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Jiri's winning conditions are crazy pressure and pace. He needs every bit of athleticism and cardio to compensate for lack of technique and constant gambles that put him in bad positions. And even if he looks in good shape, who's to say his prior mentality to pressure like a mad man will come...

Good chance Arman knocks Charles out on the feet. We've seen him in similar match-up with Joel Alvarez. Oliveira's striking defense is very poor, and his chin not that great. Most guys are deathly afraid to grapple with him which handicaps their striking. This fight isn't that tricky to break down.

True. She also looked out of shape (visually) for that Pena fight. The eye test isn't too reliable but she seems more fit and a bit more muscular for this fight. But Norma's a gasser. I can see her subtle tells. Just she didn't need to expend too much energy to really show her bad cardio. The...

Sad to see GDR's odds getting tighter. Regardless of that, I just have to bet her. She's on a mission for the belt. She knows UFC will most likely give her the title shot, if she wins here, because there's nobody else worthy at the moment. There is a good chance for Norma to get tired after the...

Can someone give me arguments not to bet Germaine De Randamie, aside "she is old"? I am not impressed by Norma at all.

After further tapestudy for the Weidman v Silva fight my final thoughts are that they are both pretty bad. You're just gambling here on who will be less bad in the octagon. It just doesn't feel right for a bet on either side. Weidman's line seemed tempting watching how easily Allen has dealt...

@Stat_Collector good luck to you too. That's why I did this thread to see what ppl think and poke holes in my arguments. Will bet Holly small. Think I have much better underdog in GDR vs. that thicc girl in the Apex a week earlier. I don't know why but maybe fewer ppl bet girl fights and lines...

Harrison being better than Miesha is laughable. She's just bigger, not better. Ronda didn't think she's a boxer. She just had fucked up knees, couldn't really bend over for a normal takedown which left her with over the waist takedowns, which aren't that reliable. Her "striking" was totally...

Tate got chokes, has good wrestling shot and was significantly better (and more experienced) mma fighter than Harrison just skillwise. Harrison has judo throws and armbars which is not the same. They are more difficult to implement vs. good fighters in MMA and Holm had faced this very same game...

She didn't lost her capabilities. Sure, she's a half step slower than prime Holly. But mostly the reason she loses so much is she didn't evolve almost at all /just slapped a wall and stall on top of running face first pumping hands and the odd high kick/ and the division figured her out. I don't...

Didn't know that. He looked phisically good, but slow and fragile. Taking all this into consideration, I still think Silva's aggressive style probably will get him taken down at some point or controlled on the fence. I also think Silva is pretty hittable himself. Old shopworn vet vs. a...

There's an issue here: You just don't bet Bruno Silva as a favourite. He's more of an underdog type of play. You don't expect much from him and get him for cheap to surprise you. Guy's an action fighter, I'll give him that. Pushes a pace, has a great heart. But there's not a lot of...

I looked at the odds for UFC 300 and nothing really jumped at me as an egregiously wrong odds... until I saw this! This fight is essentially like Holm vs. bigger, but slower Rousey who can actually shoot (sort of) a traditional takedown. Holm is in the neighbourhood of +330. For this cheap I get...

i'm fixing that

credit to @Crazy Librarian for the gif Damn, that's some big 135er right there. Next to freaking retired, fat DC and he's not looking that much smaller! How much longer will he be able to make the cut?

I believe on pure skill Leon is the better fighter. But his core mentality is to coast and let the opponent decide where and how the fight happens. If he somehow swtiches that for a couple minutes every round he's either winning a decision or getting another KO. But that is a big IF.

Somebody on Usman by decision?

Can't believe I trusted Fiziev that much... But fair enough, Gaethje was plaing it safe and didn't give easy openings for Rafa.

me too.

I felt very lucky to win this. I wasn't gonna put any money on Vettori knowing it's going to get down to a few legkicks. I thought he's going to be way more active and aggressive, but he got spooked by Dolidze's power.