strange. Bektic is legit as fuck and the clear favorite, but not that experienced/proven yet. Elkins should be somewhere between +300/+350
You're doing the american odds wrong
Wish everyone would just use decimal, it's so much easier.
I'm still waiting for some lines, but for now ( EDITED as corrected by @MMA Gambling Expert ):
Cooper -125
Craig +100
Elkins +450
Henrique +130
Ferguson +150
Woodley +137
These lines are all off to me. Not that I think all of them are winning, but if you do, don't hesitate.
This Elkins line is even a bit strange. Bektic is legit as fuck and the clear favorite, but not that experienced/proven yet. Elkins should be somewhere between +250/+300
I'm still waiting for some lines, but for now ( EDITED as corrected by @MMA Gambling Expert ):
Cooper -125
You think cooper should be a bigger fav?
Yes. I don't think Cooper is that bad and Calvillo is so unproven.
She's big and she has lost to very good opponents ( Aspen Ladd is on a spotlight on Sherdog now too ). Experience also plays a factor here, the TUF house and everything. Moyle's win must be counted too - she's game.
Calvillo's best win is Stewart, who seems to have a padded record...
I know, WMMA. But still...
Calvillo also beat Ladd when they were amateurs.
Cooper got dropped by Elmose and has really bad scrambling ability on the ground. Cooper's best attribute is her ability to stay light on her feet most of the time (stemming from her boxing base which also leaves her upright a lot) and the fact that she has 2 fights in the UFC to Calvillo's zero, but other than that she's vulnerable to getting into scrappy exchanges and giving up positions way too easily on the ground. I don't fully trust a 2-2 fighter like her against someone who has been at TAM awhile and whos game revolves around pushing the pace and implementing the typical TAM strategy of takedowns and ground control at a high pace.
I think the matchmaking here is appropriate and this is way too random of a fight to call flat out (and WMMA..)
Calvillo also beat Ladd when they were amateurs.
Cooper got dropped by Elmose and has really bad scrambling ability on the ground. Cooper's best attribute is her ability to stay light on her feet most of the time (stemming from her boxing base which also leaves her upright a lot) and the fact that she has 2 fights in the UFC to Calvillo's zero, but other than that she's vulnerable to getting into scrappy exchanges and giving up positions way too easily on the ground. I don't fully trust a 2-2 fighter like her against someone who has been at TAM awhile and whos game revolves around pushing the pace and implementing the typical TAM strategy of takedowns and ground control at a high pace.
I think the matchmaking here is appropriate and this is way too random of a fight to call flat out (and WMMA..)
Doubt it gets as good as it was. I thought waiting till the last minute was the right choice but I ended up taking the +175, I do think the late money comes in on Khabib though.I'm hoping for late money on Khabib
Doubt it gets as good as it was. I thought waiting till the last minute was the right choice but I ended up taking the +175, I do think the late money comes in on Khabib though.
Cooper is always game, her fight against Moyle really impressed me. She's a big strong 115er and she can punch. Don't know much about her opponent, she trains at Alpha Male, seems to be a grappler more than anything else. Cooper has bad TDD, this fight seems like a toss up. I'll go with Cooper though, she comes to fight, she's got better experience and she has the striking, hopefully she's been working hard on her TDD.Yeah, I understand your arguments. I've just added the six month factor as w
Craig is a full time teacher. Most likely trains max 6 times per week. No KO power. Pulled guard against Henrique. Pedros ground game is on different level compared to Craig.
Yeah, I understand your arguments. I just have the feeling that size will be a factor and also experience.
I've just added the six month factor as well for Calv too
IIRC, Calvillo has a full time job. I just can't find the article.
Can you not read. I have no problem with people betting elkins thats not my point. My point is mma maths doesnt work. Loads of people are saying elkins beat skelly easy while bektic didnt. It doesnt mean shit
Or maybe I don't have to defend a strawman due to your lack of reading comprehension. The argument isn't "Elkins had an easier time with Skelly, so he'll definitely beat Bektic". The point is that Skelly is the most similar opponent to Elkins that Bektic has faced. Elkins is a veteran that has cashed as an underdog at an incredible rate, and Bektic's toughest test in competition was Skelly which was a very tough fight for him. You have a guy at absolute ridiculous odds going against a spoiler who has faced better competition and succeeded with the same level of competition.
What I find laughable is how many times you liked and agreed with people bringing up the Tibau vs. Khabib comparison with Tibau vs. Ferg and now you are saying this. There are several examples of that in this thread - a hell of a lot more than Elkins vs. Bektic which sits at much steeper odds.