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  1. Stunna77

    UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal (7/11)

    Keep making Sherdog proud Paul, you are the leader this forum deserves.
  2. Stunna77

    Bellator 239 Ruth vs Amosov

    Jury is technically better everywhere, but dude just looks disinterested in the cage. I also threw a small bet on Girtz +205. Can easily see him simply outworking Jury to a decision. That said, Jury is definitely the more talented fighter.
  3. Stunna77

    UFC on ESPN+ 26 Felder vs Hooker

    If Dobson loses I think its Priscilla winning 1/3. She comes out at an unsustainable pace, but can look decent for the first 2-3 minutes just pressing forward and winging volume. She then starts to slow and get substantially sloppier (which is tough since she isn't technical at all to begin...
  4. Stunna77

    UFC on ESPN+ 25 Anderson vs Blachowicz II

    Is Vargas a capable wrestler? Weaver going to have a pretty substantial size advantage to aid him should he look to take this to the ground. Vargas style naturally opens him up for tds and once on the mat he has shown very little ability to get up.
  5. Stunna77

    UFC on ESPN+ 25 Anderson vs Blachowicz II

    Highly disagree with DLR more likely to finish than Paiva. Feel like Paiva has shown tons of improvement since his regional fights and has learned how to generate solid power. He swept KKF out of the pocket consistently and busted Bontorin up badly early in their fight. Also the trickier...
  6. Stunna77

    UFC on ESPN+ 25 Anderson vs Blachowicz II

    Watch his DWCS fight quick, get to see him vs a long WW, not LW's in Combate, and Rico is a SP. Likely reaffirms your Means lean. That bullying aggression you saw in regional fights was slowed quickly once he didn't have a size advantage. We all know Means isn't going to be bullied, so its...
  7. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    That is true but Cummins was always a huge WW, while Krause only recently moved up from LW. Prior to the move up he was getting knocked around the cage by a low tier LW in Alex White by the 3rd round after needing to wrestle the first two. I like Krause, he is well rounded, high iq, etc, but...
  8. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Krause is taller, he is certainly not bigger or else they would be in the same weight class. Krause has fought a lot of his career as low as 155, Giles debut at 205. Krause came in under the MW limit at 183.5, Giles will likely have at least 20 lbs on him tonight. Giles does put himself in...
  9. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Shocked by how many people are taking a mid-tier WW on 1-day notice as a fav vs a MW with a full camp who has legit skills, just bad fight IQ. Took some Giles +145.
  10. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes Official Bets

    $2.5k Morono -170 $1K Bautista +145 $1k Bektic -120 $387.5 Jones/Reyes O2.5 -155 Have some action on Andrea Lee and Shevchenko to close/open parlays.
  11. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Morono has a clear ceiling given his lack of size and athleticism in a stacked WW division, but he has a well-rounded game and is making improvements at Fortis. Loved his output and consistent jab in the Griffin fight. He should roll over Khaos who is incredibly open defensively and doesn't...
  12. Stunna77

    UFC on ESPN+ 26 Felder vs Hooker

    I understand liking Hooker, but you know Felder is going to be there for 5 rounds. Would be a much better fight for Hooker over 3, no strong lean for me and much better spots on the card IMO.
  13. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    What makes you questions Valentina's cardio? She has gone five rounds on four different occasions. Once against the P4P best and most dangerous woman in the sport and another against a cardio and volume machine in JJ. Seem to be putting a lot of stock into Instagram and diets, but Val has...
  14. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    That is definitely the worry and a reason I have this fight capped fairly close, with Bektic -150. IMO if he was known to fight smart he makes this look easy and likely wins a clear 30-27 pushing his wrestling.
  15. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Would take Newson +150, can't play his current line given height and reach disadvantages and his lack of output striking. Don't really have an interest in Pilarte as a fav though either. Can't bet Ewell as a favorite until he shows some improvement in his ground game and ability to disrupt...
  16. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Appreciate the change-up. I disagree regarding Ige's bottom game though, he severely lacks get-ups which is a huge fault of his because, as you pointed out, he will get overzealous on top and often lose scrambles. He spent an entire round under Jordan Griffin, and really only won that fight...
  17. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Think everyone should re-evaluate their lives over the weekend, stay off this forum and reconvene next week to see if its worth continuing. This forum used to actually contain decent analysis, but almost all of the legitimate bettors have taken to private chats because its unbearable these days.
  18. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Are you comparing a hyped up 21-year old with no previous wins over legit 125er's (all previous wins were former 115ers she could bully, and JJ still gave her the business for 7-8 min) and Valentina Shevchenko? The odds were definitely not justified on Barber, hence why most of us were...
  19. Stunna77

    UFC 247 Jones vs Reyes

    Just wasted 20 minutes reading the last four pages, quick summary so no one else makes that mistake: Thiago Santos has a better ground game than Jon Jones and it was smarter for him to risk losing a close fight in the hands of the judges rather than wrestle; and someone bet 10u Chook because...
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