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  1. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    Colby actually has a reputation of being a very good teammate. Kind and helpful even towards guys in his own division. Listen to how much Miguel Baeza raves about him. Which is all the more reason Colbly likely feels hurt and betrayed by Poirier turning the gym into a warzone and forcing Dan...
  2. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    Unlike you, I have no clue whether Dustin is a good or bad human being. However, Colby's anger towards him is completely understandable, as Poirier was one of the main people who ran him out of ATT, including threatening violence against him.
  3. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    Barboza is probably the side to favor here at +150, but I hate these kinds of match-ups. Either Mitchell utterly dominates Barboza with grappling, or else he gets horribly exposed with Barboza looking like one of the best lines of the year. Problem is, there is really no way to tell. Mitchell...
  4. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    UGH! Tried to get 3u on Holland at -134 after round 1 and was a second slow.
  5. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    On a -300 pre-bet favorite who wasn't going to get out-grappled and who Yan had zero chances of hurting? I was happy with any plus numbers.
  6. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    Clearly a good bet and +1.3u, but I'm wondering whether it was worth at least 2u. As someone who has bet on both Rodriguez and Yan successfully countless times, I knew Yan would fade after round 1 and Rodriguez would start landing more and more.
  7. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    The commentary is hilariously biased.
  8. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    1u on Rodriguez at +130 after Round 1
  9. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    Agapova's gas tank looked good striking against Mazo, but she thrashed around far too much and was done after less than 4 minutes of grappling. Moroz's own gas tank sucks (she faded very badly and got beaten up in rounds 3 by Mazo and Bueno Silva, where her grappling was ineffective) but for...
  10. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 272 PBP/Discussion

    Heh, I hit Agapova for 3u at -170, figuring that Agapova would utterly dominate the striking. While I did think there was a chance that Moroz could win via grappling, I rated it as only about 20-25%; I wasn't that impressed with what Moroz showed grappling against Mazo and Bueno Silva, and...
  11. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker 2 - official bets

    For various reasons, I haven't been able to tape, which would normally mean no wagers from me, even when I have a very strong feeling. However, I know both of these heavyweights extremely well and have made a lot of money betting their past fights. I can write up a more detailed analysis, but...
  12. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    General MMA Discussion & Future Lines- 2020

    For anyone curious, I finally got someone last night who admitted that yes, this shouldn't be happening, and after some back-and-forth, he removed my roll-over requirement entirely. I was flabbergasted and told him that I wasn't expecting or wanting this, and am fine with fulfilling my...
  13. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    General MMA Discussion & Future Lines- 2020

    Anyone else noticed problems with BetOnline's roll-over? I made a bet tonight and my total towards roll-over and percentage went DOWN. With their typical awful customer service, I called in the first time, was on hold for 9 minutes before being disconnected, and then, on the second call, the...
  14. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 269 PBP/Discussion

    Yeah, also the first Tuivasa fight I've lost money on. I was on Tuivasa huge against Hardy, Hunsucker (5u for that one), Struve (hit the round 1 TKO/KO prop for a lot) and against him with both JDS (about -150 or so) and Ivanov (underdog). I'm really hit-and-miss on betting Sakai, though.
  15. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 269 PBP/Discussion

    Haha, that's the risk one takes betting against a guy with great physical gifts but horrendous fight IQ in Tuivasa. I was really happy when Tuivasa decided to clinch with Sakai in round 1, which was the only way I thought Sakai could win, but knowing Tuivasa, it was enough to scare me off...
  16. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC 269 PBP/Discussion

    1u on Sakai at +175
  17. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo - offical bets

    Still struggling to find the time to tape or bet, but when I do, it's rarely wrong. +1.95u
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