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General MMA discussion and future lines - March 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sham5916910, Mar 1, 2016.

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  1. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Gunnar Tumenov Rotterdam. Really like Tumenov here dont think Gunnar can get him down. Tumenov -200 we reck?
     
  2. Jon Stark King in the North Platinum Member

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    I like this bet. Two past their prime fighters finally meeting up. Rashad has fought once in 2.5 years and looked terrible. Shogun had flashes of brilliance in the first two rounds vs Hendo and grinded out a a hard fought decision vs Lil Nog. Recent pics of Shogun show him to be looking strong. Rashad typically wins fights from KO's and boring UD's. I suspect his KO power has faded by this time and doubt he has the gas tank to grind Shogun for all three rounds.

    I just see Shogun being the more aggressive one here and probably winning at least 2 of 3 rounds for the win or perhaps TKO. The value is definitely evident and I'll be betting 100 on Shogun.
     
  3. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I'm with you. I cap this fight at around even at worst. I still can't believe he was moderately favored over Bader.
     
  4. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Horrible match making. How does this fight make any sense? Gunnar is 1-2 in his last 3 while Tumenov is surging into top 15-20 range.

    Pretty interesting fight though. Honestly, if Tumenov is -200 or worse I will really need to think about this. Dk if i'm willing to pay that much when a SMART Gunnar, not one with retard mentality of grappling Maia, could make this fairly interesting.
     
  5. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Completely agree with you both ive said before i cap this at evens. That reminds me to place my bet. Cheers
     
  6. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Livebet fight imo. Don't trust either of these guys anymore. If Shogun has a good first round he clearly wins he'll drop to evens at worst probably and i'm OK with that.

    Maybeeee small stab Shogun by decision if its nice though
     
  7. Gabe Saturdays are for the Boys

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    Rashad will win. Shogun is a shell.
     
  8. Ballsaque Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    Yes. Shogun has looked way better than Rashad did against Bader. Even so, Shogun actually has a pretty decent sweep game if he gets taken down, and still has somewhat of a chin. Fiddy fiddy ish fight. Bet Shogun Decision +6xx.
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i'm liking shogun for sure given the current odds.

    rashad looked sooo gunshy in his return.
     
  10. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    I aint betting someone who got badly outstruck by Bader, that's for sure.
     
  11. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    shell v. shell matchup imo
     
  12. cs02132 Green Belt

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    Yea I definitely favor tumenov here. How is his TDD/bottom game/getting up from the bottom and all that? I've only seen him destroy people on the feet lol.. Pretty obvious but if Gunnar takes him down he could be grapplefucked but if it stays standing I think tumenov has a pretty big advantage
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Magny still the dog vs Lombard. Expecting this to maybe get to evens or even flip by fight time. Already hit Magny +130 and Magny dec +230. Lombard coming off a year+ layoff. Magny seems like a guy who's truly locked in and focused on always getting better. Didn't let the Maia loss rattle him, just used it as motivation and learned from it. I was really impressed with his ability to scramble and his offensive wrestling vs Gastelum.

    Might hedge a bit with Lombard by KO if odds are good enough but I like Magny in this fight, probably to win by dec.
     
  14. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Added props up for Mir/Hunt and Magny/Lombard.

    Mir sub +405
    Hunt rd 1 +175

    Put a little on each of those

    Lombard KO/TKO +345. I'm okay with that as my hedge on all my Magny action.
     
  15. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Full props for Ferg fight too.
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yep just hit Ferg sub +580. Insane line for a guy as slick as he is fighting a guy that's going to willingly go to the mat with him in a 25 minute fight.
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea i like that, that was my first instinct...

    until i scrolled down:

    ferguson: no scorecards -135

    smasssshhhhh
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i am hitting ferg sub +580, small, too
     
  19. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Yup, I hit that and R4/5
     
  20. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Oh yeah I hit that too. Ferg now officially my biggest play this year with all the bets I have on him.

    Hedged a bit with Khabib by dec but really have a lot on Ferg.
     
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