UFC on ESPN 7 PBP/Discussion

You JUDGE people for what they look like EVERY FUCKING TIME YOU WATCH A WEIGH IN !!! You millienial moron. People from different generations - cultures - locations - genders - incomes - social classes are not equal. Everyone is NOT the same. It's the differences that make things what they are. The laws of nature - everything in this world is different THERE IS NO EQUALITY Mr. Millenial.

Ohhh we don't believe in God anymore ... we believe in "the religion of non judgement". How do you reconcile getting a drivers license without "judging" between Red or Green?

Dont' get nasty with me pal. You haven't lost any money here. I HAVE. Stick to your 1/2 unit Bovada bets on fan boy favorites like Aspen Ladd and Johhny Walker. I will not discuss this any more since I don't have the right to rant about it because:

simpy wimpy voice: "eeehhhhh it's toxic haaaattteee speech ooohhhhh"

Coo Coo for coca puffs? PAL! I just lost more money than you probably make in 1/2 a year! Better listen to me now Kid - Low Level MMA fight - high level MMA fight - it makes NO DIFFERENCE the card status of the fight. If it's main or co-main DOESN'T matter. As a gambler all I care about is MONEY. I have made great returns from Pre-Pre Prelims - especially when a former main or co mainer is moved down to the FIRST OR SECOND fight of the card.

I'm getting off this site before I say any more that will give you an excuse to ban me.

Man post your slips or fuck off. Nobody cares.
 
ya telling him to get help and wishing him well was super triggered behavior.


I have literally never wanted to watch someone lose a bet in my life. Until now.

Just because you're older (and I doubt you're older than I am) doesn't mean you can't figure out that an "incel," while perhaps a new word, is not in any way a new concept : its simply someone who can't get laid and yes there were lots of people in your generation and the generation before you who couldn't get laid (involuntarily) for one reason or another.

You sound like a miserable fucking cunt who has brought zero analysis to the table except how you personally feel about the looks and sounds of a UFC fighter you've never and will never meet in your entire life who BY THE WAY could kick your fucking ass.

super triggered indeed
 
Picked up enough of Rozenstruik live at +600 to hedge my Overeem. Honestly based on that fight I'm happy to pick Ngannou over Rozenstruik since Ngannou's got a lot more power, though it'd probably go staring match.

Arlovski probably would have beaten Rozenstruik like -200 or so rate if he didn't get randomly melted, too.

Great job with the hegde, may I ask what made you bet on him live? Did you get to hedge with a profit or just hedge your bet on reem back? Didn’t bet it as i thought it d be throwijg profit away longterm but seems a good way to hedge when the odds are +600 +1000 etc.

I bet rozenstruik live at +300 after the 2md round. It doesnt seem very crazy to me he was +600 after round 4

What made you bet him after round 2? Like did you see reem slowing or why? Really good stuff, so well done!
 
Great job with the hegde, may I ask what made you bet on him live? Did you get to hedge with a profit or just hedge your bet on reem back? Didn’t bet it as i thought it d be throwijg profit away longterm but seems a good way to hedge when the odds are +600 +1000 etc.



What made you bet him after round 2? Like did you see reem slowing or why? Really good stuff, so well done!
Well i had a large bet on overeem, and I thought he looked a bit tired, he also had increasing difficulty taking rozenstruik down and given overeem's chin and the fight being heavyweight, it just felt like the right move to hedge at +300 odds. So in those kind of circumstances I like to just hedge for a guaranteed profit. I probably wouldnt have livebet rozenstruik if I didnt have any money on Overeem prefight. I just prefer to play it safe, especially when there are a few k of dollars on the line.
 
Well i had a large bet on overeem, and I thought he looked a bit tired, he also had increasing difficulty taking rozenstruik down and given overeem's chin and the fight being heavyweight, it just felt like the right move to hedge at +300 odds. So in those kind of circumstances I like to just hedge for a guaranteed profit. I probably wouldnt have livebet rozenstruik if I didnt have any money on Overeem prefight. I just prefer to play it safe, especially when there are a few k of dollars on the line.

