Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by VenomCarnage, Feb 13, 2021.
These were in-play bets where they were up 2 rounds already.
A year is not enough to gauge. We all have self bias and might not even be aware of it.
If you winning in poker, you feel it is a skill game
If you losing in poker, you feel it is mainly luck game.
Self bias is real!
Fallacy of gambling
1. Tilt, chase lost
2. expose your bankroll more than 25% lost in 1 ufc event
3. running bad, losing 99% of split decision
4. divorce rape, unable to focus
5. being limit or ban on soft site and have to compete with the pro on Pinny, Bookmaker, and Betonline
I predict only 7% or less of us able to profit yearly. Anyone want to chip in what other pit fall in mma gambling?
Yeh, that's not a good bet after all if he got 1.10 or whatever odds. I don't ever live bet when the odds are that low.
I had 2.5k and then 1k in bonus on her at 1.93.
I meant to write 2 before years in my post. Been at it less than 2 years.
1 and 4 of your points can happen in normal jobs as well. The rest, except for 5 to some extent, are easily avoidable with some common sense.
As for 2, if someone is making gambling their job and are then dumb enough to expose 25% of their bankroll in one UFC event, then they're not anywhere near smart enough to do this long term. I expect those people to lose, and so do the bookies. Pros and long term gamblers don't do this sort of stupidity. The only people doing this sort of crap are clueless people, or the guys who go put down a few half thought out bets while getting on the sauce with their mates down at the pub. These are the guys that bookies make their money off. They don't plan to win off the pros because they know they likely won't and because they make way more off the easy targets.
I'm not even close to a smart person and I profit yearly with complete ease. Plenty of people do it.
Nice job! I think i had only a small bet on Usman i got around it nicely. I didn't go crazy yesterday with the bets.
You are smarter than me, all book have ban me or limit me to silly limit. I can not avoid it unless you asking me to make bad bet. If I make bad bet, it defeat the purpose of line shopping.
There are people say, "if I can do it, you can do it." or
If I can not do it, likely no one can do it. Both statement are false since we are different and unique, some do better than you or some do worse than you. I known what Invictis talking about and so do many gambler, you could lose control and see yourself as 3rd person. I lost everything few time but that when I am single and young, could easily recover. I known I can tilt easily but I avoid that tilt zone and expect the worse outcome constantly. I have a house, I can not recover if I tilt. If you can do this every year making annual salary, you are the top 7%. Many member have left this space, likely it is not profitable for them anymore. I recall JinnGun who post BIG BIG bet with very bad odd, he is opposite end of spectrum of Sadistic. No way he could survive if those bet are real with those kind of juice.
When people ask me what I do for living, I don't known how to lie or embellish a story. I simply said I gamble for living. Each person have positive respond and friendly but I known back of their head, their eyes are rolling .....'right!!!', I willing to bet not 1 person believe me because gambling for living is not possible for them, success rate is very slim, I known 2 people personally lost everything and hear countless story man lost his family due to gambling.
So congrats to you if you think it is easy and actually doing it.
Yes but the money they win is someone elses' loss, usually some gambling addict who bets with his life savings.
This is a lie, the casino constantly prey on old folk who are bore. They prey on problem gambler, they never keep track of how much you lose to ban or limited you. Irresponsible gambler is what they want, if you are responsible gambler winning few hundreds a week, you are BAN!!!! This world are run by unethical individual, lie about their number to be influencer, lie about win rate to be a mma tout. Fake guru is running rampage on youtube, spend million on advertisement to prey on the desperate who looking for get rich quick scheme. We need to call out unethical behavior if we see it. We need to have a mma sport book pin on top, have a space to call them out.
This is what they do to responsible gambler, limit them to silly $10.
Where her $550,000,000 annual pay come from? it come from problem gamblers. this 1 parasite destroy many life and family. If government have the decency to actually govern the people, they should limit their lost to 25% of their annually income. No, you can lose as much as you want, in fact get a line of credit too, and use all your cc resource.
No, it's usually the casuals who bet every now and then with little stakes and little thought while out drunk at the races or with mates at the pub. At least in my country and with sports gambling, these are their primary target.
Casinos are a different disturbing story altogether.
I actually studied the psychological design and other things of casinos for over a year at Uni while earning a video game design degree. A lot of their methods apply to video games, free-to-play and pay to win game models in particular.
What casino's do, at least here in my country, is pretty disturbing. They employ so many tricks it's unbelievable. I think everyone is aware that they do a lot of things to keep people there and playing, but I don't think most people understand what sort of lengths they go to. The people who get hooked certainly have no fucking clue how they're being played.
Everything right down to the color of the carpet and how it feels beneath your feet is carefully designed by good casinos.
The approaches to design they use work perfectly in video games, but at least in video games we're not ever quite so harmful. But once you throw in proper money and the lure of lots of it like casinos do, the ones that they prey have no fucking chance at all.
I used to do BJJ with a guy who had worked in the gambling industry for 25 years. He had been everything from a poker machine technician to a stable worker for the horses. Some of the shit he told me about it all was pretty fucking bad lol.
The human mind is fragile, it is easy to program and fool. Last time I play slot due to significant other who want to play slot. I swear I win 75% to 90% of the time, the winning sound it makes feel good but the only problem is you could spend $2.50 on a spin and wins $0.40. Although you lose $2.10 from that exchange, they still give you the winning sound of coin drop.
I have this app WorldRemit,
I can top up my relative phone in Vietnam up to 500,000 dong(vnd) credit for $43.15 cdn
xe.com currency converter - $42.15 cdn convert to dong is 788,000 dong(vng)
They ONLY charge 57% fee to send money to love one. The world is dumb down that corporation can pull any kind of unethical practice on a dumb down population. Just the word 'Cash Out' sound like a winning move, you win if you 'Cash Out', but you being f*ck with 15%-20% cancellation fee.
Yep, literally everything you described there is meticulously designed by people who do it for a job and are way more intelligent than the people those designs are intended to prey upon.
People who fall into game traps - gambling or otherwise - mostly only notice the mechanics of the game they're playing. Color, light, and sound is just important, but because they're not a primary focus and they're more subtle, victims don't understand just how they're combing with core game mechanics to create specific dynamics.
I've seen my own game designs ensnare people like this (not in harmful ways) and it's really interesting. I also art directed a movie, and a big thing I did was color scripting. It was amazing to see the difference one pass made to an audience's attention compared to another.
I sort of love and hate this shit at the same time haha.
Good stuff xhaydenx. Let focus on this huge ufc card this weekend. gl brother.
I won a 52-1 parlay betting on Gastelum by decision, Belal by decision and Usman by 3rd tko. I was proud of myself but sadly I only put on a very small amount of cash.
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