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- May 8, 2011
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I had a retard moment when I made that post. I totally confused her with valentina schevchenko.
Moroz fought danielle taylor. Fade moroz.
I had a retard moment when I made that post. I totally confused her with valentina schevchenko.
Vettori + Esparza. Vettori itd. Means in 2 or 3. Herrig NSC. Stans - Kimball starts round 2 + Martin/Case o2.5.JB what are your bets for tonight?
I was just about to comment and say how I liked Garcia DEC at +1000. I went to go bet and it is now +1250... 0.5u
EDIT: I do also have some Tim Means in a parlay at -240 and ITD straight -120. I'm now essentially on "Not Garcia ITD"
NOT Chiesa/Lee FOTN at -245 is pretty tempting. At the very least it's a definite freeroll for anyone who hit the opener
I like Quinones as a dog here! Confident in that pick! Then I have Penn, but not so confident lol. But then Cheisa as well. 3 dogs could very well bark tonight.
When's the last time Hendricks killed anyone, let alone a guy that's way bigger and stronger?2,5u BJ Penn 2.75
2,5u Lee + Mayweather 2.10
1,5u Esparza + Vettori 1.79
1,5u Herrig 1.90
1,25u Boetsch/Hendricks U2.5 + Means/Garcia ITD 3.31
1,25u Means + Stansbury/Kimball ITD 2.20
1,0u Esparza + Stansbury 2.20
0,75u both ♀ fights O2.5 2.02
0,75u Gordon + Vettori 2.20
0,5u Case 2.25
0,5u Penn/Siver O2.5 + Christensen/Reyes ITD 2.41
0,5u Chiesa ITD 2.75 (small hedge on the 2,5u Lee ML)
0,25u Guida 3.75
After Hendricks kills Boetsch I will make another 5.4u (closes 3 parlays, initial risk 1,25u).
I had a fourth big parlay to be closed by a Hendricks win, but I cashed out on that one
- it would have broken my heart if Hendricks somehow hurts his angle and I get out no money at all from my precious parlays.
I am still very confident in Hendricks though!
Initially I had 2.5u on Boetsch/Hendricks U2.5, I cashed it out though and did the parlay with Means/Garcia ITD instead.
If Lee loses I hope he gets brutally finished at least (like the finish that Maia got on Story) - I really dislike that dude.
GL to everyone!
Not quite understanding the odds on Vettori. Miranda is getting up there in age but he's looked a lot better in his UFC fights than Vettori.. Throwing .5u on Miranda ITD at +600.
Sub/dec +210 is a nice angleWhat do you guys think is BJs likely route to victory here? I want to bet him but he's only +125 SU now. Prop wise though I can get Dec +500 ITD +350, KO +600 sub +500 and sub/Dec +210.
It seems like they're a bit all over the place and I'd be able to get a better profit on him winning by backing 2 props on him that cover a Penn win; either Dec + ITD and hope for a Dec, or KO for 1 bet and the sub/Dec for the other.
Those of you betting BJ, what are you actually giving him chances wise, both just in terms of winning and the likelihood of each method? Most of the reasoning I've seen on this fight is just betting cos Silver looks awful and BJ not as bad and its lower level competition than he's had, but in terms of strategy and that not seen much.
I should probably just leave this geriatric fight alone but not betting a BJ Penn fight feels wrong.
I think it has to do with vettori's ground game keeping up with shoeface and winning a round versus Miranda getting grapple fuxked by camozzi.
I'm staying away from it though.
Tim is usually first to make cruical mistakes when someone fights him toe-to-toe, but yeah, I would not bet on Hendricks to do that at current odds.