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    UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2

    Probably gonna be justifiably crucified for this, but anyone think there might be value on Fugitt at +500? There's VERY little footage of him out there (and the stuff pre-2022 probably isn't super relevant given how long ago it was), but after a high-kick spam v Renfro led to a knockdown punch...
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    UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2

    People have surely mentioned this already, but Kim is 1 inch shorter and has 2 inches greater reach
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    UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa

    As a Kiwi this thread makes for depressing reading
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    UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa

    We're just gonna pretend like Uriah Hall isn't Izzy 1.0 huh? Dude was jabbing Costa's face off until the finish
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    UFC Fight Night: Covington v Woodley

    I'm in the less popular boat here in that I think given his style Price is live to get finished The guy does not give a shit if he gets hit in the face or not. He takes 5 to land 4 (but with a bit more power) That said, most guys who lose to Cowboy fail because they rush in, get hit, then rush...
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    UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa

    Leaning Diego Sanchez R3 or DEC Matthews's gas tank sucks and Diego has that Michelle Waterson advantage with judges because they all want to fuck him
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    UFC Fight Night: Covington v Woodley

    ... Did you just suggest a Niko Price fight will go to decision?
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    UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

    It's really hard to look like you don't have good striking against Teemu Packalen
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    UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

    The only way it isn't is if Mazo specifically targets Kish's injured leg, which is possible Kish started hobbling on it a bit at the end of round one v Pudilova, and anyone with positive fight IQ would have immediately started chopping away
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    UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

    11/15 media members scored the Ji Yeon Kim fight for Kish
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    UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

    Dog odds are a mad ting this week Justine Kish fights pretty much the same fighter she just won against and is over +200. If you're betting Mazo you're basically betting on Kish's leg giving out, which is fair, but means you're on Mazo's KO line at +355. -130 for a decision is absurd against...
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    UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

    Sorry but you're a fucking retard if you think Pereira was a justified favourite going into that fight He won, but has 0 fight IQ and has gassed hard in most fights he's had previously It's really easy to say "there were great betting lines elsewhere in the card that could win because they...
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    UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

    Fluke KO is wrong lol But it's a pretty clear pick em fight where someone is getting blasted on the feet, so the dog is the right side. If you didn't get Worthy early, you're probably on Azaitar
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    UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai

    I fully acknowledge that De Lima v Romanov probably finishes in the first But Fight Goes The Distance at 5.5 (+450) for two fighters who have very real potential to gas is just silly
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    UFC Fight Night: Covington v Woodley

    It literally isn't possible for every fighter to reach their maximum potential. In every fight someone has to win and someone has to lose lmfao Fighters should be reaching their potential (or close to) BEFORE they get to the UFC. Once in the UFC it's a proving ground, if you can't hang then go...
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    UFC Fight Night: Covington v Woodley

    Is worth mentioning we're coming at this from different perspectives though: You genuinely want to build up prospects, I want them to fail
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    UFC Fight Night: Covington v Woodley

    I'm not even sure he would have to be honest Also worth mentioning Yair worked his way back up to fringe #1 contender status so it's not like failing your initial top 5-10 test is a death sentence. If anything it's better for the fighter as it shows them their own glaring holes Also beating...
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    UFC Fight Night: Covington v Woodley

    This is travelling outside the realm of betting discussion BUT I'd rather fast-track these insanely hyped prospects straight to the top fighters in their division. Sink or swim. It they win, great, the hype was justified. If they get tooled a la Frankie Edgar v Yair, everybody can shut the fuck...
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    UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai

    I think we all agree Kelleher SHOULD win, we just don't trust him Like there's every possible he just decides to swang and bang for no reason, despite it being his opponent's literal only path to victory
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