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General MMA discussion and future lines - January 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 5, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Ready to fade Josh Neer at any price if we get odds
     
  2. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I never understood why he ditched his dentist career to be a below average fighter ;)

    Seriously though, I used to like watching his fights
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Well Ferg opened -400 at Unibet so here's hoping i can nab him at a Euro book at -250. Would have liked closer to -200 tho!
     
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    What are you guys thinking of the Cody Lineker line? I think i really like Lineker here. Cody hasn't overly impressed me. I bet him against Briones and was pretty disappointed in his performance. He stopped Brimage late but I am sure I remember him letting Brimage back into the fight after a strong first round. Maybe Lineker SU and possible hedge Cody by dec as Lineker's never been stopped by strikes?
     
  5. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Same issue for me, no alerts lately
     
  6. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    I said I bet lineker!
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Like the over at first glance. I know Linekar has big power but I think Cody will try grind him. I think both guys have taken clean shots and ate them easily (I straight up KNOW Linekar has, and I think Cody has too).
     
  8. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Ferg maybe still have value at -275? Or might just wait for his itd and/or sub line. The great thing about Ferg is that he's predictably reckless. And seems to have a granite chin (and knows it). He just doesn't care if he gets hit coming in and it allows him to close distance and dictate how the fights play out. He's going to be in MJ's face from the start. I don't know who at 155 scares Ferg enough on the mat for him to avoid the crazy stuff he tries (all the rolling for leg locks, etc) but it's not MJ.

    I don't think the fight will look a whole lot like the first one. Ferg has hit his stride and knows exactly how he wants fights to happen (and has the ability to dictate that they do) and MJ seems like a guy who's unsure of himself now.
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Don't forget fergs arm was broken in rd 1 last time

    And i agree; they're on different trajectories.

    I want ferg sub opener so badly

    Threw ferg in a couple open parlays in case price continues to worsen
     
  10. rille31 Brown Belt

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    unibet

    maia 1.28 immortal 3.50

    maia unplayable
     
  11. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    That sucks was hoping for -200.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    could happen on 5d, unibet is often different

    alerts are NOT working, tho. i had an alert set for lineker-garbrandt movement (dual alert) -- lineker just got bet, it didn't alert me
     
  13. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i shit you not. it just emailed me that alert, LOL. (that garbrandt price increased).. hours after it did
     
  14. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Ahh I suck at the conversion. So Maia is at -340 or so?
     
  15. rille31 Brown Belt

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    100 to win 28
     
  16. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    lol @ Maia's price. Whatever, Brown is gonna be a tougher fight than these odds would suggest, so at least he'll hold value and I def don't mind cheering for him either.
     
  17. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I was a little off it's -357. Yeah that's way unplayable. Even though Maia will do what he does most likely.

    The only questions I have are A) what will Maia's dec line be and B) is Brown good enough off his back to survive and not get subbed.
     
  18. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I don't think anyone is good enough off their back to avoid Maia either subbing or just crushing you with incredible top game jits. But at least Brown is tough as fuck, good tdd especially in the clinch, and the better striker. Also can't hurt he trains with Magny who might remember some of Maia's tricks.
     
  19. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    You know what really sucks? I was pretty sure they'd make Maia/Condit next. And that maybe they'd make it a main event for a Fight Night so it was 5 rounds. And we'd all have been betting Condit rd 4 and Condit rd 5 with some juicy odds and made bank when NBK stopped Maia late in that fight.

    Instead Maia gets Brown, and yet another 3 rounder. Nothing against Maia, the guy is amazing at what he does. But given his ranking and the fact he at least is in consideration for the next title shot (after Woodley I'd imagine) you'd think they'd give him a 5 rounder so we can see how his cardio holds up.
     
  20. chemmy Green Belt

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    They gave him a 5 rounder less than a year ago and his gas tank didn't hold up. The fifth round of that Laflare fight was horrible. Nobody wants a repeat of that.
     
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