How do you see the Higo vs Bandejas fight play out? You seem pretty sure Ricky will take it.
Copying and pasting from a message;
What a uniquely awful match-up for Higo. His biggest weakness is his fairly poor defense. No head movement, stands right in front of his opponent, and a tendency to telegraph and reach with his punches, leaving himself very open to counters. Particularly vulnerable to right cross counters, which he was hit with time and again by Bunch.
Guess what Bandejas is really good at? Taking advantage of openings, countering, and his biggest weapon, by far, is a short right hook and short straight right. It has legitimate knockout power, instantly shutting off the lights for Kayretli and then Mlambo.
If Higo exposes himself the way he did against Bunch, he is getting knocked out several times over.
Even if he somehow doesn't, this is a kickboxing match Bandejas should edge out. He is a little longer, fights taller, has the better (if somewhat flawed) defense, and a better, more diverse arsenal of kicks that should serve him well against the stationary Higo. Bandejas also has really good cardio and adapts more and more as the fight goes along.
Grappling-wise, this is a wash. Higo might be the slightly better wrestler, but Bandejas is fantastic at getting up. Even a really good grappler like Archuleta was barely able to get more than a reprieve with how fast Bandejas popped back up.
I cap this as more of a -250 to -300, so -160 is solid value.
