UFN 118 - Cerrone vs Till - Poland

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Dogs I like and will bet this event
Wilson
Lobav small
Stasiak

Fighters I am confident in
Ladd
Emmett

I'm pretty intrigued in these fights this week the matchups are fun and I think will prove for very entertaining fights.
 
piechota dec +430 seems off by a bunch. wilson took cute labia's strikes for 15 mins...
 
I’m looking for a good dog. Lansberg and nasrat come to mind. Going to watch some tape on these fights

Also like touchy fili and alves

i think nasrat is definitely worth a stab at +350
 
I see Länsberg geting the edge standing and in the clich, Länsbergs style and experience will neutralise Ladds standup style, if Ladd gona get the TD she have to shoot. Länsberg hits hard so ladd cant move forward with here armaturer like boxing style, and Länsberg is hot

Ladd doesnt have to shoot for td's she has solid body lock td's and lina gives up double unders all the time with her thai clinch approach. Pud shut her clinch down easily last fight and pud cant clinch for shit pud doesnt even know what a gable grip is
 
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I'm from Poland and I'd recommend fading almost all of the male Polish fighters, especially the guys from the higher weight classes.
None of the large Polish federations do any sort of testing. Look at the fighters from KSW, they don't even pass the eye test.
Last event in Krakow didn't pan out too well for the Polish fighters.
Confidence increase Rose
 
Bet the over in Hamilton fights vs. Grabowski, Ngannou, Spitz, and Fortuna... loving the play every time except vs. Ngannou...

All (not even close) losses.

And yet at +140, I'm gonna do it again.

edit: just found out the bout is cancelled... not sure if the book will keep it going, but I like the chances of it hitting better in Sydney
 
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The Vivesection guys are really high on Piechota btw. Said that he is the big prospect on this card.
 
The Vivesection guys are really high on Piechota btw. Said that he is the big prospect on this card.
I tend to agree. Pretty heavy on him at 1.55. Hard to give him less than 66%, + he has alot of intangibles on his side.
 
touahri also pretty impressive.. well rounded, to boot.. some good power... too bad it's on like a week's notice? i also always seem to overrate alves... and i wonder if this kid did his homework and understands just how threatening that guillotine is from warlley... if it was a full camp i'd prolly take a shot at the kid, but i think he's gonna get finished. and w/the short notice i don't think he can exploit alves' slowdown later in the fight (if it gets there)

I'm loving the o1.5 at evens... I mean, how can you not know Warley's guillotine is extremely dangerous? It should be a decent matchup on the feet, so I doubt Touahri will be going for desperation shots. Other than that I don't think finishes are that common here.
 
pulled the trigger on blachowicz +140. can he be taken down and laid on and lose another decision? uh, yea. duh.

but he's a LEGIT full weight class bigger (big 205 vs clark who i maintain should be (and has been) 185)... has a solid striking edge.. dude was outstriking gustafsson, forced gus to wrestle...

he's not gone the distance with way better guys. he's ko'd better guys. (latifi, etc). he's hometown. also, even tho blachowicz does gas, i think clark slows down, too. and going to poland i don't expect that to change. and clark's chinny.

summary:

+money
hometown edge
size edge
striking edge
chin edge

i'm in.


Hopefully he has worked a lot on that cardio, could be last chance for him so i think we will see a good version this time.
 
Wish I went bigger on Emeev, his previous measurements had him at 5'10, 67" reach, he's now listed at 5"10 76" reach, and he looked about the same height as 6'2 Alvey

Damn. Emeev looked so small against his juiced up M-1 opponents that I bought the size difference.
 
Wow, looking at the MMA junkie picks, all 11 pick Piechota, you never see that. Maybe for an -700 favorite
Yup considering I think Wilson will win. I’ve studied him and watched video of him from over a year ago when he was just breaking into the ufc along with Alex Nicholson, Elvis mutapcic etc.
Wilson has some power let’s see what happens

Although he did look uninterested at weigh ins and his opponent looks pretty darn tough. Lol
 
pulled the trigger on blachowicz +140. can he be taken down and laid on and lose another decision? uh, yea. duh.

but he's a LEGIT full weight class bigger (big 205 vs clark who i maintain should be (and has been) 185)... has a solid striking edge.. dude was outstriking gustafsson, forced gus to wrestle...

he's not gone the distance with way better guys. he's ko'd better guys. (latifi, etc). he's hometown. also, even tho blachowicz does gas, i think clark slows down, too. and going to poland i don't expect that to change. and clark's chinny.

summary:

+money
hometown edge
size edge
striking edge
chin edge

i'm in.
Kinda like Blachowicz ITD +350. If there's anyone that he can actually finish it's Clark IMO, chin and bad defense.
 
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