Bellator 258: Archuleta vs. Pettis

Prelims start 5:30 pm eastern Friday

#Bellator258
(betting favorite) props to look at:

Decision:
Johnny Eblen -125 "The Korean Canelo"
Erik Perez -120
Raufeon Stots +105
Juan Archuleta +105, 5 round championship main event
Henry Corrales +115
Lorenz Larkin +125, hasn’t fought since December 2019

Inside Distance:
Weber Almeida -160
Logan Storley -145
Patricky Pitbull Freire -120
Michael Page -105

Patchy Mix fight under 1.5 rounds -130

Anthony Rumble Johnson by KO, age 37

12 props, will they go 7-5 or better .... tune in to find out lol
 
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I researched that fight last night, commentators keep bringing up his wrestling credentials and he also has insane top pressure and jits.

Hill mostly shoots reactive doubles to seal the round and then does nothing with it. Is there a fight Stots gets wrestled I should be looking into??

That was my initial lean pre tape. I'll get back to you before tomorrow night after I watch tape on it.

Yeahnever mind, I lean stots here.
 
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Here's a capper I follow and respect thoughts.

I don't blindly tail him, as we often have conflicting opinions, but he's been on an absolute tear recently.

"Madrid is the other wide underdog I'll be taking a half unit shot on. Eblen is one of those collegiate wrestling studs that Bellator seems to be snatching up, but he is still kind of green IMO. Madrid made his pro MMA debut when Eblen was 15! Madrid is a 3rd degree BJJ black belt, but it was very weird to see him not pursue the takedowns or get his BJJ game going at all in his last fight. Luckily for him, he still came out with a victory. 15/18 wins have come via submission for Madrid and I think he could possibly give Eblen some issues here if Eblen shoots desperation takedowns and if he has trouble controlling Madrid. I think Eblen can come out victorious here with him being the younger and more explosive fighter, but given how they matchup, I see Madrid as one of the few live dogs on this card.

Possible Bets
Madrid +365
Under 2.5 +165
Madrid ITD +500"

The only other dog he's on is Shutt
 
Patch mix fight to NOT go the distance -275 parlayed with King Can Crusher MVP to win by KO,TKO or DQ +105
$50 to return $139.77
 
Patch mix fight to NOT go the distance -275 parlayed with King Can Crusher MVP to win by KO,TKO or DQ +105
$50 to return $139.77

You sure MVP gets the KO? Anderson has never been KO'D, and he's on the upper tier of opposition MVP has faced, I think this one has a good chance of going to decision.
 
You sure MVP gets the KO? Anderson has never been KO'D, and he's on the upper tier of opposition MVP has faced, I think this one has a good chance of going to decision.
i think Bellator wouldn't want to give MVP a potential challenge. but hey im not Sadistics level nostradamus here.

There is some value on MVP rd 2 and/or rd 3
 
i think Bellator wouldn't want to give MVP a potential challenge. but hey im not Sadistics level nostradamus here.

There is some value on MVP rd 2 and/or rd 3
I hit Mix U1.5 rounds for 2 units, very good odds in my opinion
 
I don't understand that shit about betonline. Why don't they allow parlays? What's so fucking special about parlays? You can simulate a parlay by just sticking your stake and winnings from the first leg onto the next legs. It's functionally the same thing. They just want to inconvenience us? Is that it? I bet you most people who play parlays lose anyways.
A parlay can eliminate any bad losses in one night. If Gilbert burns and Ian heinisch had won the last time, i would have netted 500k , the idea to me that two athletes performance can change my life in a drastic way is the reason i play parlays. I still have the stub. Its really insane because i would never think of laying so much money on two athletes but parlays allow you to start off with 100 and snowball it to massive amount. It’s definitely not for the sane, i do believe i am very crazy when you see the parlays I’ve laid down with the amount of money involved. But what are you willing to do to get out of the 9-5 and never work for someone else?
 
Anyone have a good read on Derek Anderson? Watching his last fight I can't see him presenting many problems for MVP. Competent fighter, will probably go all 3 rounds but I can't see his path to victory.

 
My bets thus far:

• Archuleta decision +105 $30 for $31.50
• Freire decision +315 $20 for $63
• Anderson/Page starts round 3 -130 $26 for $20
• Larkin decision +125 $30 for $37.50
• Stots decision +105 $30 for $31.50
• Hussein/Storley ITD -150 $75 for $50
 
Only plays tonight
 

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For anyone betting on Lorenz Larkin, remember this fight is at 185 because Carvalho is stepping in as the replacement opponent on about a week's notice.
 
My bets thus far:

• Archuleta decision +105 $30 for $31.50
• Freire decision +315 $20 for $63
• Anderson/Page starts round 3 -130 $26 for $20
• Larkin decision +125 $30 for $37.50
• Stots decision +105 $30 for $31.50
• Hussein/Storley ITD -150 $75 for $50
My bets thus far:

• Archuleta decision +105 $30 for $31.50
• Azevedo wins by submission +785 $10 for $78.50
• Freire decision +315 $20 for $63
• Queally/Freire starts round 3 -120 $30 for $25
• Anderson/Page starts round 3 -130 $26 for $20
• Larkin decision +125 $30 for $37.50
• Stots decision +105 $30 for $31.50
• Hussein/Storley ITD -150 $75 for $50
 
Queally ML +248 1U
Madrid ML +335 0.5U
Azevedo ML +355 1U
 
$20 on Jose Augusto to win by submission @ +600 odds.
It's been a wild year so far. Maybe Anthony just has an awesome gym body and still a shit gas tank. Dude loves getting subbed.
I know logic says Rumble 1st round KO.
 
Looks like Soto is gonna get the win, Almeida needs to level up his ground game bad
 
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