Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 27, 2016.
Interesting card. Not sure what odds will look like for main event and Jenkins fight, excited for those two.
way above average bellator. time for guys to pull out!
all four o2.5's are -190 / -190 / -210 / -210
i'm so depressed on caldwell price, lmao
Hit Jenkins -140. Can't see his price getting better but could see line movement enough to possibly freeroll him at some point.
Wow we are opposite on this one. But you are gonna f up my plan on the line movement EZ with your huge 10u bet!
LOL I just hit Bubba real small for .5u anyway.
you see yamauchi in his return fight? this guy is unreal. he's so young, already very experienced. bubba can't help himself. he's gonna wrestle, and he's gonna get tapped.
think goiti smacks him with body kicks before it to make him want to take him down in the first place
Thinking Bubba will try to play the clinch/dirty box/push Yamouchi against the cage game. Maybe I'm overrating his fight IQ.
Only went half a unit. If freeroll opportunity doesn't come will take a look at Yamouchi itd.
playing the under in the Yamauchi fight +160 i see him tapping out Jenkins
Big on Yamauchi plan on him being my biggest bet of the year so far. also gonna be pretty heavy on Gonzalez +150 or better. He's gritty, underrated standup, and hasn't been subbed since '09, which is obviously Gilbert's best route to victory. I think that's a solid price for him.
i'm thinking about that, but i'm also thinking about o2.5 -190 on smith-gonz. as you said, gonz hasn't been tapped since '09, when he was HW (pretty sure, or at least LHW). he must've been so out of shape.
smith doesn't really have any striking. and smith has never been ko'd. he can be tapped when he gasses, but gonz isn't really a sub guy.. can't really see him guillotining smith
Wow Caldwell a fair bit steeper than expected. The guy is basically a bad matchup for everyone, except insane BJJ guys. +200 is tempting, just don't see how Warren gets it done.
I'm on Yamauchi and Gonzalez so far.
LOL played that line movement WAY wrong. You guys all hammering Yamouchi and now he's -150. Only put .5u on Jenkins but no point buying out now. Watched the vid EZ posted and yeah if Jenkins takes him down he could be in trouble. Hit the under 2.5 as a pseudo-buyout of my Jenkins bet. Prob just leave it at that and if Yamouchi wins a dec I'll lose a unit. Serves me right for guessing line movement without checking here first LOL. You guys all moved that line opposite where I thought it would go.
People making Yamauchi their biggest bet of the year and shit are overreacting. Bubba definietly has paths of victory here. Many underrate him because he's unlikeable and cocky. I'm 2.5 units on Yamauchi, but this is not a blowout by any means.
Agree with Ballsaque. I was on the fence, and i'll likely bet Goiti since you guys are confident (barring a +200 Bubba by decision line), but this is such a tough fight to call. Bubba is a completely different style than Isao. If Goiti can't hit sweeps or consistent sub attempts, this is all Bubba. The striking should be close too.
bubba grapples = bubba loses, imo.
and as you said the standup should be close.
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