The War Room Bet Thread V4

Best bet(s) settled in the last bet thread (see closed bets section in post 3)


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Pansies.

A bit like that should pay one (1) bitcoin from the loser to the winner.
 
Brb calling my whales to pump btc.
 
Trump got 46.1% of the vote in 2016. I'll bet you that Biden gets more than 46.1% of the vote in 2020. I'm flexible on the terms. Six months sig would work for me, though.
I'll delete my account and jump off a building if Biden somehow wins.
 
I'll delete my account and jump off a building if Biden somehow wins.

OK, but what about my offer?

I'm interested to know if you really believe what you're saying or you're just trying to be a good cheerleader.
 
OK, but what about my offer?

I'm interested to know if you really believe what you're saying or you're just trying to be a good cheerleader.
Sure, you can change the sig to my deleted account if Biden somehow wins.
 
Sure, you can change the sig to my deleted account if Biden somehow wins.

Not talking about a win, as I think that's more of a tossup (I'd give Biden a better-than-even shot, but not much more than that). Proposing a lower bar here--just topping Trump's 2016 popular-vote share. Your previous comments indicated that you don't think that even that is likely.
 
@Lead you heard the man. Make it official. 6 month avatar bet, Richie wins if Trump gets +78 or better in the electoral college. If Trump gets +77 or less against his opponent, I win.

Judging by his account (12 months old) and the current bets he has outstanding (3 months), I’d cap a bet currently with him at 3 months max ((account age/2) - outstanding bets = bet capacity) If you are okay with that, I’ll format it and get both of your approvals.
 
Judging by his account (12 months old) and the current bets he has outstanding (3 months), I’d cap a bet currently with him at 3 months max ((account age/2) - outstanding bets = bet capacity) If you are okay with that, I’ll format it and get both of your approvals.

Sure. @Richie Madano
 
@Prokofievian v. @Richie Madano
1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election by a margin of at least 78 or more electoral votes.
2. @Richie Madano - For, @Prokofievian - Against
3. 11/04/2020 tentatively (Election day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6a. If Trump isn’t on the ballot for 2020, the bet is null.
6b. We will assume there are no rogue electoral votes and they will vote as assigned by their state.
6c. If Election Day is moved to a later date, the bet is null unless the participants have it re-approved.
6d. The margin above is based on the opposing candidate that receives the 2nd most electoral votes in the event Trump wins.


I added some items under 6 to make this easier to call in the event something weird happens. It’s 2020 so I’m assuming for more crazy

Please quote this post and give your approval or let me know what you want revised.
 
@Prokofievian v. @Richie Madano
1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election by a margin of at least 78 or more electoral votes.
2. @Richie Madano - For, @Prokofievian - Against
3. 11/04/2020 tentatively (Election day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6a. If Trump isn’t on the ballot for 2020, the bet is null.
6b. We will assume there are no rogue electoral votes and they will vote as assigned by their state.
6c. If Election Day is moved to a later date, the bet is null unless the participants have it re-approved.
6d. The margin above is based on the opposing candidate that receives the 2nd most electoral votes in the event Trump wins.


I added some items under 6 to make this easier to call in the event something weird happens. It’s 2020 so I’m assuming for more crazy

Please quote this post and give your approval or let me know what you want revised.
Agree
 
@Prokofievian v. @Richie Madano
1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election by a margin of at least 78 or more electoral votes.
2. @Richie Madano - For, @Prokofievian - Against
3. 11/04/2020 tentatively (Election day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6a. If Trump isn’t on the ballot for 2020, the bet is null.
6b. We will assume there are no rogue electoral votes and they will vote as assigned by their state.
6c. If Election Day is moved to a later date, the bet is null unless the participants have it re-approved.
6d. The margin above is based on the opposing candidate that receives the 2nd most electoral votes in the event Trump wins.


I added some items under 6 to make this easier to call in the event something weird happens. It’s 2020 so I’m assuming for more crazy

Please quote this post and give your approval or let me know what you want revised.

I agree. Is it final now? Is it waiguoren official? Or do we have to agree with each other's agreements, and so on, and so forth?
 
@Prokofievian v. @Richie Madano
1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election by a margin of at least 78 or more electoral votes.
2. @Richie Madano - For, @Prokofievian - Against
3. 11/04/2020 tentatively (Election day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6a. If Trump isn’t on the ballot for 2020, the bet is null.
6b. We will assume there are no rogue electoral votes and they will vote as assigned by their state.
6c. If Election Day is moved to a later date, the bet is null unless the participants have it re-approved.
6d. The margin above is based on the opposing candidate that receives the 2nd most electoral votes in the event Trump wins.


I added some items under 6 to make this easier to call in the event something weird happens. It’s 2020 so I’m assuming for more crazy

Please quote this post and give your approval or let me know what you want revised.


I agree. Is it final now? Is it waiguoren official? Or do we have to agree with each other's agreements, and so on, and so forth?

Its official. Too lazy to do the buffer eque intro.
 
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Bet 1:
I wager that Joe Biden will inadvertently, accidentally, or otherwise mistakenly say "cock" during the first presidential debate. If he does not say it during the first presidential debate, you pick my AV and sig beginning that same day until January 1st, 2021. If he does, I pick your AV and sig until the same day.

Bet 2:
I wager that Joe Biden will inadvertently, accidentally, or otherwise mistakenly say "cock" during at least one of the upcoming presidential debates. If he does not say it during any of the upcoming presidential debates, you pick my AV and sig beginning on January 1st, 2021 for as long as Joe Biden is alive. If he does say it, I pick your AV and sig for the same length of time.

*
It does not count if he purposefully says it*
 
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If I were so inclined to go back and find your posts attacking Bernie in the 2016 cycle, I could find them. You did it plenty. You can stop lying now bud.

You want to bet about it? My concern is that you'll have a ridiculous definition of "attacking" though I think even that dishonest tactic might fail. I can post multiple examples of me noting that there's no significant difference.
 
You want to bet about it? My concern is that you'll have a ridiculous definition of "attacking" though I think even that dishonest tactic might fail. I can post multiple examples of me noting that there's no significant difference.
My concern is that you'll twist your attacks and criticisms on Bernie and try and explain how the negative shit you said about him wasn't actually an attack.
 
My concern is that you'll twist your attacks and criticisms on Bernie and try and explain how the negative shit you said about him wasn't actually an attack.

OK, what about a third party to judge? @Lead or @Gandhi would be fine with me. Also, we can bet that I posted about how there was no significant difference between the two candidates in 2016 many times that year. That should be pretty unambiguous.

As for the terms, I'm good with a six-month sig bet, and a sincere apology in the Lounge.
 
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