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he can win a decision...he just has to over-perform. drop canelo maybe once or twice and beat him real bad. i remember a fight back when dlh got a controversial decision and some dude was arguing that dlh deserved to win the fight because the other fighter didn't knock him out.
I like to think BJS can 'ovrrperform' and maybe he can, I certainly think he's got the capability. Unlike for example Hatton when he fought Floyd. But can he be elusive enough to avoid his man for 12 rounds? Different fight, but I knew deep down Kell Brook wouldn't be able to avoid the impact of GGG when they fought, and 100% certain that Khan wouldnt be able to avoid a Canelo KO ( tbh I'll discipline in fights as always been one of Khan's major weaknesses.
Like you say it would have to be a performance of some magnitude for BJS to pull it off tonight. I hope he can but do not expect it.