Ufc 261 official bet thread

Carnelossi 1000 to win 588
Li SUB 188 to win 940

Zu/Vargas O1.5 375 to win 250

Crute 1000 to win 532

Hall RD3 KO 100 to win 1100

Usman and O2.5 1000 to win 500

Another week where I have to tape during event, will add a few dogs small and play around with Main some more
 
Crute x Usman 1,90 1200 $
Crute DEC 4,50 50 $
Usman ITD 3,30 50 $
Usman Round 4 26 10$
Usman Round 5 34 10$
That's it,I don't like the rest of the card,planned to put something on Zhang but I decided not to as the lines are right IMO
Damn,I knew Jimmys striking defense lacks a bit and he was eating jabs but he was landing kicks and clearly had the grappling advantage which he would all capitalize later if his leg didn't crumble...well,it is what it is,trying to land a hail mary now with Zhang and Usman late round finishes
 
Carnelossi 1000 to win 588
Li SUB 188 to win 940

Zu/Vargas O1.5 375 to win 250

Crute 1000 to win 532

Hall RD3 KO 100 to win 1100

Usman and O2.5 1000 to win 500

Another week where I have to tape during event, will add a few dogs small and play around with Main some more

Added:
Robertson 180
Usman O2.5 500
Usman DEC 375
Masvidal U2.5 140

Added Live:

Sekulic
250

-2,887= 5.7u
Das it for me boys. First time in 2 years I have had a losing month, even after clawing back from 3k loss start of the month.Gona focus on my business next couple of week, which will allow me to quit my full-time job and I can actually tape fights properly. I will still reply to inboxes but wont be contributing to the forum

Il reply to inboxes
 
Alright, let's lose some money.

Randy Brown -145 - 145 for 100
Randy Brown -122(boosted) -- 50 for 40.95
U4.5 Rose/Wheili +110 - 100 for 110

Roberson boosted to +157 - 50 for 128.75
Andrade +409(boosted) - 50 for 204.75
Andrade +310 - 100 for 310
Andrade +340 - 100 for 340
Weidman ITD +300 - 50 for 150
Carnelossi -165/Crute -195 - 250 for 607.42
Carnelossi -175/Munoz -300/Brown -155/Crute -200, 50 for 208.53 -- Munoz is out, not sure of the updated payout
Crute -200/Carnelossi -210/Brown -145 - 36 for 98.69
Crute KO +200 - 50 for 100


Only dog I'm supremely confident in within the next few events is Chandler @ +130. I'm on Andrade, but just for 2.5u. I think she has a lot of paths to victory, and the line isn't reflecting that, so it dictates a play.

Added an extra 100 on U4.5 +110 in the Rose fight. Added an extra 200 after that hit on U4.5 @ +145 in the Usman fight.

But I also added $80 on Weidman ITD.

So -486+110+290-80 = -$6(.06u) for the night.

Not too bad, tilt live betting the co-main/main unders helped minimize my losses.
 


Did you see the press conference?

Ocho got on the mic and kept asking him if he should bet on him, and he wanted assurance that Masvidal was gonna win.

Masvidal kept dodging the question, and finally after it became awkward as fuck he said, "it's not a bad bet".
 
Did you see the press conference?

Ocho got on the mic and kept asking him if he should bet on him, and he wanted assurance that Masvidal was gonna win.

Masvidal kept dodging the question, and finally after it became awkward as fuck he said, "it's not a bad bet".

In Masvidal's defense he winked after his answer at the press conference, it was code imo lol. Hindsight is 20/20 but I really felt Masvidal was a little off this week, even in the cage during the introductions. Not physically but just a little shook, his confidence didn't seem there especially compared to the 251 fight week.
 
Sorry completely forgot to pre-post my bets but ill post results anyway.

£100 Usman decision -101 to win £98

£502 Rose +180 to win £906.3

£100 Weidman decision +225 to win £225

£100 Molina -110 to win £90.90
........................................
Net profit:
£797.20 / 4u
 
Last edited:
Haven't posted in a while.
3u Usman dec -120 (got them at the bad time...)
1.5 u Shev/Andrade o4.5 at +100
1.5u Shev dec +165
2.5u Zhang at -170
Fucking lol at me.
Don't understand why I have been sucking so much for the last 6 months, I've been betting for 1 year, was on a 10% Roi over the first 6 months, and from then I just started to lose more and more, now I'm back to my initial BK, lol, 1 year for nothing.
 
I only got a 1U return.

Even though they went 0-3 for me I kind of have the feeling I will be betting on the 3 new chinese fighters if they get a sophomore appearance.

I was actually really impressed with Aoriqileng and Na Liang. Didnt see much for Zhu Rong but definiately looking forward to large betting the first 2 next fight at + odds.
 
Randy Brown at -130 had to be one of the best plays on the card. I didn't know much about Brown before the fight but as soon as it started it was obvious he was better overall than Cowboy.
 
In Masvidal's defense he winked after his answer at the press conference, it was code imo lol. Hindsight is 20/20 but I really felt Masvidal was a little off this week, even in the cage during the introductions. Not physically but just a little shook, his confidence didn't seem there especially compared to the 251 fight week.

Compare that to before the Ben fight when he was telling people at open workouts to bet on him and it was easy money.

Jorge is a clown, journeyman who people hyped up so much because of two KO's over average fighters(I don't rate Till highly).

I mean good for him, he's been in the game a long time and he finally got paid, but I find it comical people legitimately bet him down from +350 to +250 yesterday alone.
 
Compare that to before the Ben fight when he was telling people at open workouts to bet on him and it was easy money.

Jorge is a clown, journeyman who people hyped up so much because of two KO's over average fighters(I don't rate Till highly).

I mean good for him, he's been in the game a long time and he finally got paid, but I find it comical people legitimately bet him down from +350 to +250 yesterday alone.

Yeah Jorge got all the hype in the world, but like you said he´s a journeyman, he´s good and all but he doesn´t belong in there with Usman. The fight is probably in hindsight a decent example of the public vs sharps.
 

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