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  1. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    Yeah imo his TKD creds don't mean all that much. His attributes are speed, power, and aggression with his striking. At HW, that can definitely carry you quite far. But he will need to round out his game a lot to really make a run at being elite.
  2. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    Maaan...I can't agree at all. Pavlovich has plenty of power. The TKO's aren't cumulative damage TKO's. He puts guys on wobbly legs or drops them then tees off. Tom has a good chin is what I've seen. Blaydes didn't really land anything clean though. I agree Pavlovich isn't as dynamic or fast as...
  3. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    I mean, that's MMA really. Your striking can make your grappling look better, and vice versa. The guys who can blend them and make opponents guess are often the best in the world. GSP was kind of the pioneer of that. Came up a striker, made himself a world class grappler...boom. Robelis will...
  4. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    Lotta super high level TKD guys to beat out to make the Cuban national team LOL? He's fast and powerful, but he wings punches the same way you described Ngannou. Aspinall's boxing is leagues better, and Aspinall has the same speed. Maybe more. Plus, it's MMA and Tom can grapple so... Edit...
  5. mkess101

    Crime 3 Missing Surfers Found Dead In Mexico

    I don't know this specific area but the idea that American (or Aussie, whatever) tourists are hands off for cartel violence is patently false. It's probably mostly true IF an area isn't being contested at all between rival cartels. If one has an area locked down, it's likely accurate to say they...
  6. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    I'd be shocked if Despaigne allowed himself to be clinched without disengaging and throwing bombs. He looks reckless, and against really skilled guys he's gonna get countered and put away. But I don't think Waldo is the guy. And I definitely don't seea scenario where he's able to go deep into a...
  7. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    The way Despaigne fights? He's trying to take off his opponents head with everything he throws. I cannot imagine he'd be able to even stand up if somehow the fight goes past rd 2.
  8. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento - official bets

    So far Underdog one play: Despaigne over 49.55 FS + Woodson under 57.55 FS---$100 to pay $300 Edit: Despaigne FS bumped to 55.55 already. I wasn't the only one that saw how off that was.
  9. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    I guess I've just yet to see Borschev show in a fight that any of the TAM grappling pedigree has translated. He just seems to look so lost in terms of how to avoid being controlled. Hooper has filled out a little, and obviously is gonna be hyper focused on making Slava grapple. I don't have...
  10. mkess101

    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento

    Borschev has shown really terrible instincts when it comes to body positioning in terms of keeping himself upright against ANYONE that hasn't wanted to stand with him. And given his striking prowess, Hooper won't want to at all. Yeah Chase isn't some sort of wrestling wizard but he may not have...
  11. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    It's very possible Smith hasn't fallen off that badly. I'm not sure this win cements that though because of how it played out. Petrino made just a really stupid mistake. Smith has some sub wins that are slick, I'm not discounting his grappling in a general sense. But this was him simply...
  12. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    It's really hard to know when a guy has just hit that wall in their career where their body can't do what it used to. When the reflexes slow enough that punches land that never would've previously, etc. We speculate and sometimes we get it right and sometimes not. I think the people who bet...
  13. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    The problem with that is when fighters have clearly gone past their prime. And admittedly, that's sometimes hard to really know. We watch them, we weigh what they've done vs what we've seen recently, etc. IMO Aldo I have to agree with you because he'd never shown a true drop-off. The layoff...
  14. mkess101

    UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg - official bets thread

    I also had one more pick6 play which was $10 entry and 5 legs and hit that for a little over $100. At the casino, I just did $140 worth of parlays. Cashed two of them. Klose ML+Brito ML+Pantoja ML--$50 to win $125.56 Brito KO+Borralho KO+Pantoja ML--$20 to win $314.18 Lost the other $70 worth...
  15. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    The Imdian casino in Milwaukee just opened their renovated sportsbook. It's nice, they spent some $ to make it like the nicer Vegas ones. I went down today and made some plays. You can parlay props which I wasn't sure they'd allow. I hit a nice parlay of Brito KO+Borrahlo KO+Pantoja ML.
  16. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    Man, that's crazy! We have the Indian casinos here too. So no DK sportsbook. But pick6 is available. I just started with it but so far it's like stealing with a few lines each card.
  17. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    It's not the sportsbook. We don't have here in WI either. On your DK page at the top, in order it will list daily fantasy, sportsbook, casino, then pick6. Pick6 is line their version of Prizepicks or Underdog. You pick over or under the stats they offer. It's just a different type of daily...
  18. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    IDK about his next one, but probably soon. But per the stats, he outstruck Erceg tonight. He wore the damage worse for sure though.
  19. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    You really should look at the pick 6 thing that DK offers now. Some of the lines make NO sense. I've kinda been testing it but if they keep setting lines like this I'll have to increase my play there. They offered Brito TD's at 3.5. Who the hell thought Brito was gonna hit 4 TD's??? My main play...
  20. mkess101

    UFC 301 PBP

    Yup. We tied for 4291st place.
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