UFC Fox 25 - Weidman vs Gastelum - Long Island

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Noted. But still fought and took rounds off of 3 of the top 5 guys.

I think arguments can be made for both sides. Just pissed I missed Chris at +140 on 5d (it was there for like 1 minute lol).

I took Weidman NSC at +155 and it's still there. Unless you think he has a good chance of winning a decision I think it's the better option.
 
I took Weidman NSC at +155 and it's still there. Unless you think he has a good chance of winning a decision I think it's the better option.
Idk man, you're betting a NSC bet on a guy who's been finished in his last three fights against someone who has never been close to being finished. More so, Weidman has shown to fade and this is a 5 rounder. Very risky imo
 
Idk man, you're betting a NSC bet on a guy who's been finished in his last three fights against someone who has never been close to being finished. More so, Weidman has shown to fade and this is a 5 rounder. Very risky imo

I hear you but I think Weidman decision might be the least likely scenario in this fight. Gastelum hasn't finished anyone near Weidman's level and those 3 guys who finished Chris are absolute killers.

Also, my plan is live bet Gas if Chris doesn't get him out of there in the first round or two and I only put 1u on it so not a big bet.
 
I hear you but I think Weidman decision might be the least likely scenario in this fight. Gastelum hasn't finished anyone near Weidman's level and those 3 guys who finished Chris are absolute killers.

Also, my plan is live bet Gas if Chris doesn't get him out of there in the first round or two and I only put 1u on it so not a big bet.
yea I prob won't touch Gastelum pre fight other than fliers on round 3-5 finishes but this is one of those fights where I'll def look to LB Gastelum if Weidman takes an early round
 
yea I prob won't touch Gastelum pre fight other than fliers on round 3-5 finishes but this is one of those fights where I'll def look to LB Gastelum if Weidman takes an early round

Don't get me wrong, I don't think a Weidman finish is super likely or anything, but IIRC Magny had Gastelum in some really bad positions early in their fight and I'm thinking if Weidman can get him down (and I think he can) he might be able to capitalize on it. If it doesn't happen I'm at least hoping for decent odds on Gastelum between one of the early rounds, as I think Gastelum by late stoppage or decision will be most likely at that point.
 
I am speechless that some people still think Weidman doesn't gas.

He's fighting a guy with a great gas tank here. And he's fighting a guy who seems to get stronger and throw more volume late.


I do agree Weidman probably humps him first round or 2
 
I am speechless that some people still think Weidman doesn't gas.

He's fighting a guy with a great gas tank here. And he's fighting a guy who seems to get stronger and throw more volume late.


I do agree Weidman probably humps him first round or 2

I think most (all?) here are in agreement that 5 rounds is a huge advantage for Gastelum.
 
Idk man, you're betting a NSC bet on a guy who's been finished in his last three fights against someone who has never been close to being finished. More so, Weidman has shown to fade and this is a 5 rounder. Very risky imo
I think its fair to say KG is a very durable guy, he took some hard shots from Woodley that didnt seem to face him at all. I remember him being badly rocked by Story though.
 
I think its fair to say KG is a very durable guy, he took some hard shots from Woodley that didnt seem to face him at all. I remember him being badly rocked by Story though.
Was he really? I'll have to rewatch that fight. Thanks!
 
Was he really? I'll have to rewatch that fight. Thanks!
Think it was at the end of the first round. Can anyone else confirm? I know Pyle had almost the same thing happening vs Story so I'm wondering if I'm mixing the two fights up.
 
Think it was at the end of the first round. Can anyone else confirm? I know Pyle had almost the same thing happening vs Story so I'm wondering if I'm mixing the two fights up.

It was at the end of the 2nd round , Story knocked him down with a punch.
In r1 Gastelum knocked Story down with a head kick.
 
Disagree. The whole card is full of pick ems.

That doesn't make it bad for betting in anyway.

Also extremely impressed with how people can call a card good or bad for betting, before seeing the odds.
 
I am speechless that some people still think Weidman doesn't gas.

He's fighting a guy with a great gas tank here. And he's fighting a guy who seems to get stronger and throw more volume late.


I do agree Weidman probably humps him first round or 2
The only thing that concerns me in this fight is the size discrepancy.
 
That doesn't make it bad for betting in anyway.

Also extremely impressed with how people can call a card good or bad for betting, before seeing the odds.

I said that it's good for betting because I have some strong leans, but I can change my mind about the card if the fighters turn to be juiced as fuck.
 
I am speechless that some people still think Weidman doesn't gas.

He's fighting a guy with a great gas tank here. And he's fighting a guy who seems to get stronger and throw more volume late.


I do agree Weidman probably humps him first round or 2

I see the fight being similar to Yoel vs Whittaker except Kelvins striking isn't great and Weidman isn't as bad of a striker as Yoel. I bet on Weidman. Weidman has been breaking a lot lately though. Yea Kelvin has a gas tank but he's sort of helpless against a guy like Chris. What offense can he mount assuming Weidman doesn't flat out gas out?
 
I see the fight being similar to Yoel vs Whittaker except Kelvins striking isn't great and Weidman isn't as bad of a striker as Yoel. I bet on Weidman. Weidman has been breaking a lot lately though. Yea Kelvin has a gas tank but he's sort of helpless against a guy like Chris. What offense can he mount assuming Weidman doesn't flat out gas out?

Kelvins striking has gotten pretty damn good.

At this point I'm OK assuming Chris will gas out midway through unless he can completely control Kelvin without using any effort himself
 
will be looking to play laflare and di Chirico as dogs.

there's also a pretty blatant favs double that i'm sure everyone else is eyeing lol.
 
I see this being a rough out for Kelvin. Rewatching his fights, his stand up is largely spamming 1-2 and hoping his hand speed will bring him to target. Not much set up or finesse. Chris has an amazing snatch single, something probably developed from fighting fifteen million southpaws in his career. I see him getting under those telegraphed punches and putting the size discrepancy on display with those single legs.
 
i just think at the odds of -140 and what weidman has shown lately gastelum is a great bet. Aside from weight issues gastelum has been rock solid and is still very young. Weidman can wrestle yes but hes tried that in his past 3 fights and blows his load rather quickly. Gastelum has the standup to be able to pick him apart when hes gassed.
 
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