Agree. I'm considering Strickland -5.5 point spread, I would def take it if it was -110 but it's -160, which is a lot smaller of a difference between the ML and the spread than usual, oddsmakers have that right tho honestly it could be -200 and that would make a lot of sense. Unless Uriah knocks...
What you said about Spider is straight up untrue. Silva was winning the fight when he fought defensively but then got KOed cuz he charged Uriah slowly throwing wild punches, not exactly a masterful performance. Izzy vs Silva was 3 rounds, not 5, and Izzy definitely wasn't going all in trying to...
Didnt destroy Khaos tho.
I think there's a chance casuals go big on Conor but also a chance sharp money comes in big on Dustin. Idk whether to bet it now or wait...
Cerrone is very finishable early but less so as the fight goes on, and Niko almost did finish him but did look bad in rounds 2 and 3 tbf.
Can you provide rationale for how Burns beats WB more than 40% of the time (which are the implied odds for him at around +150)? I've been looking for someone...
Yeah so I started out really confident in wonderboy and decision but now I'm feeling a strong chance of a KO because almost any good striker that Burns faces catches him, Burns is so reckless going forward. Even Mike Davis, who is good but nowhere near this level, caught Burns cleanly on the...
Conor can never make 145 again. I think Dustin is better rn but 75% is a bit high. Although I disagree with the people who say Dustin was getting demolished before the leg kicks and that he had no success outside of them, it is still true that Conor hit him cleanly and powerfully in that first...
Problem is burns goes forward, unlike woodley, and that's what Wonderboy wants. Burns is so reckless moving forward that he will get cracked, and cracked hard. Woodley had the best style for WB. Luque is a better striker than Burns by far and WB made him look a fool (tho that's mma math and I'm...
So my value spots pre-tape:
Wonderboy ML -140
Wonderboy/Burns GTD -110
Tuivasa/Hardy GTD +285 (5d)
Topuria -3.5 spread (odds not out yet tho)
Gonna sprinkle on Dustin r3, r4, r5, and by decision probably, cuz if he makes it a war he wins it by one of those methods and they're good odds.
Lean...
Most books only allow bets between rounds so it csn be hard, but you might wanna try BetOnline cuz they let you live bet throughout the first round, most of the second, and between 2nd and 3rd.
Where on God's green earth did you bet wb at +135?? Do you mean -? Cuz he opened like -200 and has fallen to -140 since then, is -137 in a few places.
But I love wb in this one. Burns hinted at wanting to test himself by striking with wb which he cannot win striking unless he randomly lands his...
ITD isn't a lock at all. Dustin is known for durability and 5 round wars and Conor went the distance with Nate last time he had a rematch, Nate is not as good as Dustin and the durability is comparable.
Anyone here play spread bets for MMA? They're not that big yet but various books including betonline have them, they've been quite good to me in massive mismatches to shorten the odds on the favorite (Leon, Izzy, Usman, Valentina).
I typed a whole big thing out explaining how they work and...
Ige definitely won't do what Ortega did but I think the -110 odds are fair, TKZ fell into a depression and gained a lot of weight after that last fight apparently, who knows where his mentality is at? If he was at his best I'd say TKZ for sure should be -170-200 but he's 34, has taken a lot of...
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.