UFC 241 Cormier vs Miocic II

For people who are betting on Costa:


Looks how short Hendricks could dance around and find shots on him.
 
Bet365 getting a little incompetent lately with their scheduled event times. They listed a few fights to start at 2pm so it's gone from betting now and a bunch others at 3pm which will also disappear even though prelims don't start until 3:30...
 
Assuncao +200 is getting stupid, there's a decent chance he comes out and looks -300 as he comfortably keeps Sandhagen on his back all fight.

I'm sitting here waiting for his odds to rise even more, maybe +250 or 300. This is the juice era!
 
Nope... 100% authentic Russian and Hungarian pussies!! Believe you me! (Bisping voice).

Have fun buddeh.

Assuncao +200 is getting stupid, there's a decent chance he comes out and looks -300 as he comfortably keeps Sandhagen on his back all fight.

Assuncao is high level, but he's getting older and sanhagen is way bigger.
 
Have fun buddeh.



Assuncao is high level, but he's getting older and sanhagen is way bigger.
Height and age isn't gonna mean anything when Sand can't stop the takedowns and he has to deal with Assuncao's top game.
 
I’d prefer the Costa fight starts round 2 than the full over 1.5
 
Starting to regret adding Heinsich to my parlay. Not hugely impressed by either fighter, but Ian's TDD and ground game over all look bad.
 
We're all getting older. That's how time works.

Oh wow, you learn something every day!!11!!! Thanks for your wonderful insight!!11!!!

Height and age isn't gonna mean anything when Sand can't stop the takedowns and he has to deal with Assuncao's top game.

It's a legit risk betting on sanhagen, but IMO he wins this fight comfortably and if he does get taken down, he won't be there for long.
 
Oh wow, you learn something every day!!11!!! Thanks for your wonderful insight!!11!!!



It's a legit risk betting on sanhagen, but IMO he wins this fight comfortably and if he does get taken down, he won't be there for long.
He's never actually shown good get ups or stuffed any vaguely good TD attempts. Assuncao has decent TDs and a great top game, I think Sandhagen does well standing but I won't be surprised at all if he spends 15 minutes stuck on his back helpless.
 
1st fight Dobson+116 EASY MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! she should take it by dec
 
I might a small bet on Nate just in case. 1 over 2. A bit heavy on Cory.
 
We're all getting older. That's how time works.
Read this slowly & out loud so it sinks in. Assuncao is past his prime & is getting worse as he gets older. Sandhagen has not reached his prime yet & is getting better as he gets older.
 
My most valuable lines this card are mostly fgtd plays. Davis-Kang gtd at current price is an obv steal, I like Diaz-Pettis gtd a lot, I like Klose-Giagos goes the distance a lot but it costs a lot more, I like Assuncao-Sandhagen gtd a lot but again, it costs a lot more. More unconventional fgtd I like are Brunson-Heinisch, Yusuff-Benitez and Bermudez-Casey.

ML wise there are a lot of good dogs on this card. Assuncao at +200 is just ridiculous and I recognize Sandhagens current talent and his future potential, thats why I think it's closer to 50-50. I dont think either guy has much of a chance to finish but If there is a finish I actually favor Assuncao to do it.

Davis at +170 is pretty good too but I really dont think he gets submitted, hes also not an easy guy to control. I dont think Davis can finish Kang that often either so I really like Davis DEC +350 and I actually put a small play on that instead of his ML.

I like Brunson at +135, I favor him slightly. The guy doesnt go to DEC often but when he does, he wins, he gets robbed or KOed by rd3 Romero. If someone is going to be on top, however briefly, it's going to be Brunson. Heinisch isnt good enough or active enough standing for me to give him much of a chance at the KO but it's definitely there. If there is a finish, I think its more likely he does it.

I like Diaz +120, I definitely favor him, liked his DEC line a lot too. I like Esquibel, no, I said that one wrong, I mean the line is way off but I'm not going to advocate for Esquibel. I do have a very small play on her though. Bermudez-Kenny is very tough for me to feel accurate on but I really dont think Casey finishes, the finish is essentially all Bermudez but I can see Bermudez winning a DEC as well. I know I favor Bermudez but not sure to what degree, definitely wouldnt feel comfortable putting him over 60% though. I liked Costa at better prices than current but I still favor him so there is still value at +120. I think Cormier at -140 is ok but there isnt a lot of value there, I think he wins 65% but thats not a firm 65, it's probably less, maybe 60.

May not have much substance to my bets written down here but I had very good reasons beyond what I typed. Dont mean to pat myself on the back too hard but this post was a diamond n the rough.
 
Pettis saying he broke his foot in the first? Another excuse to add to the list

Two broken hands, one broken rib and now a foot...
 
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