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You want time stamps of Lipski, who has not been taken down in her last three fights, getting back to her feet during her last three fights? seriously?

You are making the error of presuming her getup game is the same as it was 3 years ago, which is the last time we saw her be put on her back, thats a faulty assumption imo given the clear gains she has made in her takedown defense. There is no real way to be confident in either due to the...

I would not play her below +500 because there is a strong chance imo that she is at both a striking and grappling deficit. She is definitely going to be outmatched on the feet, by a wide margin, and will be similarly uncomfortable to how she was in her last fight due to the speed and...

Not by a longshot. Padilla is the better grappler and Llontop demonstrated less than adequate takedown defense on the regionals against smaller fighters. I don't expect Padilla to ultimately win but he definitely has a path to victory and its through takedowns, control, with GNP mixed in (he...

Oh I know, Hackett is for all intents and purposes drawing dead, I just meant this was the best option for an "incremental test" (even if not one at all in reality). A fighter with a skillset similar to Maycee Barber could present problems imo is what I meant.

The only times Ditcheva has ever looked vulnerable imo were during cage wrestling sequences. Clinching her on the cage fence and winning minutes, and potentially rounds, off of control is really the only way to beat her without being a specialist. Hackett displayed solid cage wrestling during...

Tagir Abdullabekov PRO MMA RECORD 5-0 Abdullabekov is a 27 year old fighter on a five fight win streak. He is a naturally gifted athlete who can comfortably pick opponents apart on the feet or utilize his grappling to neutralize the offense of opponents. He is very much still a developing...

O'Malley would definitely be favored to beat Mix, theres absolutely no doubt about it, but that does not mean he would win or that it would not be competitive. Topuria would be a massive favorite against all three (over -400). Edwards would be a heavy favorite over both of them (over -300)...

These fighters have over 30 combined losses, not exactly a whose who, you have got to be trolling.

Not a single one of these fighters is considered an all time great. Real talk, Benavidez was the #2 guy during the infancy of a developing division, his skills are nothing special compared to the Flyweights of today. Which one of these wins makes Benavidez at least the flyweight GOAT without...

I'm surprised the general sentiment is that the referee saved Haney from getting knocked out. The cleanest punch Garcia landed the entire fight was the right hook in the 7th round, after a clinch break had been ordered, and while the referee was restricting Haney's movement; effectively...

Theres definitely value on Staropoli at +750. This fight may very well come down to whether the judges favor the control of Ramazanov or the minor damage done by Starapoli in transitions. Ramazanov has a strong wrestling shot, good conditioning, and his control is above average but he doesn't...

Lemos Honorable Mention: Denise Gomes, Jessica Andrade, Yan Xiaonan /thread

How do you get 75%? Theres no way to make money long-term backing a favorite as shallow as Figgy in this spot at 75%.

The difference is you are being asked to pay massive juice to back Figueiredo. Cody took big shots from Kelleher, who himself has sneaky punching power, that demonstrates to me that as long as he doesn't throw his defense out the window in pursuit of a finish (which is why Dillashaw and Munhoz...

Garbrandt can absolutely beat Figueiredo there is tremendous value on Cody imo. Figueiredo was losing the striking exchanges to Rob Font during the first two rounds and would steal them at the end of the round with a barrage of offense. Figueiredo was exclusively looking to grapple even to his...

Fundamentally, when the odds are near pick-em on a fight between two fighters with tons of recent footage, there are no "safe" bets on the ML. Folks definition of what constitutes a "safe" bet varies widely but imo that type of language is thrown around far too loosely in youtube videos by self...

Dumont can hit takedowns in the middle of the canvas and imo looks significantly physically stronger than GDR. GDR has been wall-and-stalled by several opponents so if Dumont wants to wall-and-stall I don't see GDR stopping it. GDR was on her way to losing her last fight against Pena until she...

GDR would have had to reenter the USADA testing pool in at least October to make this fight date. Also, NSAC testing seems to be quite thorough, look at all the PFL fighters from last year who got popped by them. I cant imagine GDR was willing to risk her comeback (likely the rest of whatever is...

Norma has better conditioning than GDR. GDR's conditioning also looked terrible, career worst, in her last fight and I cant imagine the four years off and nearly turning 40 has helped matters.