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It looks about over, congrats Biden bettors. Going forward, the mail in voting really changed things and if that process continues, you’ll see voting trends you’ve never seen before. I’ve never seen any of the trends I saw this year in vote counting or voter turnout and I have a high suspicion...

I got it back up to -400, was trending lower than that for a little bit.

No clue but that’s what would be illegal.

Did you read what I said?

Any voting passed the polls closing would be considered cheating, anything before that is legal.

Yeah, the mail ins seem very fishy and even though they tend to skew Democratic, the margin for those was insane.

Oh it’s extremely close.

Lol I’m aware. They’ve dropped a lot in the last two hours which is odd.

Looking pretty close, given what’s on the board, I’d have Biden favorite at about 2:1. The next few days should be interesting.

Prefer not to give figures but I’m heavy on Trump. No one took side bets with me when I was giving Biden at 2:1 but I found a couple people to use websites while giving them 10%. Should be fun.

Lol think your lock will be off but we got another 24+ hours to see. Arizona had a really strong Democratic senate candidate and a strong candidate can beat party lines. In the 2016 election, Arizona did shift more blue though, we’ll see if that trend continues.

Me and my DC buddy were just talking about the House. She thinks they are going to gain seats, I think they’ll lose some seats. I usually go off of 270towin.com and look at their electoral map. There’s just too many races for me to accurately predict without studying races for hours. If you...

Lol nice, good luck buddy, I’m shocked Biden is a favorite in Arizona. Prolly call up a buddy on that.

The United States.

My prediction: Trump 300, Biden 238 Swing states starting west: NV: Biden AZ: Trump CO: Biden NM: Biden (although no great polling data) MN: Biden (state I’m least confident on, could flip) WI: Biden IA: Trump MI: Trump OH: Trump PA: Trump NH: Trump MN2: Trump VA: Biden NC: Trump GA: Trump FL...

It depends on how you give NH, AZ, NV, IA, NC, and MI. Trafalgar has Trump up in FL, PA, NC, and MI in tight races. They have him up pretty big in OH and AZ. If Trump pulls out FL, PA, NC, and MI, he wins the election.

Hillary won by 2.1% last election, I think Biden is going to do worse than her in the Popular vote. Based on the Rasmussen poll, I’m putting the Popular vote at 50/50 odds when I previously had it at like -200 for Biden. I’d bet the other side if I were you.

Yep, depends on how you’re looking at them but for this election, the two polls I’m really paying attention to are them and Rasmussen as those are the two most accurate last time.

Saw he was calling them out but that’s fine. He needs to get his brand back by picking accurately as he was so far off last time. I don’t put much weight in his words to accurately predict things.

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-102520/ Pretty insane things have shifted in this poll that much over a few weeks. This group is one of the polls I pay attention to due to their accuracy and Biden was up pretty big in their polls a couple weeks ago. Could be an anomaly but it’s...