UFN 113 - Ponzinibbio vs Nelson - Scotland

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People like to chase dogs too much. I saw a chart today, if you were to bet each underdog on each UFC event this year at $100, you would be down -$4,760.00

Finding value in a underdog is one thing, to chase a underdog because his line is high and you think he has a slight chance is a losing game.

Cedenblad was a 1.35 favourite against Marshman btw. Marshman is a 1.17 favourite against Janes and pretty passeive on his back.
 
I'm coming from alot with my father, he died a week before training camp, he's coming with me in my cage this Sat, my brother is in my corner, that's all he's doing there

 
I don't know much about him, no gameplan, feel it out

 
I'm eager for the bonus, was on weight early in the morning, I'm happy, my fitness is amazing

 
Yes Rofus has affected my style, I was driving too much at Catones, Almeidas gym, now this gym is focused on me, tight night family, I'm commentating the fights for Dana's contenders series, I did that for a week, win, lose or draw, I've done it, once I retire, I'm going to go back into acting and doing more commentating

 
Weight cut is never easy, hopefully it'll go ok, I've struggled for health reasons, I'd be happier at 125, be less stress, the crowd will be cheering for me, striking battle

 
I asked for a fight in Anaheim, my hometown, but they offered me #8, I took it right away, I've put the work in, many years, I know I belong here, I'm here to give her the hardest fight of her life, the Diazs - we're both from NorthCal, I'm happy to be the female version, I'm the best grappler in this division, I want to beat the best, I will get the finish

 
We're friendly to each other, I respect him, but I always thought this fight would happen, friendly competition, I will still want to KO him, I started in martial arts, then did acting, then I took a fight one summer and here we are, yeah I'm doing commentary now, I'm doing the Fight pass show, watching tape on these younger fighters, this will be FOTN, try to get my hand raised, hoping to get out there healthy with a W

 
People like to chase dogs too much. I saw a chart today, if you were to bet each underdog on each UFC event this year at $100, you would be down -$4,760.00

Finding value in a underdog is one thing, to chase a underdog because his line is high and you think he has a slight chance is a losing game.

so fucking true bro, so annoying seeing people make cases for people because they are dogs when they are pure shit like janes. he is a worse cedenblad ffs and people licking his arse cause he has a + sign next to his name
 
I'm seeing value in Rountree/Craig U1.5 @ -200 (Betsafe). Very rare for either of them to get out of the first round. Struggling to see how this fight goes over.
 
so fucking true bro, so annoying seeing people make cases for people because they are dogs when they are pure shit like janes. he is a worse cedenblad ffs and people licking his arse cause he has a + sign next to his name

Find a single post where anyone even said they thought he was going to win.

To whoever mentioned finding value, that's exactly what this is. Personally I'm not betting Janes, but several people cap him at better than +505, and I don't blame them. He has paths to victory, and has Marshman deserved to be -600 against anybody? I don't really think so, but it's subjective. Betting Janes at +505 because you cap him at better odds is the same thing as betting Pantoja because you give him a better chance of winning than the odds do; the + sign has nothing to do with it.
 
People like to chase dogs too much. I saw a chart today, if you were to bet each underdog on each UFC event this year at $100, you would be down -$4,760.00

Finding value in a underdog is one thing, to chase a underdog because his line is high and you think he has a slight chance is a losing game.

What if you were to bet each underdog to win $100?

Underdogs are usually underdogs for a reason but I don't think they're all equal and that's why I thinking risking the same amount on every one is flat out dumb.
 
so fucking true bro, so annoying seeing people make cases for people because they are dogs when they are pure shit like janes. he is a worse cedenblad ffs and people licking his arse cause he has a + sign next to his name

You waited almost a year to post this idiocy? Please pipe down. Marshman doesn't win this fight over 80% of the time and thats just a fact, fish-
 
Can we give O some sort of admin powers to get inane trashbags like this guy out of this thread? This thread has been going for at least 7 years, and the quality have been going steadly down ever since then.
 
People like to chase dogs too much. I saw a chart today, if you were to bet each underdog on each UFC event this year at $100, you would be down -$4,760.00

Finding value in a underdog is one thing, to chase a underdog because his line is high and you think he has a slight chance is a losing game.

I'd be very interested in seeing this chart, please do share?
 
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