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God damn this card sucks dick
God damn this card sucks dick
It's actually a fun card matchmaking wise and I'm not hating on it, just way to little name recognition for it to be a ppv. But where I live ppv dont cost more than any other ufc card, maybe I would've felt otherwise about if I had to pay 60 bucks for itGod damn this card sucks dick
Ferguson is weak as fuck. Lee can easily Castillo him with added finishing skills and better standup.
Tony has great conditioning and fight IQ, but he can be beat in transitions when he is defending. If Lee can press the fight, grapple and not gas out he can win.
It was actually poor fight IQ by Ferg that allowed the Castillo fight to be as close as it was. He even said later that he'd never be that inactive off his back again. Ferg isn't "weak as fuck", he was a juco national champion wrestler. Lee is probably physically stronger, but Ferg uses leverage and his long arms really well which makes him functionally strong in a lot of MMA situations (like his front headlock snapdown for example).
Lee is definitely a legit challenge though. I just wonder how Lee will deal with being pressured nonstop by a guy who has an endless gas tank, great chin and ability to recover quickly, and wide variety of strikes.
On the flipside, Ferg does seem to take chances with his grappling, I agree with you there. It makes him a dynamic finisher, but can leave openings too. And Lee has shown (as you said) his grappling transitions are very good.
I think Ferg wins, but this is probably too much juice to pay against a dynamic up and coming guy like Lee.
What's Ferguson's TDD like? The most obvious path to victory for him is to keep it standing. I know he likes going for a lot of funky stuff on the ground but I'm not sure whether thats a good idea vs Lee who is very solid on top.
Over 5 rounds i strongly favour Ferg. I have three issues with Lee that are going to hurt him in this fight. Hes chinny he gets dropped every bloody fight and i think he only shoots doubles. He also has pretty bad standup. Trinaldo was stuffing his doubles pretty easily. Now over five rounds theres gonna come a point where Ferg stuffs a few especially if hes all over Lee standing and Lee starts shooting desperate doubles. Once that happens welcome to snap down city. This is also a biiigggg step up in competition.
Others might disagree but I think Ferg's takedown defense is very good when he's focused on keeping the fight standing. He's ended up on his back at times after trying high risk attacks, which he feels comfortable attempting because he's so confident in his ground game.
Like you said though, I think his main focus in this fight should be to keep it standing, at least while Lee is fresh. He's way too dangerous on the ground to play around with.
Does anyone have a strong feeling on Lee's gas tank? We know Ferg's is endless and you'd have to think the longer it goes the more it's going to favor him.