UFC 216 - Ferguson vs Lee - Vegas

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I'm really not worried about Tony being out wrestled for a large amount of time. Especially with the weight cut

Yeah and the fact that if you shoot on him your neck is in jeopardy every time. Tony just needs to avoid the Imanari rolls and shit in this fight.
 
fight pass:

tavares-leites
tavares looks good, but not QUITE as good as he has in some fights?
leites looks alright. looked better, looked worse
same size

moraga-bibulatov
bibulatov looks great
moraga lookin decent, as usual
moraga is 2-3" taller, bibulatov looks a bit broader maybe

harris-godbeer
godbeer looks good, 244.5, as expected for him
harris looks as good as he has, imo. he is still a thick mofo but he looks in good shape. 251
godbeer maybe 1" taller? hard to tell

FX prelims:

schnell-beltran
beltran looks alright, super slender. still not sure he should be so low
schnell looks very fit,a s expected.
very similarly sized, tho beltran just looks a tad bigger.

gonzalez-botelho
botelho looks very fit.. hard girl...
gonzalez looks alright for her.. soft girl...
botelho is 1" taller.

vannata-green
green looks pretty f'in good, man. as good as ever, i think...
vannata looks very solid, too.
they're really similarly sized

stamann-duquesnoy
stamann looks sooo different at 135, looks fuckin outstanding.
duqesnoy much leaner but looks good
duquesnoy like 2" taller

ppv:

dariush-dunham
dunham looks a bit kinda.. thicker? than some of his earlier fights. he looks good.
dariush looks alright, same as usual for him. never looks ripped or anything.
dunham 1" taller maybe? hard to tell

faria-borella
faria pretty fit at 125. looks healthier than some of her 115 fights.
borella also very fit, much more natural 125'er, i think
borella is the bigger girl, 2" taller, looks like longer reach, etc?

lewis-werdum
lewis 263.5, looks the same as always. big and soft, etc
werdum in at 247. weighs in with shirt on. (he looked a bit sub par for him this morning, tho)
werdum is 1" taller

DJ-borg
borg makes the weight, looks pretty decent.
DJ looks fantastic, as always. maybe a lil more jacked than some fights?
borg is 2" taller

ferguson-lee
lee looks pretty f'ing awesome, despite the extra pound he had to lose etc, this dude is fuckin shredded as ever.
ferguson ferg keeps shirt on but he looks in great shape, same as usual.
ferg is 2+" taller, longer wingspan, etc
 
This is a tough card to read. But my favorite play is Cody. Stylistically I think he stays in Tom's face all night long and doesn't let him breathe. And he will hit opportunistic takedowns when there. I actually think that Cody should be the favorite.
 
UFC lists Ferg as 76" reach and Lee as 77":eek:

Is this fight between the two guys in this division with the longest reach? For 155 those are some long damn arms. Makes sense why both guys win so many fights via choke I guess.
 
whoa, FOTN +350 for lee-ferguson? i know there are a couple other good ones tomorrow and it's a 12 fight card, but i thought this would be +200 or something, max. how does this NOT get FOTN if it goes a couple rounds? love it as far as FOTN props go
 
fight pass:





vannata-green
green looks pretty f'in good, man. as good as ever, i think...
vannata looks very solid, too.
they're really similarly sized

stamann-duquesnoy
stamann looks sooo different at 135, looks fuckin outstanding.
duqesnoy much leaner but looks good
duquesnoy like 2" taller
..

Agreed on all points but especially these two. Thought Cody looked outstanding and Bobby Green appeared totally transformed. Definitely the best shape that I have ever seen him in. How that translates to the octagon I'm not sure, but Green is in absolutely phenomenal condition from an aesthetic point of view.
 
UFC lists Ferg as 76" reach and Lee as 77":eek:

Is this fight between the two guys in this division with the longest reach? For 155 those are some long damn arms. Makes sense why both guys win so many fights via choke I guess.

Dayum! Never realized Lee was that long limbed!
 
KInda liking Werdum KO at +404. Lewis is gonna headhunt and try to brawl, and he leaves himself open to getting tagged (see Browne fight or if you wanna go back aways Mitrione fight). It's HW, obviously KO's aren't hard to come by. I think I'm gonna take a little stab at this.
 
My only bets so far are Green and Stamann.

Good to see Bobby Green in shape and fired up, hard to follow the guy cause he doesn't use social media.

Stamann shredded at 135, going to look so much better tomorrow than he did in his debut which was 8 days notice
 
Ahh okay that's it. I'm not sure how a national champ club wrestler would stack up against a juco national champ. Neither on scholarship or anything, I can't imagine there's a huge difference? Anyway, Ferg has obviously proven to be plenty athletic enough.
I think JUCO guys are better at the top end. You get a lot of guys who had horrible grades but were excellent wrestlers (see: Jon Jones). On the other hand, anyone can join the wrestling club at their uni.

But at this point it's academic. Ferguson can MMA wrestle with the best of them.
 
whoa, FOTN +350 for lee-ferguson? i know there are a couple other good ones tomorrow and it's a 12 fight card, but i thought this would be +200 or something, max. how does this NOT get FOTN if it goes a couple rounds? love it as far as FOTN props go

I was hoping for Stamman/Duq +800. It's +550. Uhh...pass.
 
I think there's a lot of fights that at least have the potential to end in subs on this card. I'm gonna take tiny stabs at the sub props 2.5 and up.
 
6:45 PM start time.

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Damn. I hit Ferguson for 2160.00 at -180 in Vegas last week. If I only knew what the week would bring. Would have seriously laid 9k at leqst
 
Lee seems like he's just mouthing off at this point
 
Leites DEC 4.50 seems like its worth a shot, I really favour Tavares, but 4.50 is really nice.
 
werdum in at 247. weighs in with shirt on. (he looked a bit sub par for him this morning, tho)
Werdums last 5 weigh ins:
239 against Overeem III
239.5 against Browne II
240 against Miocic
236 against Cain
232 against Hunt

So yeah, 247 definitely sounds a bit sub par. Dunno what the shirt/shorts weigh tho.
 


Drinking coffee when trying to rehydrate as much as possible after that brutal weight loss?
Man, it does not sound like the smartest thing..
 
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