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  1. guidi

    UFC Vegas 87, JR vs Shamil Gaziev, March 2, UFC Apex, 1 PM eastern

    Just saw props, Mokaev by submission at +165 seems like great value as he has defeated most of his opposition in the UFC this way. Perez has been submitted 5 times already, there are definitely levels with Figgy and Pantoja doing this to him just seems likely that this will follow the usual...
  2. guidi

    UFC 297: Sean Strickland vs. Dricus Du Plessis, January 20, Toronto, Canada

    Waiting for props hopefully will find Gillian by sub at +Money, she will have a massive edge on the ground against Viana who has been subbed by lesser grapplers. Good to see Malott get a step up in competition but there might be some value in Magny by decision, he may be a bit on the older side...
  3. guidi

    PFL, Professional Fighters League, MMA, betting thread

    Anyone else see the weigh in with Cooper missing? He has missed weight before and looked completely drained, as long as Brunson can get past the first round he should be able to take over with his wrestling.
  4. guidi

    UFC 295: Jiri Prochazka vs. Alex Pereira, November 11

    I like Ricci as the dog here as well, it wasn't too long ago Angela hill was able to sprawl and piece up Godinez on the feet. Loopy has also had some pretty favorable matchups as of late and this just seems like a bad matchup for her.
  5. guidi

    UFC Sao Paulo: Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida, Brazil, November 4

    Definitely seems like there is a path to victory with Pichel, survive the first round and impose his grinding style and win on the scorecards. He is 13 years older than Bonfim so that might be a factor here, not sure when Pichel might start to slow down but line does seem too wide.
  6. guidi

    UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2, October 21, Abu Dhabi

    Dudakova looked incredibly drained at the weigh ins, definitetly think Frey is worth a stab at these odds
  7. guidi

    UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2, October 21, Abu Dhabi

    Yup Allen rocked Silva on the feet dropped him and then got the sub, definitely seems like UFC is trying to set Shara up for a finish with this matchmaking
  8. guidi

    Bellator MMA: Bellator 302 event in January 2024 is the last event?

    https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/2023/10/bellator-300-liz-carmouche-ilima-lei-macfarlane-friends-to-foes Just makes me think were more likely to see the scorecards here, and hopefully we don't see anything close to the PFL debacle
  9. guidi

    Bellator MMA: Bellator 302 event in January 2024 is the last event?

    Agreed about MacFarlane, she has not looked good in her recent fights I thought she lost to Watanabe but it was a close fight. With her retirement talk and very poor performance against a fighter like Kish, I have to back Liz in this spot seems like she can use her wrestling to keep top position...
  10. guidi

    UFC Nashville: Cory Sandhagen vs. Robert Font, August 5

    Anyone else really like Wells at -130? He's gonna have a big advantage on the ground and also has heavy hands plus Harris has been stopped before, seems like his itd props would be a good play as well depending on the odds.
  11. guidi

    UFC 289: Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana, June 10, Vancouver

    Yup +330 on DK and +340 om Fanduel, definitely worth a stab in my opinion
  12. guidi

    UFC 289: Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana, June 10, Vancouver

    Definitely a bit of value on Curtis by dec at +330, Imavov was starting to get worn out against Buckley not too long ago and we saw that in the Strickland fight but that was 5 rounds. It is a really close fight and Curtis looked solid against Gastelum, he picks up steam after the first round and...
  13. guidi

    UFC Vegas 73: Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill, May 20

    Cosce looked awful at the weigh ins, super drained it was definitely a rough cut, gonna play Urbina after seeing that
  14. guidi

    UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo, May 6, New Jersey

    There is a path to victory for Frevola just don't see him getting into deep waters against Dober, their level of competition isn't even close and Frevola won't be able to take the power of Dober, he was blown out of the water by Mckinney and a guy like Polo Reyes knocked him out as well.
  15. guidi

    UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo, May 6, New Jersey

    Dober should win handily here, Frevola is way too hittable and has been finished by lesser strikers than Dober. This is definitely a step back for him from the Bobby Green fight.
  16. guidi

    UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2

    This is a massive step up for Pyfer, he looked great in his last fight but that guy wasnt even UFC level and this only his second bout in the UFC. GM3 has a massive experience advantage as well, and considering his style I think he can survive a a few scary moments and get the finish late.
  17. guidi

    UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2

    I like Barnett in this spot, Sherman is 1-6 in his last 7 fights and this feels like more of a coinflip than the current odds. Barnett was able to survive a beating against Collier and comeback to finish him, far more impressive than anything Sherman has showed of as late. Sherman is very flaky...
  18. guidi

    UFC Vegas 71: Yan vs. Dvalishvili, March 11

    I feel the same way, Romanov gassed horrible against Tybura and Volkov is usually hard to put away. Might be best to live bet after round 1 as well if Volkov can survive the early onslaught, Romanov hasn't beaten a top HW in the UFC yet and showed his lack of cardio pretty recently. Maybe Volkov...
  19. guidi

    UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane

    Hows everyone seeing Bo vs Pickett finish? I like Bo by sub in the first, Pickett is barely UFC level and I think Bo just has a repeat performance from contender series. Stand for a little shoot for a takedown and then lock up a submission soon after.
  20. guidi

    UFC FN: Jessica Andrade vs. Erin Blanchfield, February 18

    Im on Miller as well with these odds, he will have survive a scary first round but I think he should be able to take over in the second. Hernandez has a lot of power but not a great gas tank and slows down a lot later in the fight, also this is a pretty quick turnaround for him after all the...
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