How do you usually like to do it? I often wanted to do stuff like that, but never quite sure how the best way to go about it is.
Like if you had 2U on reem, 2000USD just an example you like to make sure you get equal profits no matter what or do you try to lean to one side like 0,25U if rozen wins and 1U if ree wins etc?

I feel there is a few ways like
1) either hegde to get money back,
2) to lean one side a bit more
3) or to make profits equal on both sides. How do you like to do it?
 
My 2 biggest plays were Struve and Overeem.

Still shocked 12 hours later. KZ/Yair vibes
 
I bet rozenstruik live at +300 after the 2md round. It doesnt seem very crazy to me he was +600 after round 4

I was monitoring live odds on Dimes the whole way through. The highest I saw Rozenstruik was +300 right after round 4. Now, I understand European books have odds in-between rounds, which is why I'm very curious at what exact point Rozenstruik was +600.
 
I was monitoring live odds on Dimes the whole way through. The highest I saw Rozenstruik was +300 right after round 4. Now, I understand European books have odds in-between rounds, which is why I'm very curious at what exact point Rozenstruik was +600.
At my book it got to +500 3 mins into the 5th when they were basically staring at each other
 
Ah you’re So cute in your 1 star Hawaii hotel lol

How was the food at your all inclusive btw?
Lol

I was just messing around teasing you about the troll, no need for cheap shots

by the way I stayed at the Honua Kai in a 3 bedroom penthouse suite if you care to google it. I’d recommend it.

Also if your mega nfl parlay hits I’m PayPaling you some dough
 
Lol

I was just messing around teasing you about the troll, no need for cheap shots

by the way I stayed at the Honua Kai in a 3 bedroom penthouse suite if you care to google it. I’d recommend it.

Also if your mega nfl parlay hits I’m PayPaling you some dough

I didn’t think you were staying in a shithole I was just testing your trigger lmao
Chiefs probably gonna bone me
 
I didn’t think you were staying in a shithole I was just testing your trigger lmao
Chiefs probably gonna bone me
I knew pats weren’t going to roll over at home.

and the chiefs equipment being shipped to New Jersey? Cmon now
 
Aspen Ladd won. I had to leave the sports book; come home and lay down. I just got destroyed. No more gambling for me. I am in total shock. I cannot believe she lost. I have never been so sure about a fight ever. I don't understand how Yana could fuck this up so bad. I am resisting the urge to send her extreme hate mail with my tickets attached. I honestly don't see how she could've lost like this. In none of her previous fights was she this horrible. Even against Cyborg she made a run of it before getting (understandably) TKO'd.

This is really, really bad. I am flabbergasted. I cannot see this barking dog was able to win. This is absolutely nuts. I went back and bet another $4800 on Yana and Yana parlays. To make it even worse - all the other parlays picks won - except Yana.

I want to curse up a storm and say really horrible things about this women but since there is no more free speech online I know If I go off on a rant I will get banned even here. It's probably for the best. I need to do some long soul searching and quit gambling.

The day Ladd vs. Yana was announced I studied this fight and got in 3 weeks prior. I was waiting and spending my winnings before this fight. That is how sure I was here. Now I am out almost $9,800 plus the money I dumped on other things - spending my winnings before they won.

I not only feel bad for myself but anyone else that bet on Yana because of my analysis. I went over everything - history, statistics, watched all the fights, personal lives. I even checked the influenza/flu chart in Washington D.C. to make sure there the flu is not going around. Travel dates. Arrival dates and from where. Everything. The only thing I missed - ironically - is that Yana is banging Thaigo Santos and left her Husband and child with a broken home - in order to bang this guy. She is out of Russia for a few months and already she behaves as a westernized "liberated" American women. So I suppose her loss is divine justice and I can take some consolation in that. But even with that new information about her personal life; business is business and it would not have been enough for me to sit this out. All the lights were green on this trade and it still went horribly wrong.

