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Bellator 149 - shamrock vs gracie... again...

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 8, 2016.

  1. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    would of been 500/1 at least if you parleyed them
     
  2. thesharktank Brown Belt

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    Just dropping in to say . 220 on Royce at +237 and 60 +800 for KO. I degened like a mother fucker tonight. Sorry to those who lost. Hopefully there werent any Dada/Ken backers.
     
  3. crewman Brown Belt

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    My only regret would be eyeing the over 1.5 for the Dada Ferguson fight but never pulling the trigger. I assumed Kimbo would have blasted Dada in round 1 so that line would have had no real value. Didn't expect Dada to be this good or Kimbo this bad (guess it depends on how you want ot look at it)
     
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Down £100 but Kimbo won so long as Brunson wins i will come out even.
     
  5. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    Well, on the plus side at least bellator Live betting is a distant pipe dream, that shit could bankrupt this thread lol
     
  6. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

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    It's hard to complain for losing money on Ken when the completely card was a mess. What a terrible night of fights. Coker has to stop with this stuff to make Bellator legitimate.

    I made money on the night and have Kimbo leading a few legs of parlays but I feel very very dirty.
     
  7. Stunna77 Brown Belt

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    Seems like people who bet Shamrock are convinced he would of won if he didn't get kneed in the nuts. He seemed scared to strike with Royce "untapped hands" Gracie and was probably half way to gassing from just dancing around the cage. Even though it is hard to say what would of happened, I feel Gracie was the right side. All in all I think the lesson should be not to bet on circus fights, I mean Kimbo/Dada would of both been starched by any 155er and above in the UFC lol. Bellator should be embarrassed by promoting those fights.
     
  8. MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    2/19/2016 9:00 PM Bellator Fighting 3301 Derek Campos/Melvin Guillard* Under 1½ +100 V
    Risking $55.00 To Win $55.00

    2/19/2016 10:30 PM Bellator Fighting 3102 Kimbo Slice* -165 vs Dhafir Harris V
    Risking $82.50 To Win $50.00

    2/19/2016 10:30 PM Bellator Fighting 3102 Kimbo Slice* -165 vs Dhafir Harris V
    Risking $41.25 To Win $25.00


    2/19/2016 11:00 PM Bellator Fighting 3002 Ken Shamrock* -110 vs Royce Gracie X
    Risking $275.50 To Win $250.00

    ==================================
    -145.50


    Ugh, knew I had too much on Shamrock, so stupid.
     
  9. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Not convinced he would of won at all. Actually thought Royce was throwing some good kicks, even if none landed clean. Just frustrating when a ref costs you the fight. Idgaf about Ken's delayed reaction, that happens, the ref needs to pay attention to where the knees are landing in that spot. Can't even say the lesson is don't bet on circus fights. The ref has fucked people over many times i.e. Silva vs Dober.
     
  10. Xuh Silver Belt

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    I disagree ;)
    (I bet on Royce and Kimbo :p)

    but I was shitting myself a little with the line movement and stuff on the Kimbo fight - admittedly, not a smart fight to bet decent sums on.

    I wish I had the balls to have bet on Royce ITD as well - I just couldn't see cripple Ken lasting 3 rounds in his condition.
    Kimbo would make fun of my balls, then Royce would kick them :(
     
  11. Scythe Brown Belt

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    Yeah, wish I wasn't convinced to hedge out of Royce when the line turned to near-even. The ending wasn't legitimate but Ken wasn't going to get past those kicks easily and he folded, as is typical, when something went wrong.

    It sucks that it ended on a groin strike, the ref should've done a much better job, but who else completely stops defending themselves on a shot like that?
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2016
  12. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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  13. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    (First off I apologize but I'm going to put this into two threads because I do not know which one that people are using now that BFC is finished but the thread is still open)

    Thanks a lot Road! Yeah it stings a bit still but not too much because I have it in the BR to afford (fortunately) and I am always convinced that I could make it back in relatively short amount of time.

    First of all, the money that you have in your betting account (your bankroll) should not be money that you are depending on to pay bills with or live on – if that is the case, you should NOY be betting period.

    The "Goodfella Betting Axiom" is this:

    #1. There are two words regarding any form of betting that a bettor must familiarize themselves with before risking their money which are the terms "CAN AFFORD" and CANNOT AFFORD". If you can't truthfully say the sentence, "I CAN afford to lose that bet." As opposed to "I CANNOT afford to lose this bet" then you shouldn't be betting at all.

    That is to say, you should be able to afford to lose and not stress over the loss for more than a few hours. If you actually depend on the outcome of a particular wager going one way or the other, then you seriously should not be betting on sports because it is just too volatile. Everyone who has been betting for any amount of time knows the old cliché "It is a marathon not a sprint". All the regulars ITT know that there are peaks and valleys in the sports betting process but what the weary traveler is ultimately searching for is the plateau with a gradual slope. Meaning that in between those ups and downs your long term betting history should be even keel with an upward trend.

    Finally, a betting tip I've offered up in which I utilize myself is that I don't look at the money in my book account as disposable income but instead as points won/lost in a video game. Using the video game metaphor: Just like a video game you are going to slowly learn the game and over the course of time get better at it. Along the way you are going to accumulate more points and move up more levels. However, -- as anyone who has ever played video games knows -- there are going to be many times where your "character" will "die" forcing you to start over. The idea is not to sit down and beat the game on one try but to get better at it the more you play. Appropriately, the theory behind viewing your BR as "video game in points" allows you to remove the stress and anxiety from the equation as seeing your BR as points means it isn't as if someone just stole "$XXX" from your wallet.

    Apologies for the long spiel .... Just thinking that any new sports bettors ITT can make use of this advice .. BTW Rpad, as me and you have both lost money from being under the influence when betting, there should be a new campaign started saying "Friends don't let friends drink/smoke when betting "


    .
     
  14. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    What up GF, longtime no see my friend. How you been bruh?
     
  15. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    BT! My man! I'm good homie! Wrecked my new car and broke my hand when that blizzard hit the East coast a few weeks back… I am sure you remember what I'm talking about. So really sucked. Same weekend I'm popping the Vicodin like tootsie Roll's and washing them down with Heineken while betting and I start chasing betting every single fight w/out any research and going all in too lol ... Ended up -67u LMFAO! Made my hand hurt worse for some reason Lol when it rains it pours and I got caught in a fucking thunderstorm Of biblical proportions

    But i'm good bro all in all ...back on the horse ... How's my boy BT livin?
     
  16. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    I'm doing pretty well buddy, thanks. Sorry to hear about the car and hand man, that sucks. We've all been there with the chasing, glad you're back into your groove now, though. I hope you enjoyed the vicodin and brew though,those are two of my favorite things. Add some ribs and pussy and you've got yourself a party haha!
     

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