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All bets are 1U Young +130 Pirello +225 Smith + Niko + Holland @ +280 O'Neil + Soleki @ +145 Circ +115 Walker +125

Fight Night: Santos vs Walker Main Card Hernandez vs Breeden No way I’m I playing this. Pass. Cirkunov vs Jotko There’s only one question I have about this fight, what does Cirk’s cardio look like down 20 lbs? He’s always been a pretty big, cut up LHW, so going down another 20 leaves a lot...

Fight Night: Santos vs Walker Prelims Eduardo vs Perez Both fighters haven’t fought in years. Pass. Egger vs Young Egger’s supposed to be this dominant clinch fighter coming from a solid Judo background, but I don’t see it. She’s not particularly strong, doesn’t show the kind of balance...

DWTCS 2021 Week 5 Zellhuber vs Almeida Honestly surprised Almeida is undefeated. He doesn’t have a wrestling game to enforce his BJJ and his striking is plodding hooks and power shots. He’s off balance when throwing a lot, very defensively porous and throws naked kicks. Inversely Zellhuber is...

Pearce +125 W Maximov + Santos @+115 W Medic + Blaydes @+120 L Hooker + Merab @+125 W Calvillo +185 L Ortega +160 L +0.65U Ortega not finishing that mounted guillotine or triangle is gonna haunt my dreams. Still made a little over half a unit and the winstreak continues. Record moves to...

UFC 266 Volkanovski vs Ortega -All 1U- Pearce +125 Maximov + Santos @+115 Medic + Blaydes @+120 Hooker + Merab @+125 Calvillo +185 Ortega +160

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs Ortega Main Card Andrade vs Calvillo Up front, I’m taking Calvillo here. Andrade could very easily steamroll her, as she’s known to do, but at this line I can’t ignore a grappling and speed advantage, especially in a 3 round fight. I would argue that Calvillo is a more...

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs Ortega Prelims Morales vs Pearce Morales answers the question of what a Sanford MMA fighter looks like when they don’t wrestle. Plodding, somewhat powerful, rote counterstriker. Outside of Omar’s constant soft naked leg kicks, he mostly throws heat but does little to...

Fight Night: Spann v Smith -All 1U- Finished 4-2-1 for a +3.55u profit. This brings the overall record to 12-9-1 and overall units to +7.8u. 5 writeups done, 5 events of profit made. Let's keep gettin' it. Brandon Jenkins +250 L Lopez +110 Draw Goldy + Tsarukyan @ +121 W Buckley + Tafon @...

Fight Night: Spann v Smith -All 1U- Brandon Jenkins +250 Lopez +110 Goldy + Tsarukyan @ +121 Buckley + Tafon @ +165 Gravely + Harris @ +195 Ion + Smith @ +155 Lipsky + Montel @ +115

Main Card Buckley vs Arroyo I’m really going back and forth on this one. One thing I’m certain of is either Arroyo gets a knockout or he loses. The problem is, the chance of him doing that is decent. Buckley will continue to struggle with length at this weight class. Despite his mega long...

Prelims Part 2 Jackson vs J.P Buys Like I said earlier, range is the best takedown defense and Montel should have that here. An 8.5 inch reach advantage while being a significantly better striker in all regards and an infinitely better athlete. This might seem like not criminal matchup because...

Prelims Part 1 Whitmire vs Goldy Neither of these fighters are particularly good, though I do think Goldy has potential to be, especially when given less stylistically difficult matchups. She’s at her best when she’s able to probe at range, develop reads and utilize her powerful kicks and...

You and I had the same amount of misses. You missed on Loosa, I missed on a +350 that I said had fair potential to lose. I like how you imply I bit your bets when our breakdowns aren't similar, newsflash turbo, there was only 6 fights, of course there's gonna be overlap. You're in here talking...

2-1 night for +1.7u profit Mo + Jas @ +112 W Potter @ +342 L Almeida @ +162 W

Polastri is absolutely more aggressive and if Jas tries to go backwards instead of into the clinch and her striking hasn't improved, she will probably get bullied around. If she's improved at all offensively though I think she'll have Polastri freezing with her feints and a, hopefully, newly...

DWTCS Sep 14 2021 Polastri vs Jasdavicious It’s perplexing that Jas lacks striking output when many of the difficult habits of a good striker are already present. She has decent timing, patience, quick feet, attempts to find angles, moves backwards and forwards instead of leaning, keeps...

Main Card Paddy vs Luigi There’s about 2 minutes of tape for the last two years. Paddie’s last full fight was almost exactly 3 years ago and I don’t know how anyone can be confident capping a fight with such a small amount of recent footage. Pass. Modestas vs Khalil Two patient, defensively...

Prelim Bets -All 1U- Jourdain + Barriault @ +140 Molly + Shore @ +115 Edit at 3:31 EST to add Main Card plays Main Card Plays -All 1U- Zawada + Aspinal @ +195 Brunson @ +125

Prelims Dalcha vs Marc Dalcha is a technically poor striker with incredible athleticism. His feet are concrete with no rhythm, his intentions are overtly telegraphed and when he does throw it’s a massive explosion but it isn’t clean at all. There isn’t any degree of believable feinting and his...