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    UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira

    A coin-flip paying out twice your money is a hell of a bargain!
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    General MMA Discussion & Future Lines- 2020

    Definitely a questionable opener, but seeing as they place micro-sized limits on them, a few $50 dollar bets can flip those lines in a hurry. Basically, the lines are tossed out there but then pretty much set themselves after a little bit of money starts to come in. In this case, I doubt the...
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    UFC 260: Stipe vs Ngannou 2

    Just in case you didn’t realize, that’s not Stun Gun that Omar fought. He has the same name (or at least used to), but it’s a different dude.
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    UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov

    Should be a very winnable fight for Rodriguez, but you’ll never catch me laying over 2:1 on him over anyone inside the octagon.
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    2020 Recap and Analytics

    Nicely done. It’s so important to keep detailed records and stay honest and objective about what’s driving your success and what is contributing to leakage that needs to be tightened up. Congrats and GL in 2021.
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    Boxing Discussion VIII

    lol... I had Alvarado by decision at that same line (+450) and he was leading by a point on all 3 scorecards heading into the last round but still managed to lose by 1 point.
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    UFC Fight Night 184: Holloway vs Kattar

    Max is durable as hell. I like Kattar’s style but wouldn’t put much faith in him being the first to finish Holloway with strikes. I expect this to hit the cards.
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    UFC Fight Night 183 - Official Bets

    nice plays, as always... congrats on a monster year!
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    UFC Fight Night: Thompson Vs. Neal

    He is stupidly short for the division, but have you seen his body type? No way in hell he’d ever be able to cut to 155lbs and it’s not laziness that’s stopping him.
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    UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno

    What are you seeing in Gavin Tucker here? I’m considering the other side myself.
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    UFC on ESPN 19 Hermansson vs. Holland Official Bets

    To be honest, the +110 and -235 lines are so far apart (<48% vs >70% represented probability) that despite it being the same fighter, it’s not even remotely the same bet. There are plenty of spots where I would go big on a plus money play but pass on the same fighter as over a 2:1 favorite.
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    UFC on ESPN 19 Hermansson vs. Holland Official Bets

    Hermansson risk 1.5 units to win 2.25 Jackson risk 1 unit to win 1.99 OSP risk 1 unit to win 2.38 O1.5 OSP/Hill risk 0.79 units to win 0.5 Dolidze risk 1.61 units to win 1 Smolka risk 1.31 units to win 1
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    General MMA Discussion & Future Lines- 2020

    Should be close to even money
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    UFC Fight Night 184: Blaydes vs.Lewis Official Bets

    Decent night, but I knew better than to lay chalk on Sanders yet did it anyway. The guy just can’t help himself. No regrets playing AES. She was absolutely horrible tonight, embarrassing almost, but @ plus money I was comfortable taking a shot against the unknown.
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    UFC Fight Night 184: Blaydes vs.Lewis Official Bets

    AES risk 1 unit to win 1.08 units Sanders risk 1.14 units to win 1 unit Smith risk 2.52 units to win 2 units Baeza risk 2.96 units to win 1 unit Mazany risk 1.39 to win 1 unit U2.5 Mazany risk 0.5 units to win 0.93 units U2.5 Madaerji risk 1.31 to win 1 unit
  16. C

    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

    Not seeing a whole lot I’m confident in either. One of the weaker betting cards in a while, from my perspective.
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    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

    I don’t disagree with that, but my concern for Algeo is that even if your Carlyle assessment is 100% right and he gasses out after 8-9 minutes, he may already be about to go up 20-18 on the scorecards, meaning Algeo could need a late finish or 10-8 round 3 just to manage a draw. This fight...
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    UFC 255 - Figueiredo vs. Perez - Official Bets

    Most people disagreed with me, but I honestly felt like Lipski could hang with Antonina on the feet, despite her striking pedigree. I actually still do, to be honest. Makes no difference though, Antonina was smart to take the fight to where Lipski is useless.
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    UFC 255 - Figueiredo vs. Perez - Official Bets

    Turned some profit but terrible bet on Cosce + the under 1.5 given how unproven he was. That being said, Palatnikov is a tough prick. Impressive performance by him. Chookagian was golden.
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    General MMA Discussion & Future Lines- 2020

    Such a great fight. Oliveira has really upped his game lately. A few years back I wouldn’t have expected this to be too competitive but this should be a very close fight. If it were scheduled for 5 rounds I’d expect Ferg to break him late but I’m not confident he can do that in 15 minutes...
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