UFC 241 Cormier vs Miocic II

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Brunson has a white guy hairline.
 
Romero is smashing the PED's but he's got one of the best physiques I've ever seen and he's 41. Good on him.

DC isn't going to get muscled around as easy this time, Stipe is obviously slimmed down and cardio focused which will come at the expense of his strength in the clinch, he won't be pressing DC against the cage as much this time. I would read more into the striking as to how this will play out, which DC was getting the better of imo
 
Whatever Romero is on, he has genetics that not many others in this world have.

Brock level etc etc

Guy is just naturally gifted and a freak, roids just make him nuts
No wonder he believes in Jesus. I would too if made like that
 
Romero is smashing the PED's but he's got one of the best physiques I've ever seen and he's 41. Good on him.

DC isn't going to get muscled around as easy this time, Stipe is obviously slimmed down and cardio focused which will come at the expense of his strength in the clinch, he won't be pressing DC against the cage as much this time. I would read more into the striking as to how this will play out, which DC was getting the better of imo
Keep in mind, if he is smashing PEDS he is on something USADA and every other drug testing agency in his life has failed to discover.

And dont talk about that one incident. He was vindicated and won a lawsuit.
 
IMO DC does not have a grappling advantage. His superior wrestling is nullified by stipe's size/strength/MMA wrestling

Stipe I guess allegedly wrestled in HS. DC was a 3x state champ in HS, 2x national champ in JC, and the only reason he didn’t win a natty at OSU is bc he was unlucky enough to be in the same class as the guy who’s arguably the greatest American wrestler of all time. After that he was a 2x Olympian and the captain of the squad in ‘08. But Stipe has superior mma wrestling? Questionable.
 
Keep in mind, if he is smashing PEDS he is on something USADA and every other drug testing agency in his life has failed to discover.

And dont talk about that one incident. He was vindicated and won a lawsuit.
That would carry more weight if they were competent, but most of the time people pop it turns out they've been using for ages. Passing years of drug tests means nothing. Ask Lance Armstrong.

And then you know...the eye test. It's kind of obvious
 
i think most of us on costa are very aware he could get obliterated, we're just playing the numbers.

Watched quite a bit of film on this fight and can confidently say Yoel has just never faced anyone like Costa, his patience and distance control is excellent and he can throw power from anywhere to anywhere. Costa also has some very nasty body kicks and his frame is bigger than Yoels. Costa has never been to a 3rd round but I haven't seen any glaring holes in his gas tank and you have to think hell be in the best shape hes ever been in for this fight. What Costa lacks in experience he makes up for in raw ability and he's been in the tutelage of captain america and cejudo so that's a perfect spot for him.

Yoel is NOT a wrestler when he fights...he has great trips, crazy entries, and short lived takedowns, very explosive but has never held anyone down and out wrestled them in MMA. Yoel got 'out wrestled' by Brunson at times and Tim Kennedy was on route to just breaking him down before stoolgate happened but Yoels gas tank can't really be questioned as of late after going 10 rounds with bobby, he's just learned how to pace himself in his last 4 fights. This is going to play out as a standup fight and I just think Yoel is going to get eventually get outpowered and outclassed in that department, can't come up with anything other than Costa being a bad matchup for Yoel the more I look at this fight
 
I was initially going to bet very big on Mazo.

However, after watching tape, I decided to put a mere 1u on Mazo at +115. Dobson actually has some legitimate striking skills. She can throw competent straight rights, right hooks, and even a respectable (if painfully telegraphed) right hook, all of which are rare on this level of WMMA. Her jab is worse than Mazo's and a little shorter, but it might have slightly more impact.

In fact, from the standpoint of raw skills, she should have brutalized Ariel Beck (who has no business competing in MMA) inside of a minute and dominated Lauren Mueller.

Instead, Dobson had a close, competitive fight with Beck until Beck gave up from taking a few hard strikes and Mueller edged her out in a close decision.

Why? Because Dobson fights the exact opposite of how she looks. You would think a tatted up black lesbian would be pretty tough and aggressive, right? Instead, she fights how you would expect a blonde valley girl who cries if she chips a fingernail to.

She will retreat backwards like her life depends upon it in response to the weakest strike. She hates any sort of contact and it will disrupt her rhythm and cause her to get very tentative.

EVEN when she lands, and EVEN when she has her opponent hurt, she won't start getting aggressive and swarming her with more strikes, but will often reset or (I wish I was joking) retreat.

However, Dobson is a very new fighter to MMA and hasn't fought in over a year and a half. She might have fixed this as well as other flaws, although it should be noted that her improvement from her time on TUF to her last fight was depressingly limited.

Too many uncertainties here about both fighters, so I limited my risk to a unit on the plus side.

I think the current odds (Mazo at -130, Dobson at +110) are close to accurate.

I’m simply curious. Is there a reason you seem to always tape and bet on WMMA fights on the card. Do you consider those fight lines the most exploitable? It seems like every card your main bet is on wmma. Or am I wrong?
 
Too much youth, speed, and power for Romero to deal with

He's getting knocked out

Now Romero from a few years ago, I might've picked him
 
Too much youth, speed, and power for Romero to deal with

He's getting knocked out

Now Romero from a few years ago, I might've picked him
Romero just knocked the shit out of Rockhold and Whittaker. Costa hasn't got a single decent name on his resume, looking good against sub par competition doesn't mean much. Romero has looked amazing against the top 5 consistently.

You could be right, or it could be like MVP vs Lima. Romero is the rightful favourite
 
I’m simply curious. Is there a reason you seem to always tape and bet on WMMA fights on the card. Do you consider those fight lines the most exploitable? It seems like every card your main bet is on wmma. Or am I wrong?

I bet MMA from 2006-2010 but then stopped even watching the sport closely for 8 years until May of 2018. Not only were there hundreds of new fighters to learn about, but the fight game itself had vastly evolved. When I started betting again in October of last year I mostly stuck with heavyweights and WMMA at first, since their fights were the simplest and lowest level.

I now bet all the other weights regularly, and probably do better financially on them than I do on WMMA. However, since I had watched all that WMMA tape, and there are fewer fighters to keep track of, there is less research I have to do to make those bets.
 
Call me crazy but i have being a few times correct about some underdogs in some fight matches but but i am really liking Davis and his fight agaisnt Ho Kang.
 
Call me crazy but i have being a few times correct about some underdogs in some fight matches but but i am really liking Davis and his fight agaisnt Ho Kang.
Him cutting 40lbs and looking lost in the ground doesn't concern you?
 
Was anyone crazy enough to bet Romero - Costa going to decision?
 
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