UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal (7/11)

Nobody should ever lay -200 on a hollaway opponent I mean he’s 1 of the 2 goats of the division! (I’d lay -200 If he fought Conor or Khabib tho)... volk edged every round the first fight, max didn’t have his edge and trying to really win it, atleast in the first half bc he tried picking it up in the later stages.

Max is a smart fighter so I think he will use his size to his advantage and have a faster start to the fight. He has good cardio and no doh f he prolly worked a lot on it in quarantine.

Max ML all day

did you watch their first fight? Max had no answer for Volks leg kicks and wasn’t winning in any Of their exchange. Max landed a few good counters but nothing that stunned Volk.
Volk has been improving tremendously each fight while Max appears to be slowing down.

Volk is faster and stronger and can match Max’s output. There’s a reason Max lost 50-45 in their first fight. The lack of in-fight adjustments on Max’s part make me believe Volk is a lock.
 
Brother if you think Santos v Bogatov is anything like Camacho v Jaynes, you haven't taped this fight
I know bro i am not doubting Santos. It still just i have nightmares from that other week or so with Camacho v Jaynes.
 
She was getting manhandled by Rachel ostovich grappling. She’s fortunate ostovich is clueless in armbar defense or else she would’ve gotten dominated for three rounds.
PVZ looked clueless in the first but dominated the second round.
 
PVZ looked clueless in the first but dominated the second round.
She didn’t dominate anything

ostovich landed the exact same overhand right to takedown that she landed in the first.
She made a mistake on the ground and Paige ended up on her back. Paige was slipping off until ostovich gave up the armbar
 
absolute insanity that people do this.
I remember having a 6 or 7 leg parlay last year that ended with the pats ML at like -300 against the titans (they of course lost) - I hedged because I’m a pussy but more importantly I learned a lesson. Never put that much juice into a parlay-

yea I think it makes sense just to put a few more bucks on the parlay and bring it down from a 7 teamer to a 6 teamer
 
PVZ has a clear path to victory - -800 is absurd
She’s not gonna lock in a sub or knock Ribas out but she could hold her against the cage. Chick looks super strong. PVZ by decision at these odds worth a sprinkle.

If you like Masvidal your natural inclination is TKO but there’s not much of a chance he finishes Usman. 10:1 for a fan friendly fighter to land the harder blows and out strike for 2 or 3 rounds and get a questionable decision victory? Sign me up

Rose has some of the most absurd submissions in the game. +500 was where I got it I think it’s been bet down a bit but I have her clowning Andrade. She made two big mistakes in their last fight. Obviously she got her brain smashed in being the first but the second was not capitalizing on the knockdown in the first round. She made a really bad half hearted attempt to follow her to the ground when she could have just taken mount and locked up one of the 6 thousand subs she has in her arsenal.

Follow me on the degen train boys this parlay pays out 230:1

Only because I've seen you hit some sweet parlays I did this.

$5 to win about $2800.
 
I think Pvz dec is the least likely outcome here. She’s not going to just hold ribas against the cage for two rounds. Ribas is better than her literally everywhere.

Ribas was out grappling dern and Randa Markos, both girls who are both technically
better and stronger than Paige.

Paige is not a natural 125er, there’s only two reasons why she’s fighting in that division now.

She was getting manhandled by Rachel ostovich grappling. She’s fortunate ostovich is clueless in armbar defense or else she would’ve gotten dominated for three rounds.

As for Andrade/rose, Andrade is probably going to look to grapple. Rose could not stop her takedowns. And I wouldn’t be so confident that rose will be able to sub Andrade from guard

Obviously Ribas is a massive favorite for a reason but it’s WMMA and PVZ is strong. Couldn’t blame people for betting her props but parlaying her for any reason whatsoever is foolish imo.

Of course Andrade will be looking for takedowns, she was getting the shit kicked out of her standing with Rose last time.
 
I've seen a few mentions of Melo winning over Rosa. How confident are the Melo backers?

Rosa got hit a ton in her last fight and really gives me pause fighting someone like Melo who's going to land and land much harder in the face of a stationary target. I'd like to bet Melo, but technically she's pretty bad with those looping punches when she's not in range. I am also worried about her conditioning (or lack thereof). I know this fight is closer than the odds suggest, but for some reason still am hesitant. Any thoughts on this last minute?
 
I've seen a few mentions of Melo winning over Rosa. How confident are the Melo backers?

Rosa got hit a ton in her last fight and really gives me pause fighting someone like Melo who's going to land and land much harder in the face of a stationary target. I'd like to bet Melo, but technically she's pretty bad with those looping punches when she's not in range. I am also worried about her conditioning (or lack thereof). I know this fight is closer than the odds suggest, but for some reason still am hesitant. Any thoughts on this last minute?
I'm gonna bet her. Not super confident, but I think she gets the fight she finally wants with someone that will sit there and trade with her. I actually really like FDNGD more in this one.
 
I'm gonna bet her. Not super confident, but I think she gets the fight she finally wants with someone that will sit there and trade with her. I actually really like FDNGD more in this one.
I was also looking at her as a live underdog i dont feel super confident in Jessica Andrade. Jessica Andrade might win another ko over rosa but we shall see. She did had a miss in her weight but i do think she might win.
 
I usual make my bets on sports interaction today would be a bit difficult for some underdogs on there. And if my parleys lose i lose to lol.

Some good values.
 
I've seen a few mentions of Melo winning over Rosa. How confident are the Melo backers?

Rosa got hit a ton in her last fight and really gives me pause fighting someone like Melo who's going to land and land much harder in the face of a stationary target. I'd like to bet Melo, but technically she's pretty bad with those looping punches when she's not in range. I am also worried about her conditioning (or lack thereof). I know this fight is closer than the odds suggest, but for some reason still am hesitant. Any thoughts on this last minute?
I mean you pretty much sum it up. A bet on Melo could look quite bad after the fight, but the line is way too wide. It will likely be a brawl and Rosa is very hittable. Just don't bet the house on this one.
 
didnt Jessica Abdrade tap in the first fight? I remember seeing some replay that showed she actually tapped but the referee didn't notice it.
 
didnt Jessica Abdrade tap in the first fight? I remember seeing some replay that showed she actually tapped but the referee didn't notice it.

Lol no, it's an absurd claim
 
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