To add insult to injury; all my other parlay picks won EXCEPT YANA and now I have lost big. I am lucky I make an upper middle class income. For other people this would be 10 months rent.

In spite of that - I cannot keep doing this. I have to quit gambling after this. This is it for me. I play way too many parley's because winning a couple thousand on singles is nothing for me. So it's like what's the point. Yana's pathetic light to an over hyped lesser experienced - lesser in every way fighter cost me almost $30,000 in winnings. I should sent her camp hate mail. But if I did that - I would be exposed by social justice media warriors who would write all kinds of fake news click bait lies articles - and since the average person today has the attention span of a goldfish and thinks only with emotions - I would end up losing my business/clients.

Apologies to anyone who relied on my analysis. This is why I keep this gambling to myself most of the time.

The arrow on Yana's career is pointing down out and over after this.She even said herself beating Ladd does not give her a title shot and the division has nowhere to go. After losing here - she is now a flushed out fighter. I also noticed how OLD she looked at the weigh ins compared to young Ladd - but thought little of it. I also noticed heavy action coming on on Ladd at the last moments pushing Yana up to a +160 underdog - but again I thought it was dumb money fan boys and thought nothing of it and went and bet even MORE money on Yana.

Yana's next fight should be against Ashley Evans Smith or Jessica Eye. After this loss Yana is trash and has nowhere to go in this sport anymore except the bottom of the division. Her movement sucked. Her range sucked. Her kicks sucked. Her JJ sucked. She did not offer up ANYTHING except play to Ladd's only strong point. She could've literally ran around the ring boxing her and range and won on points. That's all she had to do. Instead she clinches up with Ladd and willingly goes to the ground. Yana didn't even offer up anything off her back! Because maybe the only thing she has left to offer up off her back is to Thiago Santos.

I have been betting on UFC for years. I am now out a large chunk of cash over this. Almost $10,000 cash. Not credit. Not casino markers. CASH. It's not the first time. I got absolutely killed in 2018. The only other time that I bet so much money on a fighter I was so sure would win - was Robbie Lawler vs. RDA where Lawler showed up to fight with a torn ACL and didn't tell anyone. Lawler went 5 rounds regardless nonetheless I still got taken to the cleaners and to add more insult to injury was accosted in the Sports Book by a vagrant scammer and a drunk redneck and his friend. But unlike that fight - in this case there is zero reported injury or excuse for Yana to have lost by TKO in the 3rd.

I will need to do some serious soul searching if UFC gambling is something I want to continue as an entertaining side hobby business. My account has gone down into the red again and I'm not gonna martingale it up like I did the last times..

My deepest apologies to anyone who bet based on my analysis. I think it's better if I take a long, long vacation at this point. Best of luck.









....











Later buster
 
Aspen Ladd won. I had to leave the sports book; come home and lay down. I just got destroyed. No more gambling for me. I am in total shock. I cannot believe she lost. I have never been so sure about a fight ever. I don't understand how Yana could fuck this up so bad. I am resisting the urge to send her extreme hate mail with my tickets attached. I honestly don't see how she could've lost like this. In none of her previous fights was she this horrible. Even against Cyborg she made a run of it before getting (understandably) TKO'd.

This is really, really bad. I am flabbergasted. I cannot see this barking dog was able to win. This is absolutely nuts. I went back and bet another $4800 on Yana and Yana parlays. To make it even worse - all the other parlays picks won - except Yana.

I want to curse up a storm and say really horrible things about this women but since there is no more free speech online I know If I go off on a rant I will get banned even here. It's probably for the best. I need to do some long soul searching and quit gambling.

The day Ladd vs. Yana was announced I studied this fight and got in 3 weeks prior. I was waiting and spending my winnings before this fight. That is how sure I was here. Now I am out almost $9,800 plus the money I dumped on other things - spending my winnings before they won.

