1. The official Sherdog Store is back! Check it out! » Discuss it here! »
  2. Hey Guest, The Non Gif Shoop Contest Round 1 is now active, so cast your votes! Non Gif Shoop Contest Round 1 »

General MMA discussion and future lines - April 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 1, 2016.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    UFC doing a great job all around with PPVs. Was kind of meh about 199 with the two rematches at the top of the card, but they've stacked that too.
     
  2. jwms Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2014
    Messages:
    643
    Likes Received:
    49
    I didn't like 197 much, either in anticipation of it or the actual event. But 198 will be really good. 199 is also not terrific, as far as I'm concerned, but I don't like Siver, Guida, Lombard, etc. I like Cruz. Not totally keen on the Rockhold/Wediman instant rematch. I like Bobby Green a lot, so I'm good to see him back. The bottom of the card tho? Pass...
     
  3. Agent Mulder Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2015
    Messages:
    5,126
    Likes Received:
    0
    I did 3u on Hall +250 but wish i did 6u. It's a 50/50 fight IMO.
     
  4. RyuDave Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 18, 2015
    Messages:
    1,407
    Likes Received:
    0
    I just can't bet against silva, I'll sit it out or maybe do an over
     
  5. rille31 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    4,164
    Likes Received:
    297
    Location:
    sweden
    fabio +550 against fedor
     
  6. Kaius White Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 14, 2016
    Messages:
    75
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    finland
    I thought I made a great find on getting Hall @ 2,5 and hammered it - where the heck did you find him for 3,5?

    Still waiting for Silva to climb (looks good on Matchbook).
     
  7. rille31 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    4,164
    Likes Received:
    297
    Location:
    sweden
    Opened 3.50 on some euro bookies
     
  8. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 4, 2010
    Messages:
    4,344
    Likes Received:
    73
    silva-hall line is getting closer to evens now.
     
  9. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    I really like Uriah Hall no SC +102 in comparison to his current ML. I think he is more likely of the two to get a finish and feel he is less likely to win the decision (The fight is not only in Brazil, but it is actually in Silva's hometown, fwiw). At 41 years old, Silva's chin has shown to be pretty damn weak recently and out of Hall's 6 losses, only 1 came ITD (Weidman TKO, 5.5 years ago)

    I feel like this ends approximately like this:

    Push 50%
    Win 37.5%
    Lose 12.5%


    That's pretty much my super short bd. I love this play at +102.

    I pretty much feel the same about Shogun no SC -120 and Joanna Champion no SC -148, too


    EDIT: I forgot to mention I like Corey Anderson R3 +1500 as a slight hedge to the Shogun play. Or as a value play in general
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2016
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,934
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    philly
    interesting, jae ^^
     
  11. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    Out of all the no SC props currently available, those 3 are my favorites, for sure. I have 2u+ on each (I like the Hall one the most). I'll prob end up playing Tumenov no SC if it drops a little bit, too
     
  12. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    James Vick replaces Leo Santos vs Evan Dunham

    Not happy about this. Think odds on Dunham would've been decent and I planned on hammering him to win, and by dec.

    Still gonna hit him hard here, but don't expect the line to be as good.
     
  13. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    I don't think you're doing yourself any favors here lol
     
  14. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    What do you mean? You think Vick beats Dunham?
     
  15. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,498
    Likes Received:
    63
    Nah, talking about odds/how you plan on betting the fight
     
  16. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Eh, I think its pretty much a give in Dunham is a favorite here lol would be more careful if I thought lines could potentially be close like I think Dunham/Santos might've been
     
  17. barrygood1 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2010
    Messages:
    942
    Likes Received:
    35
    Who wouldn't want to be itching to bet on a 40+ year old coming off 3 brutal loses to Weidman x 2 & Bisping and massive surgery. The only way you would see me putting a bet on Silva is if he were at dog odds. The spider's best days are long gone but squares will lay down money on Anderson because of past performances.

    - Barry
     
  18. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,236
    Likes Received:
    0
    Might be time to fade Vick.
     
  19. RyuDave Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 18, 2015
    Messages:
    1,407
    Likes Received:
    0
    I know that's why I said I'll sit it out or do any over, he's shot unfortunately but can't count him out so will play an over instead
     
  20. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,236
    Likes Received:
    0
    I dont see Dunham being that big of a fav.
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.