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  1. cs10

    UFC 208 pbp/discussion

    put $3 on draw for the brown fight silva fight and glover fight. all +6000 or better lets see if some of these new 10-8s pay off
  2. cs10

    UFC 208 pbp/discussion

    interesting little graphic they showed on the broadcast seemed to suggest there is gonna be more 10-8 rounds, if that is the case then there could be a lot more draws no? not sure if the judges will actually change their behavior that much though
  3. cs10

    Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - October 2016

    NHL Betting the over 5.5 in the Toronto vs Minnesota game tonight. I dont bet hockey very often but; -Leafs playing their backup goalie (Enroth), he's not bad but still im taking it into account -younger leafs team has been able to produce decent offense in their first few games...
  4. cs10

    Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - October 2016

    Hockey Betting question... I see they now have lines for "period with more goals" "2nd period vs 3rd period" 3rd period is -110. Am i missing something or is this a no brainer bet? typically near the end of the game the team that is down will take more risks to tie it up. Even pulling the...
  5. cs10

    Your Official UFC 202 Bets

    Diaz 20 to win 20 Markos 10 to win 8 Mizugaki 5 to win 19 Story 10 to win 14 Glover/AJ U1.5 10 to win 8 Story/Cerrone ITD 10 to win 12.5 Pennington+Magney/Larkin O2.5+Covington 10 to win 17
  6. cs10

    UFN 90 Play by Play

    wow DC vs anderson silva
  7. cs10

    UFN 90 Play by Play

    Anyone else is canada have their feed on the fightnetwork just swicth to some ufc unleashed bullshit!? It just switched for me and its showing a god dam jens pulver fight lol
  8. cs10

    UFC 200 - DC vs JJ 2 - Vegas

    Apparently DC is still going to be fighting at UFC 200, any idea who would be taking this fight on literally 2 days notice? is there anyone lower on the card who could be already on weight to get bumped up?
  9. cs10

    UFC 200 - DC vs JJ 2 - Vegas

    Brock should pull the ole' Kevin randleman vs cro cop, fake shooting in for a takedown then throw a Huuuuuggge (trump voice) overhand right.
  10. cs10

    Big cage / small cage statistical analyisis

    Hi IGnP, thanks for the input. I tend to mostly agree with you, based on the likely sample size we'll get and the variability it might be difficult to end up with a "statistically significant" outcome that would be usable to make bets on. So...likely....even if i put this together the...
  11. cs10

    Big cage / small cage statistical analyisis

    Hey UAK, what if I only look at fights in the small cage. Then just compare the implied probability (based on the odds) of a fight going to decision with the actual results? This way i would not be comparing apples to oranges per se, but looking at the implied probability of decision based on...
  12. cs10

    Big cage / small cage statistical analyisis

    Hey Waiguoren, thanks for the input. My thinking was by using the odds to adjust for the "implied probability" it should somewhat correct for that. Haven't fully got my head around the best way to interpret it but here's a very basic example of what I'm thinking. Lets say we collect data...
  13. cs10

    Big cage / small cage statistical analyisis

    Hey guys, was busy studying for a big finance test for the past several months but finally have some free time on my hands now. I was thinking of trying to do statistical analysis of sorts and thought looking at a comparison of big cage / small cage events would be an interesting place to...
  14. cs10

    UFC 199 pbp/discussion

    only bets ive got for this event are lombard hendo ends in rd 1 and bisping rockhold o1.5
  15. cs10

    Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - May 2016

    Anybody have any leans on the Olympic lines? It looks like they have some inital odds out for Soccer (mens and womens), Tennis (mens) and Basketball (mens and womens). At least thats what they're showing on bookmaker. I don't know any of those sports well enough to have an educated opinion.
  16. cs10

    Your Official UFC 198 Bets

    Werdum 15 to win 10 Cyborg+Alves+Cummins+Maia 10 to win 15 Chagas Moraes O1.5 10 to win 11 Cyborg Rd1 50 to win 25 Belfort Souza U1.5 15 to win 10 Lineker 15 to win 11
  17. cs10

    UFC 198 - Curitiba - Werdum vs Miocic

    You better put some RESPEK on his name! (birdman reference for those who get it)
  18. cs10

    Your Official UFN 87 Bets

    So far just: 10 on Tuck -125 10 on Gates -135 added: 5 on Gunnar by sub at +340 5 on arlovski/reem under 1.5 + tumenov + GDR to win $14
  19. cs10

    Official UFC on FOX 19 Thread - Tampa - Khabib vs Ferguson

    Nobody liking Khabib vs Horcher U2.5 at even? seems like with the experience disparity Khabib should finish, even khabib round 1 at +200 is tempting
  20. cs10

    Official UFC on FOX 19 Thread - Tampa - Khabib vs Ferguson

    I heard him on Kenny Florian's podcast the other day (first time I'd listened to that one) basic cliff notes: - He lost his love for fighting or something along those lines and went on a trip to machu pichu to "re-discover" it - was sort of disheartened that he never got a title shot after...
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