I not only feel bad for myself but anyone else that bet on Yana because of my analysis. I went over everything - history, statistics, watched all the fights, personal lives. I even checked the influenza/flu chart in Washington D.C. to make sure there the flu is not going around. Travel dates. Arrival dates and from where. Everything. The only thing I missed - ironically - is that Yana is banging Thaigo Santos and left her Husband and child with a broken home - in order to bang this guy. She is out of Russia for a few months and already she behaves as a westernized "liberated" American women. So I suppose her loss is divine justice and I can take some consolation in that. But even with that new information about her personal life; business is business and it would not have been enough for me to sit this out. All the lights were green on this trade and it still went horribly wrong.

To add insult to injury; all my other parlay picks won EXCEPT YANA and now I have lost big. I am lucky I make an upper middle class income. For other people this would be 10 months rent.

In spite of that - I cannot keep doing this. I have to quit gambling after this. This is it for me. I play way too many parley's because winning a couple thousand on singles is nothing for me. So it's like what's the point. Yana's pathetic light to an over hyped lesser experienced - lesser in every way fighter cost me almost $30,000 in winnings. I should sent her camp hate mail. But if I did that - I would be exposed by social justice media warriors who would write all kinds of fake news click bait lies articles - and since the average person today has the attention span of a goldfish and thinks only with emotions - I would end up losing my business/clients.

Apologies to anyone who relied on my analysis. This is why I keep this gambling to myself most of the time.

The arrow on Yana's career is pointing down out and over after this.She even said herself beating Ladd does not give her a title shot and the division has nowhere to go. After losing here - she is now a flushed out fighter. I also noticed how OLD she looked at the weigh ins compared to young Ladd - but thought little of it. I also noticed heavy action coming on on Ladd at the last moments pushing Yana up to a +160 underdog - but again I thought it was dumb money fan boys and thought nothing of it and went and bet even MORE money on Yana.

Yana's next fight should be against Ashley Evans Smith or Jessica Eye. After this loss Yana is trash and has nowhere to go in this sport anymore except the bottom of the division. Her movement sucked. Her range sucked. Her kicks sucked. Her JJ sucked. She did not offer up ANYTHING except play to Ladd's only strong point. She could've literally ran around the ring boxing her and range and won on points. That's all she had to do. Instead she clinches up with Ladd and willingly goes to the ground. Yana didn't even offer up anything off her back! Because maybe the only thing she has left to offer up off her back is to Thiago Santos.

I have been betting on UFC for years. I am now out a large chunk of cash over this. Almost $10,000 cash. Not credit. Not casino markers. CASH. It's not the first time. I got absolutely killed in 2018. The only other time that I bet so much money on a fighter I was so sure would win - was Robbie Lawler vs. RDA where Lawler showed up to fight with a torn ACL and didn't tell anyone. Lawler went 5 rounds regardless nonetheless I still got taken to the cleaners and to add more insult to injury was accosted in the Sports Book by a vagrant scammer and a drunk redneck and his friend. But unlike that fight - in this case there is zero reported injury or excuse for Yana to have lost by TKO in the 3rd.

I will need to do some serious soul searching if UFC gambling is something I want to continue as an entertaining side hobby business. My account has gone down into the red again and I'm not gonna martingale it up like I did the last times..

My deepest apologies to anyone who bet based on my analysis. I think it's better if I take a long, long vacation at this point. Best of luck.









....
Lol. Tldr. Hate to pile on after you lost a big bet . . . but you should probably kill yourself.
 
At my book it got to +500 3 mins into the 5th when they were basically staring at each other

How fascinating! @Gugabe hedged with just 1-2 minutes left in the fight with Overeem well on his way to a dominating decision victory and not in any apparent danger from an exhausted Rozenstruik.

The man is a regular Nostradamus! Why, that magical hedge was downright Jordanesque.
 
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