CFFC 95: KAMCHYBEKOV VS. SMITH

TheHouyhnhnm1

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Z. Kamchybekov vs. Jesse Smith
I'm on Kamchybekov for 1unit. I think he is a level above Jesse in all areas. In the one fight I could find of Jesse, against Sinjen Ruby, he did sloppy grappling r1 where he was on top but basically didn't act at all without his coach yelling at him.. very amateurish. And then he came out r2 throwing labored shots from that single round of slow grappling. Kamchybekov fought Semmelsburger, who is now 2-0 in the UFC to a close split decision loss. Kamchybekov is living the fighter life. “I’m just training hard all the time and focusing on the fight. That’s why I win.”
 
Zulkarnaiyn v Semelsberger was a solid scrap, could have been a draw in my opinion. Smith is a bjj guy and Zulkarnaiyn might be the better overall grappler here. Lovin this card so far, let's eat fellows.
 
Hilaire Rose coming off her contender series loss to face a fighter making her pro debut here. Alannah Arnett like Jesse Smith is a bjj "specialist" and not much else. I expect Rose to soundly out strike the green Arnett here. Hilaire's 1-2 is looking like lighting over on her IG, really high on her and big Zulk so far.
 
I think Smith needs an early sub or he is getting KOed here. Zulkarnaiyn is massive at 155 fighting down from WW. Gotta be a choke or leg attack too I don't think he is taking an arm off this kidScreenshot_2021-04-02-07-37-56.png

Unless I'm sleep deprived Rose's hand speed and pop on her shots looks impressive here.





EDIT* 6.4u to win 2.5u
Yeah I don't think Smith can get a submission here. Unless he has fallen off Zulkarnaiyn is an intelligent grappler.
 
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Yeah I don't think Smith can get a submission here. Unless he has fallen off Zulkarnaiyn is an intelligent grappler.


Hugging the head like that with no arms trapped is a strong sign of lacking bjj fundamentals, wrestling looked solid but that was some white belt stuff on the ground.
 
Hugging the head like that with no arms trapped is a strong sign of lacking bjj fundamentals, wrestling looked solid but that was some white belt stuff on the ground.
That was also 6 years ago and he has been training at Gracie BJJ locally in Philly(where this event is being held). He could totally get subbed herE and I probably played it a little bigger than I should have considering the level.

Still I've honestly been on fire with these small promotions lately. Believe it or not I don't think I've missed a single non ufc bet this year. Slips and post history to prove it. My only issues from yesterday were getting late to the lines and going too small. I could get burned here but I like Zulkarnaiyn with a 70-80% chance for a KO here, just sharing where I'm at.
 
That was also 6 years ago and he has been training at Gracie BJJ locally in Philly(where this event is being held). He could totally get subbed herE and I probably played it a little bigger than I should have considering the level.

Still I've honestly been on fire with these small promotions lately. Believe it or not I don't think I've missed a single non ufc bet this year. Slips and post history to prove it. My only issues from yesterday were getting late to the lines and going too small. I could get burned here but I like Zulkarnaiyn with a 70-80% chance for a KO here, just sharing where I'm at.
Propably some wery good spots on these low level fights if you have the time and energy to watch tape.
 
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Anymore caffeine and my eyes might vibrate out of my head. Here are my plays for now, I may squeeze in one late pick but I like where I am at.

●Zulkarnaiyn 6.4u to win 2.5u

●Rose+ Pitbull(Bellator)
1.5u to win 1.4u
 
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