UFC 216 - Ferguson vs Lee - Vegas

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I really wouldn't bet on Moraga ML or decision. He's just a hair better than the competition that Bibulatov regularly mops up. And Moraga doesn't tend to do well vs superior competition. Couldn't give MM, Benavidez, or Dodson a scare. And frankly he should be 0-3 in decisions vs middling competition: Pettis, Pereira, Ortiz (I know Pettis is > middling, but he was only 23 then and still has no finishes-- Bibulatov is tougher)

Bibulatov is somewhere in between his 3 tough matchups and 3 middling matchups, and arguably closer to the tough ones. Dude is strong + athletic with versatile striking + grappling and I don't think he's particularly likely to lose outside of a sneaky submission.
 
had to stab moraga sub, he's going to be on his back a lot and i think it's likely the only way he wins.
 
had to stab moraga sub, he's going to be on his back a lot and i think it's likely the only way he wins.

Yeah I did Moraga sub +1525 and Borg sub +1495 for .1u each LOL. Why not...
 
With you on Cody for sure. I think I like Ferg/Lee o2.5 too at close to evens. My issue is I'm already big on Ferg itd and -5.5, and if Lee wins it's most likely early. So if I take the o2.5 and Lee somehow does finish Ferg early, I'm really fucked LOL.

On board brother! Additionally I have Fabricio and Bibulatov in a couple parlays along with my Cody and Lee/Ferguson over 2.5 as my main picks for the card.

I just absolutely hate that I have to root for two guys in Werdum and Bibulatov given their cozy friendship with Chechen psycho warlord Kadyrov. I can understand Bibs to a certain degree —!given that he's from there — but for Werdum to pal around with this fat fucking psychotic quasi-dictator is shameful. Especially when Werdum has been one of my favorite fighters forever. I used to love him and his personality, but lately he seems less friendly and more mean spirited. Forget his beef with Tony Ferguson, hanging out with a dude who is methodically abusing — and potentially mass murdering — his own citizens based on political preference or sexual orientation is fucking disgusting. Truthfully, I wouldn't mind losing a couple hundred dollars if the Black Beast flatlined him. **Hops off of soapbox**

BOL!
 
Yeah I did Moraga sub +1525 and Borg sub +1495 for .1u each LOL. Why not...

I played them small but I actually like Bib submission prop +735 as there will be lots of takedowns and scrambles where I believe he can catch Johnny Chicano in a guillotine.
 
I do like the under in the Lewis/Werdum fight a lot, 1,70 is a great price imo.
Lewis is never coasting, he is never going for a decision.

I understand when you say Werdum will just stay on the outside and jab and kick his way to a decision win without risking anything, but if he tries that Lewis will simply come forward anyway, kill or get killed.
Lewis won't let him himself get punched for 15 minutes
 
Hit Gonzalez sub line +636

Wicked tittie twister incoming 2nd rd
 
Not big on anything tonight. Gutted I didn’t do Caldwell as a single yesterday but oh well small ish card for me although I really like stammon
 
Apparently lewis vs werdum is off. What a goddamn joke this sport is
 
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