UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs Gastelum

my confident picks.
Parlay 1
Austin Hubbard
Josiane Nunes
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Tony Gravely
Luis Pena
Tracy Cortez
Drakkar Klose
Bartosz Fabinski
Robert Whittaker

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2nd tier risk bets

Chase Sherman
Juan Espino
Lupita Godinez

Why do you like Nunes?
 
I think I'm gonna lay a good bit on Espino ITD.

His BJJ/cardio are going to win him this fight. Might sprinkle the rd2/rd3 props as well.

What makes you think Espino will have the cardio advantage?
 
Why do you like Nunes?

Zarah is a limited fighter who has made a career of beating up smaller opponents who don't wrestle, and Nunes is exactly that. But if Nunes does take Zarah down, she should win. Not a fight I would lay any money on. Having said that I like the other picks.
 
Why do you like Nunes?
She is near undefeated and has high ko ratio for a female fighter. She was a amateur muay thai champion. Her only loss is to santos who is active ufc fighter doing good. She has strong thick legs which helps her core strength and a nice leg kick that can inflict lots of damage to Zarah’s lead leg that she leans heavy on. Overall Her opponent zarah has bad jiu jitsu and a 60% win rate, she has a size edge but that is it. I dont see her really dominating her on the feet or ground. I can see nunes having a competitive match with lookaboom ( if thats how you spell it) and she is 10 years younger, much closer to the average winning age in the ufc(30). Add win consistency to that.
 
This card is toxic imo

I have 0 confidence in anyone, maybe aside from Whittaker, but at nearly -300 that's just too much chalk for a dude that almost got KO'd by Till early.

I've drizzled some peanuts on a few props for fun, but it's hard to find a good spot anywhere so I'll stay away for the most part. AlHassan round 1 at +money should be fine.

Not sure how anyone can be confident in matchups like Romanov/Espino, Stephens/Klose, Pena/Munoz, Sherman/Arlovski....
 
This card is toxic imo

I have 0 confidence in anyone, maybe aside from Whittaker, but at nearly -300 that's just too much chalk for a dude that almost got KO'd by Till early.

I've drizzled some peanuts on a few props for fun, but it's hard to find a good spot anywhere so I'll stay away for the most part. AlHassan round 1 at +money should be fine.

Not sure how anyone can be confident in matchups like Romanov/Espino, Stephens/Klose, Pena/Munoz, Sherman/Arlovski....
Not about being confident. Its about rolling the dice. Whitaker, Cortez and Romanov all day!
 
Not about being confident. Its about rolling the dice. Whitaker, Cortez and Romanov all day!
I need some level of confidence, or value that is too good to pass up. I don't see it here. Most of these fights are dog or pass imo.
 
I hear you. Definitely not feeling confident like last week when all my chips were on Gamrot. I have $1000 straight bets on Whitaker, Romanov, Cortez plus $500 parlay Whitaker and Romanov.
 
so Fairn is 12 lbs heavier than her opponent
 
Mmajunkie has Zarah at 147 pounds. Typo or legit?
 
it was a catchweight fight at 140 I believe, i saw the stream, she is definitely 147

Fight off then? They stopped Norma from fighting last week with just over 3 pounds.
 
You think the sneaky southpaw will catch him? Robs chin is questionable these days, Till dropped him and Jared rocked him pretty good.
Pretty much, Whittakers been getting rocked or KOd every fight for years now. Against a durable guy with power and the skill to land it I think there's a high chance his brain gets scrambled again.
 
What makes you think Espino will have the cardio advantage?

Yeah I watched more tape on Romanov, and I thought he had faded in rd3, but alas he doesn't.

I have Espino in one parlay, not going to play him straight.
 
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