@ first glance:
TJ is fighting for the 1st time @125 in his MMA career,
who knows how hard will the cut be and what effect might have on him and the fight itself. I am not willing to see with my money. I know
on paper he is better virtually everywhere than Cejudo, but the adult in me says to avoid this fight
I didn't watch a minute of tape of that Ostovich girl, but she is clearly the better looking of them two, so she must be a lot worse
About the girl that I know - PVZ - I question her motivation,
she is not with Alpha Male for quite some time now, a bad camp but at least a lot of good training partners near her size and structure to her training, now her boyfriend trains her in a garage - not good. Have to look what the other girl can do.
Glover v Ion. I don't know what to think.... Glover is an underdog and it just doesn't seem right. I know he is supposed to lose, he's been through wars and he is old, but something seems fishy to me. How is Ion a favourite here?
He was taken down almost at will by Antigulov and Antigulov is a step below as an athlete to Glover and many steps below him in the grappling. And he, like DC said, was so intent on wrestling Ion, that he was not noticing when he was hurting Ion with his punches. So Ion is not invulnerable to punches and even more to being taken down. I honestly think that Ion's best win in the octagon is Jonathan Wilson and he is nothing special, guys. He is an athletic guy who have one dangerous punch and he can't fight backing up at all and have zero wrestling or grappling and have cardio for round and a half. I think bookie is making a mistake here. But we'll see. It's not like I am right every time.
Hernandez I think will win
if he read the book on Cerrone. Alex is kinda undersized for the division, but compensate with athleticism and well roundedness - if that is a word? I like Cowboy, but we know the movie - if you get in his face you have more than good chances to beat him. If you let him take you down, or you take him down - and you are kinda clueless on the ground - you are getting choked or your arm removed from your shoulder. Simple. Don't get taken down, pressure him and knock him out inside the 1st. My worry is Hernandez is a little sloppy standing up - everybody that knocked Cowboy out was
a very good, measured striker that could pour pinpoint offence and be relatively safe while doing it, so I'll just sit and watch this fight. An unanswered question is
what the weighcut back to 155 gonna look like on old Cowboy? We'll see.
I liked all that I saw from that guy Geoff Neal in his debut!!!
He was looking like a fighting game character there with Camacho! Amazing fighter. But his ground game maybe liability? Didn't watched his fights outside UFC. I know he lost to Holland. Not a good look. Have to see what Belal has to offer in this fught. But favouring Neal just on a first glance.
Have to agree with Dianabol. People sleeping on Ortiz once again. I know Joe B got an impressive win v Perez, but this doesn't change the fact that he is fading physically and fading @ 125 means death. I don't care how good you are, if you slow down a little, if you are not as strong as before, you are going to lose to evey decent opponent. Even the once you've beat before. Ortiz is more than decent in my book. Have to rewatch some stuff from him to know what I have for sure, tho. But I have hard time seeing him turtling like Perez on the ground taking unanswered shots to the head... Really hard time seeing this happen.
And in the end I don't know about Sandhagen's chances against Lineker, think he is not good enough athlete for him and I am curious about that Gillespie v Medeiros fight. Medeiros going back to 155 and he is kinda hard to take down, his TDD is something like 80%. His stand up is bad, but slowly developing. It was a huge mistake for him to accept this Cerrone fight like not even a full 3 months after a
war between him and A.Oliveira. A War with capital W. I honestly can't write him off in this fight. People thoght he will lose for sure to brazilian Cowboy and he won. If he had skills big as his heart he would be the next Jon Jones. Yancy will put up a fight, won't go down easily I think. I favour Gillespie, but who knows what will happen. I'm rooting for Yancy, I like him and Max, hawaiian warriors!